ADANIENT
Adani Enterprises LimitedMax Pain - ADANIENT
Strike 1840 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 339,153,608,955 Combined total value = 339,153,608,955
Strike 1860 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 322,971,896,955 Combined total value = 322,971,896,955
Strike 1880 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 306,790,184,955 Combined total value = 306,790,184,955
Strike 1900 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 290,665,328,955 Combined total value = 290,665,328,955
Strike 1900.2 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 290,504,080,395 Combined total value = 290,504,080,395
Strike 1920 has a total call value of 19,578,240 versus a total put value of 274,810,897,395 Combined total value = 274,830,475,635
Strike 1938.95 has a total call value of 38,316,000 versus a total put value of 259,822,446,060 Combined total value = 259,860,762,060
Strike 1940 has a total call value of 39,354,240 versus a total put value of 259,000,354,650 Combined total value = 259,039,708,890
Strike 1960 has a total call value of 59,130,240 versus a total put value of 243,372,370,650 Combined total value = 243,431,500,890
Strike 1977.75 has a total call value of 76,681,440 versus a total put value of 229,565,609,475 Combined total value = 229,642,290,915
Strike 1980 has a total call value of 78,906,240 versus a total put value of 227,821,922,475 Combined total value = 227,900,828,715
Strike 2000 has a total call value of 98,682,240 versus a total put value of 212,322,482,475 Combined total value = 212,421,164,715
Strike 2016.55 has a total call value of 122,717,805 versus a total put value of 199,996,328,790 Combined total value = 200,119,046,595
Strike 2020 has a total call value of 127,728,240 versus a total put value of 197,453,159,910 Combined total value = 197,580,888,150
Strike 2035.9 has a total call value of 150,819,810 versus a total put value of 185,774,721,210 Combined total value = 185,925,541,020
Strike 2040 has a total call value of 156,774,240 versus a total put value of 182,776,982,430 Combined total value = 182,933,756,670
Strike 2055.3 has a total call value of 178,994,430 versus a total put value of 171,600,699,630 Combined total value = 171,779,694,060
Strike 2060 has a total call value of 185,820,240 versus a total put value of 168,204,641,310 Combined total value = 168,390,461,550
Strike 2074.7 has a total call value of 207,169,050 versus a total put value of 157,629,258,450 Combined total value = 157,836,427,500
Strike 2080 has a total call value of 214,866,240 versus a total put value of 153,834,707,550 Combined total value = 154,049,573,790
Strike 2094.1 has a total call value of 237,086,430 versus a total put value of 143,849,999,820 Combined total value = 144,087,086,250
Strike 2100 has a total call value of 246,566,550 versus a total put value of 139,689,503,310 Combined total value = 139,936,069,860
Strike 2113.5 has a total call value of 345,013,950 versus a total put value of 130,793,362,410 Combined total value = 131,138,376,360
Strike 2120 has a total call value of 392,615,400 versus a total put value of 126,539,761,110 Combined total value = 126,932,376,510
Strike 2132.85 has a total call value of 487,513,935 versus a total put value of 118,463,856,075 Combined total value = 118,951,370,010
Strike 2140 has a total call value of 548,933,865 versus a total put value of 114,125,576,415 Combined total value = 114,674,510,280
Strike 2152.25 has a total call value of 674,225,640 versus a total put value of 106,772,728,290 Combined total value = 107,446,953,930
Strike 2160 has a total call value of 753,491,865 versus a total put value of 102,207,616,365 Combined total value = 102,961,108,230
Strike 2171.65 has a total call value of 898,565,820 versus a total put value of 95,464,737,330 Combined total value = 96,363,303,150
Strike 2180 has a total call value of 1,002,545,865 versus a total put value of 90,643,727,055 Combined total value = 91,646,272,920
Strike 2191.05 has a total call value of 1,191,364,950 versus a total put value of 84,418,160,370 Combined total value = 85,609,525,320
Strike 2200 has a total call value of 1,344,299,865 versus a total put value of 79,428,555,060 Combined total value = 80,772,854,925
Strike 2210.45 has a total call value of 2,060,826,060 versus a total put value of 74,203,629,255 Combined total value = 76,264,455,315
Strike 2220 has a total call value of 2,715,641,865 versus a total put value of 69,502,175,715 Combined total value = 72,217,817,580
Strike 2229.8 has a total call value of 3,533,255,865 versus a total put value of 64,872,663,555 Combined total value = 68,405,919,420
Strike 2240 has a total call value of 4,479,426,225 versus a total put value of 60,280,175,775 Combined total value = 64,759,602,000
Strike 2249.2 has a total call value of 5,596,362,345 versus a total put value of 56,372,178,615 Combined total value = 61,968,540,960
Strike 2260 has a total call value of 6,980,299,185 versus a total put value of 51,784,529,775 Combined total value = 58,764,828,960
Strike 2268.6 has a total call value of 9,087,085,905 versus a total put value of 48,391,295,715 Combined total value = 57,478,381,620
Strike 2280 has a total call value of 11,947,084,845 versus a total put value of 43,893,287,775 Combined total value = 55,840,372,620
Strike 2288 has a total call value of 14,217,616,845 versus a total put value of 40,905,875,775 Combined total value = 55,123,492,620
Strike 2300 has a total call value of 17,710,182,045 versus a total put value of 36,424,757,775 Combined total value = 54,134,939,820
Strike 2307.35 has a total call value of 21,732,388,695 versus a total put value of 34,449,765,735 Combined total value = 56,182,154,430
Strike 2320 has a total call value of 28,806,625,425 versus a total put value of 31,136,233,590 Combined total value = 59,942,859,015
Strike 2326.75 has a total call value of 32,792,076,525 versus a total put value of 29,449,278,990 Combined total value = 62,241,355,515
Strike 2340 has a total call value of 40,900,329,225 versus a total put value of 26,421,171,690 Combined total value = 67,321,500,915
Strike 2346.15 has a total call value of 44,918,809,335 versus a total put value of 25,116,391,380 Combined total value = 70,035,200,715
Strike 2360 has a total call value of 54,210,785,415 versus a total put value of 22,296,102,030 Combined total value = 76,506,887,445
Strike 2365.55 has a total call value of 58,187,068,485 versus a total put value of 21,261,472,695 Combined total value = 79,448,541,180
Strike 2380 has a total call value of 68,779,060,095 versus a total put value of 18,787,388,490 Combined total value = 87,566,448,585
Strike 2384.95 has a total call value of 72,521,563,035 versus a total put value of 17,970,608,790 Combined total value = 90,492,171,825
Strike 2400 has a total call value of 83,982,597,060 versus a total put value of 15,498,894,615 Combined total value = 99,481,491,675
Strike 2404.3 has a total call value of 88,090,804,590 versus a total put value of 14,976,184,035 Combined total value = 103,066,988,625
Strike 2420 has a total call value of 103,234,137,540 versus a total put value of 13,138,026,465 Combined total value = 116,372,164,005
Strike 2423.7 has a total call value of 106,849,252,140 versus a total put value of 12,712,718,865 Combined total value = 119,561,971,005
Strike 2440 has a total call value of 123,181,255,560 versus a total put value of 11,278,266,705 Combined total value = 134,459,522,265
Strike 2443.1 has a total call value of 126,387,155,280 versus a total put value of 11,020,304,235 Combined total value = 137,407,459,515
Strike 2460 has a total call value of 143,985,632,280 versus a total put value of 9,613,992,705 Combined total value = 153,599,624,985
Strike 2462.5 has a total call value of 146,648,130,780 versus a total put value of 9,423,107,955 Combined total value = 156,071,238,735
Strike 2480 has a total call value of 165,432,704,280 versus a total put value of 8,142,071,205 Combined total value = 173,574,775,485
Strike 2481.9 has a total call value of 167,493,014,310 versus a total put value of 8,004,337,545 Combined total value = 175,497,351,855
Strike 2500 has a total call value of 187,272,864,450 versus a total put value of 6,767,747,355 Combined total value = 194,040,611,805
Strike 2501.25 has a total call value of 188,786,076,075 versus a total put value of 6,718,075,605 Combined total value = 195,504,151,680
Strike 2520 has a total call value of 211,555,513,575 versus a total put value of 5,986,324,980 Combined total value = 217,541,838,555
Strike 2520.65 has a total call value of 212,347,123,680 versus a total put value of 5,962,002,045 Combined total value = 218,309,125,725
Strike 2540 has a total call value of 236,196,159,285 versus a total put value of 5,418,497,310 Combined total value = 241,614,656,595
Strike 2540.05 has a total call value of 236,258,208,030 versus a total put value of 5,417,092,905 Combined total value = 241,675,300,935
Strike 2559.45 has a total call value of 260,420,642,250 versus a total put value of 4,872,783,225 Combined total value = 265,293,425,475
Strike 2560 has a total call value of 261,105,659,715 versus a total put value of 4,857,487,725 Combined total value = 265,963,147,440
Strike 2578.85 has a total call value of 284,811,402,750 versus a total put value of 4,333,851,690 Combined total value = 289,145,254,440
Strike 2580 has a total call value of 286,257,641,715 versus a total put value of 4,302,261,075 Combined total value = 290,559,902,790
Strike 2598.2 has a total call value of 309,145,945,335 versus a total put value of 3,802,305,255 Combined total value = 312,948,250,590
Strike 2600 has a total call value of 311,416,909,935 versus a total put value of 3,752,859,075 Combined total value = 315,169,769,010
Strike 2617.6 has a total call value of 334,185,315,375 versus a total put value of 3,389,030,115 Combined total value = 337,574,345,490
Strike 2620 has a total call value of 337,324,878,975 versus a total put value of 3,349,502,835 Combined total value = 340,674,381,810
Strike 2637 has a total call value of 359,563,454,475 versus a total put value of 3,071,619,135 Combined total value = 362,635,073,610
Strike 2640 has a total call value of 363,487,908,975 versus a total put value of 3,022,580,835 Combined total value = 366,510,489,810
Strike 2656.4 has a total call value of 385,043,452,335 versus a total put value of 2,755,518,315 Combined total value = 387,798,970,650
Strike 2660 has a total call value of 389,775,156,975 versus a total put value of 2,696,894,835 Combined total value = 392,472,051,810
Strike 2675.8 has a total call value of 410,542,082,895 versus a total put value of 2,440,091,115 Combined total value = 412,982,174,010
Strike 2680 has a total call value of 416,062,404,975 versus a total put value of 2,371,826,835 Combined total value = 418,434,231,810
Strike 2695.15 has a total call value of 436,019,936,295 versus a total put value of 2,125,587,825 Combined total value = 438,145,524,120
Strike 2700 has a total call value of 442,408,980,975 versus a total put value of 2,046,758,835 Combined total value = 444,455,739,810
Strike 2714.55 has a total call value of 461,838,228,900 versus a total put value of 1,826,906,880 Combined total value = 463,665,135,780
Strike 2720 has a total call value of 469,178,329,230 versus a total put value of 1,744,556,835 Combined total value = 470,922,886,065
Strike 2733.95 has a total call value of 487,966,292,460 versus a total put value of 1,536,788,325 Combined total value = 489,503,080,785
Strike 2740 has a total call value of 496,114,477,230 versus a total put value of 1,447,241,670 Combined total value = 497,561,718,900
Strike 2753.35 has a total call value of 514,094,356,020 versus a total put value of 1,249,646,985 Combined total value = 515,344,003,005
Strike 2760 has a total call value of 523,050,625,230 versus a total put value of 1,151,219,670 Combined total value = 524,201,844,900
Strike 2780 has a total call value of 549,986,773,230 versus a total put value of 855,815,670 Combined total value = 550,842,588,900
Strike 2792.1 has a total call value of 566,283,142,770 versus a total put value of 677,096,250 Combined total value = 566,960,239,020
Strike 2800 has a total call value of 577,004,698,080 versus a total put value of 561,144,000 Combined total value = 577,565,842,080
Strike 2820 has a total call value of 604,251,082,080 versus a total put value of 280,572,000 Combined total value = 604,531,654,080
Strike 2840 has a total call value of 631,497,466,080 versus a total put value of 0 Combined total value = 631,497,466,080
Max-Pain Table for Stocks
| Max Pain Table (Stocks) | ||
|---|---|---|
| Symbol | Symbol Ltp | Max Pain |
| 360ONE | 1141.6 | 1140 |
| ABB | 5080 | 5200 |
| ABCAPITAL | 344.15 | 350 |
| ADANIENSOL | 975 | 990 |
| ADANIENT | 2224.7 | 2300 |
| ADANIGREEN | 1008.5 | 1020 |
| ADANIPORTS | 1485.7 | 1500 |
| ALKEM | 5532.5 | 5650 |
| AMBER | 6561.5 | 6800 |
| AMBUJACEM | 535.25 | 550 |
| ANGELONE | 2473.1 | 2550 |
| APLAPOLLO | 1786.4 | 1760 |
| APOLLOHOSP | 6891 | 7100 |
| ASHOKLEY | 171.16 | 162 |
| ASIANPAINT | 2759 | 2800 |
| ASTRAL | 1406.5 | 1440 |
| AUBANK | 986.55 | 960 |
| AUROPHARMA | 1203.1 | 1200 |
| AXISBANK | 1228.5 | 1240 |
| BAJAJ-AUTO | 8770.5 | 9000 |
| BAJAJFINSV | 2021.2 | 2060 |
| BAJFINANCE | 999.2 | 1020 |
| BANDHANBNK | 145.48 | 150 |
| BANKBARODA | 287.8 | 290 |
| BANKINDIA | 141.82 | 143 |
| BDL | 1335.7 | 1380 |
| BEL | 382.1 | 400 |
| BHARATFORG | 1397.1 | 1400 |
| BHARTIARTL | 2093.1 | 2100 |
| BHEL | 272.7 | 280 |
| BIOCON | 390.8 | 390 |
| BLUESTARCO | 1855 | 1800 |
| BOSCHLTD | 35580 | 36000 |
| BPCL | 361.7 | 365 |
| BRITANNIA | 6020.5 | 6000 |
| BSE | 2673 | 2700 |
| CAMS | 744.4 | 770 |
| CANBK | 149.21 | 150 |
| CDSL | 1478.3 | 1540 |
| CGPOWER | 659.85 | 680 |
| CHOLAFIN | 1671.6 | 1700 |
| CIPLA | 1496.2 | 1520 |
| COALINDIA | 385.15 | 384.75 |
| COFORGE | 1841.1 | 1840 |
| COLPAL | 2087 | 2160 |
| CONCOR | 497.3 | 520 |
| CROMPTON | 256 | 265 |
| CUMMINSIND | 4373.3 | 4400 |
| CYIENT | 1134.9 | 1140 |
| DABUR | 490.85 | 500 |
| DALBHARAT | 2024.6 | 2040 |
| DELHIVERY | 399.9 | 410 |
| DIVISLAB | 6373 | 6400 |
| DIXON | 13225 | 13750 |
| DLF | 680.6 | 710 |
| DMART | 3751 | 3900 |
| DRREDDY | 1275.1 | 1270 |
| EICHERMOT | 7074 | 7100 |
| ETERNAL | 283.8 | 295 |
| EXIDEIND | 357.75 | 370 |
| FEDERALBNK | 264.4 | 260 |
| FORTIS | 865.4 | 890 |
| GAIL | 167.28 | 175 |
| GLENMARK | 1947.9 | 1940 |
| GMRAIRPORT | 99.85 | 102 |
| GODREJCP | 1180 | 1160 |
| GODREJPROP | 1994.4 | 2060 |
| GRASIM | 2805.9 | 2800 |
| HAL | 4237.2 | 4450 |
| HAVELLS | 1397.6 | 1440 |
| HCLTECH | 1655.7 | 1660 |
| HDFCAMC | 2713.6 | 2680 |
| HDFCBANK | 981.8 | 990 |
| HDFCLIFE | 753.85 | 770 |
| HEROMOTOCO | 5727 | 5900 |
| HFCL | 64.33 | 67 |
| HINDALCO | 854 | 820 |
| HINDPETRO | 462.3 | 460 |
| HINDUNILVR | 2260.2 | 2300 |
| HINDZINC | 589.25 | 560 |
| HUDCO | 205.74 | 220 |
| ICICIBANK | 1359.3 | 1370 |
| ICICIGI | 1946.5 | 1960 |
| ICICIPRULI | 642.9 | 630 |
| IDEA | 11.26 | 11 |
| IDFCFIRSTB | 83.46 | 82 |
| IEX | 139.68 | 145 |
| IIFL | 557 | 560 |
| INDHOTEL | 718.55 | 730 |
| INDIANB | 774.1 | 820 |
| INDIGO | 5103.5 | 5100 |
| INDUSINDBK | 831.9 | 850 |
| INDUSTOWER | 407.85 | 410 |
| INFY | 1622.8 | 1600 |
| INOXWIND | 124.4 | 130 |
| IOC | 161.63 | 162 |
| IRCTC | 662.1 | 685 |
| IREDA | 130.77 | 137.5 |
| IRFC | 110.51 | 115 |
| ITC | 400.45 | 405 |
| JINDALSTEL | 980.1 | 1020 |
| JIOFIN | 291 | 305 |
| JSWENERGY | 468.25 | 490 |
| JSWSTEEL | 1081 | 1120 |
| JUBLFOOD | 555.6 | 580 |
| KALYANKJIL | 469.3 | 480 |
| KAYNES | 4056.5 | 4300 |
| KEI | 4074 | 4100 |
| KFINTECH | 1061.4 | 1060 |
| KOTAKBANK | 2163 | 2160 |
| KPITTECH | 1150.5 | 1200 |
| LAURUSLABS | 1010.7 | 1000 |
| LICHSGFIN | 526.45 | 550 |
| LICI | 841.15 | 870 |
| LODHA | 1067 | 1100 |
| LT | 4031.5 | 4040 |
| LTF | 299.2 | 302.5 |
| LTIM | 6190 | 6200 |
| LUPIN | 2108.5 | 2100 |
| M&M | 3568.5 | 3650 |
| MANAPPURAM | 287.95 | 280 |
| MANKIND | 2125 | 2200 |
| MARICO | 739.75 | 740 |
| MARUTI | 16343 | 16200 |
| MAXHEALTH | 1049.4 | 1100 |
| MAZDOCK | 2345.6 | 2500 |
| MCX | 10133 | 10100 |
| MFSL | 1676.1 | 1700 |
| MOTHERSON | 117.03 | 115 |
| MPHASIS | 2871.1 | 2900 |
| MUTHOOTFIN | 3739.4 | 3750 |
| NATIONALUM | 278.95 | 270 |
| NAUKRI | 1334.3 | 1360 |
| NBCC | 108 | 111 |
| NCC | 153.5 | 165 |
| NESTLEIND | 1236.7 | 1240 |
| NHPC | 74.78 | 78 |
| NMDC | 76.36 | 77 |
| NTPC | 317.1 | 325 |
| NUVAMA | 7247 | 7300 |
| NYKAA | 242.75 | 252.5 |
| OBEROIRLTY | 1650.8 | 1660 |
| OFSS | 7619 | 8000 |
| OIL | 399 | 410 |
| ONGC | 231.64 | 237.5 |
| PAGEIND | 35620 | 37000 |
| PATANJALI | 551 | 550 |
| PAYTM | 1282.3 | 1300 |
| PERSISTENT | 6285 | 6300 |
| PETRONET | 267.85 | 278 |
| PFC | 333.6 | 355 |
| PGEL | 564.95 | 560 |
| PHOENIXLTD | 1789.5 | 1760 |
| PIDILITIND | 1445 | 1480 |
| PIIND | 3200.5 | 3350 |
| PNB | 118.6 | 120 |
| PNBHOUSING | 893.7 | 900 |
| POLICYBZR | 1828.3 | 1840 |
| POLYCAB | 7076 | 7200 |
| POWERGRID | 256.7 | 270 |
| POWERINDIA | 18220 | 19000 |
| PPLPHARMA | 165.95 | 175 |
| PRESTIGE | 1593.9 | 1640 |
| RBLBANK | 297.8 | 305 |
| RECLTD | 336.7 | 350 |
| RELIANCE | 1544.1 | 1540 |
| RVNL | 304.2 | 310 |
| SAIL | 127.15 | 132 |
| SAMMAANCAP | 145.2 | 155 |
| SBICARD | 845.1 | 870 |
| SBILIFE | 2012.4 | 2020 |
| SBIN | 975.5 | 970 |
| SHREECEM | 25665 | 26500 |
| SHRIRAMFIN | 863.4 | 850 |
| SIEMENS | 3058 | 3150 |
| SOLARINDS | 11720 | 12500 |
| SONACOMS | 485.55 | 500 |
| SRF | 3043.1 | 3000 |
| SUNPHARMA | 1741.6 | 1760 |
| SUPREMEIND | 3343.9 | 3400 |
| SUZLON | 51.48 | 54 |
| SYNGENE | 652.9 | 650 |
| TATACONSUM | 1172.9 | 1180 |
| TATAELXSI | 4958 | 5000 |
| TATAMOTORS | 0 | 320 |
| TATAPOWER | 373.05 | 390 |
| TATASTEEL | 168.14 | 170 |
| TATATECH | 639.8 | 670 |
| TCS | 3268 | 3220 |
| TECHM | 1594.9 | 1560 |
| TIINDIA | 2571.1 | 2700 |
| TITAGARH | 769 | 800 |
| TITAN | 3899.5 | 3860 |
| TMPV | 344 | 360 |
| TORNTPHARM | 3735 | 3750 |
| TORNTPOWER | 1250.2 | 1300 |
| TRENT | 4007 | 4200 |
| TVSMOTOR | 3585.5 | 3600 |
| ULTRACEMCO | 11425 | 11600 |
| UNIONBANK | 153.7 | 155 |
| UNITDSPR | 1390 | 1440 |
| UNOMINDA | 1220.7 | 1280 |
| UPL | 742.1 | 750 |
| VBL | 470.15 | 470 |
| VEDL | 577.35 | 555 |
| VOLTAS | 1401.1 | 1400 |
| WIPRO | 261.88 | 257.5 |
| YESBANK | 21.4 | 22 |
| ZYDUSLIFE | 911.4 | 930 |
Note:
| Stock LTP > Max Pain | Bearish Trend |
| Stock LTP < Max Pain | Bullish Trend |
Frequently Asked Questions
Max Pain, also known as the max pain price, is the strike price at which the maximum number of option contracts (both puts and calls) would expire worthless, causing the largest financial losses for option holders at expiration. This price point represents the level where option writers would experience the least payout obligation.
The max pain theory suggests that as expiration approaches, market makers and option writers may attempt to influence the stock price toward this level to minimize their payout obligations, making it a significant reference point for traders analyzing option expiration dynamics.
Max Pain is calculated by determining the total dollar value of in-the-money options at each strike price. Here's the step-by-step process:
- For each strike price: Calculate the difference between the current stock price and the strike price.
- Multiply by Open Interest: Multiply this difference by the open interest (number of contracts) at that strike for both call and put options.
- Sum the values: Add together the dollar value for put options and call options at each strike price.
- Repeat for all strikes: Perform this calculation for every available strike price in the option chain.
- Identify the maximum: The strike price with the highest combined dollar value is the Max Pain price.
This calculation helps identify the price level where option writers would face the maximum financial loss if the stock closes at that price on expiration day.
Traders can incorporate Max Pain analysis into their trading strategy in several ways:
- Expiration Day Trading: As option expiration approaches, traders can use Max Pain as a potential support or resistance level, as market makers may attempt to push the price toward this level.
- Option Selection: Understanding Max Pain helps traders choose strike prices that are less likely to be manipulated, potentially improving their option trade outcomes.
- Risk Management: If a stock is trading far from Max Pain before expiration, traders can anticipate potential price movement toward this level and adjust their positions accordingly.
- Market Sentiment Indicator: Comparing the current stock price to Max Pain can provide insights into market sentiment and potential price direction near expiration.
- Hedging Strategy: Option writers can use Max Pain to identify strike prices where they might face the least payout risk, helping them structure more efficient hedging strategies.
Max Pain provides insights into potential stock price behavior, especially near option expiration:
- Price Magnet Effect: If the stock price is significantly above or below Max Pain before expiration, there may be a tendency for the price to move toward Max Pain as expiration approaches, as option writers hedge their positions.
- Support/Resistance Level: Max Pain can act as a psychological and technical support or resistance level, especially on expiration day, as it represents the price where maximum option value would be lost.
- Volatility Indicator: A large gap between current price and Max Pain may indicate higher potential volatility or price movement as expiration nears.
- Market Maker Activity: Significant open interest concentration around Max Pain suggests where market makers might have the most incentive to influence price movement through their hedging activities.
Note: Max Pain is a theoretical concept and should be used in conjunction with other technical and fundamental analysis tools, as it does not guarantee price movement.
Max Pain is a dynamic value that changes continuously based on several factors:
- Open Interest Changes: As traders open and close option positions, the open interest at different strike prices changes, which directly affects the Max Pain calculation.
- Stock Price Movement: As the underlying stock price moves, different strike prices become in-the-money or out-of-the-money, altering the dollar value calculations.
- Time Decay: As expiration approaches, the time value of options decreases, but the intrinsic value calculations for Max Pain continue to evolve with price movements.
- New Option Contracts: When new strike prices are added or when significant new positions are opened, Max Pain may shift to reflect the new distribution of open interest.
For accurate Max Pain analysis, traders should monitor it regularly, especially in the days leading up to expiration, as it can shift significantly as market conditions and option positions change.
Max Pain and Spot Price are two distinct concepts that serve different purposes in options trading:
- Spot Price (Current Market Price): This is the current trading price of the underlying stock or index in the market. It represents the real-time value at which the asset can be bought or sold immediately.
- Max Pain Price: This is a calculated theoretical price level based on option open interest data. It represents the strike price where option writers would face minimum payout obligations, not necessarily where the stock is currently trading.
The relationship between these two prices is crucial: when the spot price is far from Max Pain, traders may anticipate potential price movement toward Max Pain as expiration approaches. However, this is not guaranteed, and many other factors influence stock price movement.
No, Max Pain is not always accurate and should not be used as the sole indicator for predicting stock price movement. Here's why:
- Market Forces: Strong fundamental news, earnings reports, or significant market events can override the Max Pain effect and drive prices in unexpected directions.
- Institutional Activity: Large institutional trades, algorithmic trading, and other market participants may have different objectives than minimizing option payouts.
- Limited Influence: While market makers may attempt to influence price toward Max Pain, their ability to do so is limited, especially in highly liquid stocks with strong directional momentum.
- Multiple Expirations: Stocks often have options expiring on different dates (weekly, monthly), which means multiple Max Pain levels may exist simultaneously, reducing the predictive power of any single level.
- Statistical Tool: Max Pain is best viewed as a statistical tool that provides context about option market dynamics rather than a guaranteed price target.
Traders should use Max Pain as one of many tools in their analysis, combining it with technical analysis, fundamental analysis, and market sentiment indicators for more comprehensive decision-making.
Max Pain becomes increasingly relevant as option expiration approaches:
- Last Trading Week: Max Pain analysis is most useful during the final week before expiration, when option writers are actively hedging and the "pinning effect" (price movement toward Max Pain) is most likely to occur.
- Expiration Day: On the day of expiration, Max Pain can serve as a key reference level, as market makers may attempt to keep the stock price near this level to minimize their payout obligations.
- High Open Interest: Max Pain is more reliable when there is significant open interest concentrated around specific strike prices, as this indicates where option writers have the most exposure.
- Low Volatility Periods: During periods of low market volatility, Max Pain may have a stronger influence, as there are fewer competing forces driving price movement.
- Monthly Expirations: Monthly option expirations (typically the third Friday) often show stronger Max Pain effects compared to weekly expirations, due to higher open interest and more significant market maker involvement.
While Max Pain can be calculated at any time, its predictive value and practical application increase significantly as expiration approaches, making it particularly useful for short-term trading strategies focused on expiration week dynamics.































































































































































































































