ADANIENT
Adani Enterprises LimitedMax Pain - ADANIENT
Strike 1880 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 299,325,225,450 Combined total value = 299,325,225,450
Strike 1900 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 283,864,719,450 Combined total value = 283,864,719,450
Strike 1900.2 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 283,710,114,390 Combined total value = 283,710,114,390
Strike 1920 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 268,693,604,310 Combined total value = 268,693,604,310
Strike 1938.95 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 254,340,480,150 Combined total value = 254,340,480,150
Strike 1940 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 253,553,429,340 Combined total value = 253,553,429,340
Strike 1960 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 238,604,627,340 Combined total value = 238,604,627,340
Strike 1977.75 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 225,397,349,340 Combined total value = 225,397,349,340
Strike 1980 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 223,731,321,765 Combined total value = 223,731,321,765
Strike 2000 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 208,922,187,765 Combined total value = 208,922,187,765
Strike 2016.55 has a total call value of 8,693,715 versus a total put value of 197,249,085,495 Combined total value = 197,257,779,210
Strike 2020 has a total call value of 10,506,000 versus a total put value of 194,830,218,045 Combined total value = 194,840,724,045
Strike 2035.9 has a total call value of 18,858,270 versus a total put value of 183,718,751,085 Combined total value = 183,737,609,355
Strike 2040 has a total call value of 21,012,000 versus a total put value of 180,870,126,435 Combined total value = 180,891,138,435
Strike 2055.3 has a total call value of 29,049,090 versus a total put value of 170,239,892,985 Combined total value = 170,268,942,075
Strike 2060 has a total call value of 31,518,000 versus a total put value of 167,021,450,955 Combined total value = 167,052,968,955
Strike 2074.7 has a total call value of 39,239,910 versus a total put value of 157,007,950,605 Combined total value = 157,047,190,515
Strike 2080 has a total call value of 42,024,000 versus a total put value of 153,414,673,035 Combined total value = 153,456,697,035
Strike 2094.1 has a total call value of 49,430,730 versus a total put value of 143,981,548,845 Combined total value = 144,030,979,575
Strike 2100 has a total call value of 52,530,000 versus a total put value of 140,034,355,035 Combined total value = 140,086,885,035
Strike 2113.5 has a total call value of 133,039,950 versus a total put value of 131,432,722,035 Combined total value = 131,565,761,985
Strike 2120 has a total call value of 171,804,000 versus a total put value of 127,321,523,385 Combined total value = 127,493,327,385
Strike 2132.85 has a total call value of 248,437,545 versus a total put value of 119,418,341,625 Combined total value = 119,666,779,170
Strike 2140 has a total call value of 301,903,815 versus a total put value of 115,145,237,790 Combined total value = 115,447,141,605
Strike 2152.25 has a total call value of 410,540,490 versus a total put value of 107,899,890,765 Combined total value = 108,310,431,255
Strike 2160 has a total call value of 479,269,815 versus a total put value of 103,412,368,740 Combined total value = 103,891,638,555
Strike 2171.65 has a total call value of 607,784,460 versus a total put value of 96,753,366,210 Combined total value = 97,361,150,670
Strike 2180 has a total call value of 699,895,815 versus a total put value of 92,005,116,165 Combined total value = 92,705,011,980
Strike 2191.05 has a total call value of 891,787,905 versus a total put value of 85,850,911,485 Combined total value = 86,742,699,390
Strike 2200 has a total call value of 1,047,211,815 versus a total put value of 80,943,996,120 Combined total value = 81,991,207,935
Strike 2210.45 has a total call value of 1,703,031,870 versus a total put value of 75,959,957,445 Combined total value = 77,662,989,315
Strike 2220 has a total call value of 2,302,369,815 versus a total put value of 71,473,923,255 Combined total value = 73,776,293,070
Strike 2229.8 has a total call value of 3,091,215,915 versus a total put value of 67,044,575,115 Combined total value = 70,135,791,030
Strike 2240 has a total call value of 3,986,011,935 versus a total put value of 62,659,475,775 Combined total value = 66,645,487,710
Strike 2249.2 has a total call value of 5,067,697,335 versus a total put value of 58,910,391,135 Combined total value = 63,978,088,470
Strike 2260 has a total call value of 6,383,221,575 versus a total put value of 54,509,291,775 Combined total value = 60,892,513,350
Strike 2268.6 has a total call value of 8,133,916,695 versus a total put value of 51,227,934,255 Combined total value = 59,361,850,950
Strike 2280 has a total call value of 10,536,682,155 versus a total put value of 46,878,227,775 Combined total value = 57,414,909,930
Strike 2288 has a total call value of 12,428,998,155 versus a total put value of 43,929,626,175 Combined total value = 56,358,624,330
Strike 2300 has a total call value of 15,355,722,555 versus a total put value of 39,506,723,775 Combined total value = 54,862,446,330
Strike 2307.35 has a total call value of 18,846,707,220 versus a total put value of 37,589,873,175 Combined total value = 56,436,580,395
Strike 2320 has a total call value of 25,040,670,930 versus a total put value of 34,368,980,775 Combined total value = 59,409,651,705
Strike 2326.75 has a total call value of 28,550,153,880 versus a total put value of 32,731,667,025 Combined total value = 61,281,820,905
Strike 2340 has a total call value of 35,719,185,630 versus a total put value of 29,868,148,575 Combined total value = 65,587,334,205
Strike 2346.15 has a total call value of 39,318,638,565 versus a total put value of 28,650,404,295 Combined total value = 67,969,042,860
Strike 2360 has a total call value of 47,655,396,765 versus a total put value of 25,908,004,575 Combined total value = 73,563,401,340
Strike 2365.55 has a total call value of 51,272,912,295 versus a total put value of 24,906,302,280 Combined total value = 76,179,214,575
Strike 2380 has a total call value of 60,929,029,425 versus a total put value of 22,527,770,145 Combined total value = 83,456,799,570
Strike 2384.95 has a total call value of 64,391,165,850 versus a total put value of 21,712,978,860 Combined total value = 86,104,144,710
Strike 2400 has a total call value of 75,034,185,720 versus a total put value of 19,248,240,360 Combined total value = 94,282,426,080
Strike 2404.3 has a total call value of 78,795,602,550 versus a total put value of 18,743,732,970 Combined total value = 97,539,335,520
Strike 2420 has a total call value of 92,661,103,080 versus a total put value of 16,901,694,360 Combined total value = 109,562,797,440
Strike 2423.7 has a total call value of 95,977,587,720 versus a total put value of 16,467,583,350 Combined total value = 112,445,171,070
Strike 2440 has a total call value of 111,139,062,060 versus a total put value of 15,004,925,670 Combined total value = 126,143,987,730
Strike 2443.1 has a total call value of 114,111,042,600 versus a total put value of 14,742,844,230 Combined total value = 128,853,886,830
Strike 2460 has a total call value of 130,467,182,010 versus a total put value of 13,314,077,670 Combined total value = 143,781,259,680
Strike 2462.5 has a total call value of 132,948,529,260 versus a total put value of 13,102,721,670 Combined total value = 146,051,250,930
Strike 2480 has a total call value of 150,462,340,260 versus a total put value of 11,680,008,420 Combined total value = 162,142,348,680
Strike 2481.9 has a total call value of 152,378,399,820 versus a total put value of 11,525,542,410 Combined total value = 163,903,942,230
Strike 2500 has a total call value of 170,754,432,060 versus a total put value of 10,054,050,420 Combined total value = 180,808,482,480
Strike 2501.25 has a total call value of 172,199,045,685 versus a total put value of 9,990,164,670 Combined total value = 182,189,210,355
Strike 2520 has a total call value of 194,011,355,685 versus a total put value of 9,031,878,420 Combined total value = 203,043,234,105
Strike 2520.65 has a total call value of 194,771,452,425 versus a total put value of 8,998,657,830 Combined total value = 203,770,110,255
Strike 2540 has a total call value of 217,717,636,380 versus a total put value of 8,194,462,155 Combined total value = 225,912,098,535
Strike 2540.05 has a total call value of 217,777,330,545 versus a total put value of 8,192,384,130 Combined total value = 225,969,714,675
Strike 2559.45 has a total call value of 241,016,596,365 versus a total put value of 7,386,110,430 Combined total value = 248,402,706,795
Strike 2560 has a total call value of 241,675,441,530 versus a total put value of 7,363,388,115 Combined total value = 249,038,829,645
Strike 2578.85 has a total call value of 264,445,745,775 versus a total put value of 6,584,632,410 Combined total value = 271,030,378,185
Strike 2580 has a total call value of 265,834,915,530 versus a total put value of 6,537,122,115 Combined total value = 272,372,037,645
Strike 2598.2 has a total call value of 287,820,036,870 versus a total put value of 5,785,220,055 Combined total value = 293,605,256,925
Strike 2600 has a total call value of 290,002,621,290 versus a total put value of 5,710,856,115 Combined total value = 295,713,477,405
Strike 2617.6 has a total call value of 312,082,525,290 versus a total put value of 5,111,544,435 Combined total value = 317,194,069,725
Strike 2620 has a total call value of 315,131,094,570 versus a total put value of 5,029,820,115 Combined total value = 320,160,914,685
Strike 2637 has a total call value of 336,725,126,970 versus a total put value of 4,453,040,715 Combined total value = 341,178,167,685
Strike 2640 has a total call value of 340,535,838,570 versus a total put value of 4,351,256,115 Combined total value = 344,887,094,685
Strike 2656.4 has a total call value of 361,452,357,570 versus a total put value of 3,794,833,635 Combined total value = 365,247,191,205
Strike 2660 has a total call value of 366,043,788,570 versus a total put value of 3,672,692,115 Combined total value = 369,716,480,685
Strike 2675.8 has a total call value of 386,195,069,070 versus a total put value of 3,137,114,775 Combined total value = 389,332,183,845
Strike 2680 has a total call value of 391,551,738,570 versus a total put value of 2,994,746,115 Combined total value = 394,546,484,685
Strike 2695.15 has a total call value of 410,874,010,695 versus a total put value of 2,481,202,020 Combined total value = 413,355,212,715
Strike 2700 has a total call value of 417,059,688,570 versus a total put value of 2,316,800,115 Combined total value = 419,376,488,685
Strike 2714.55 has a total call value of 435,984,041,310 versus a total put value of 1,823,594,400 Combined total value = 437,807,635,710
Strike 2720 has a total call value of 443,157,757,500 versus a total put value of 1,741,581,165 Combined total value = 444,899,338,665
Strike 2733.95 has a total call value of 461,519,838,390 versus a total put value of 1,534,674,765 Combined total value = 463,054,513,155
Strike 2740 has a total call value of 469,483,321,500 versus a total put value of 1,445,502,000 Combined total value = 470,928,823,500
Strike 2753.35 has a total call value of 487,055,635,470 versus a total put value of 1,248,732,345 Combined total value = 488,304,367,815
Strike 2760 has a total call value of 495,808,885,500 versus a total put value of 1,150,716,000 Combined total value = 496,959,601,500
Strike 2780 has a total call value of 522,134,449,500 versus a total put value of 855,930,000 Combined total value = 522,990,379,500
Strike 2792.1 has a total call value of 538,061,415,720 versus a total put value of 677,584,470 Combined total value = 538,739,000,190
Strike 2800 has a total call value of 548,460,013,500 versus a total put value of 561,144,000 Combined total value = 549,021,157,500
Strike 2820 has a total call value of 574,885,693,500 versus a total put value of 280,572,000 Combined total value = 575,166,265,500
Strike 2840 has a total call value of 601,311,373,500 versus a total put value of 0 Combined total value = 601,311,373,500
Max-Pain Table for Stocks
| Max Pain Table (Stocks) | ||
|---|---|---|
| Symbol | Symbol Ltp | Max Pain |
| 360ONE | 1117.9 | 1140 |
| ABB | 5117 | 5150 |
| ABCAPITAL | 364.05 | 350 |
| ADANIENSOL | 974.6 | 970 |
| ADANIENT | 2245.2 | 2300 |
| ADANIGREEN | 998.9 | 1020 |
| ADANIPORTS | 1497.2 | 1500 |
| ALKEM | 5667.5 | 5700 |
| AMBER | 6682.5 | 6500 |
| AMBUJACEM | 533.05 | 550 |
| ANGELONE | 2533.5 | 2600 |
| APLAPOLLO | 1740.8 | 1740 |
| APOLLOHOSP | 7091 | 7300 |
| ASHOKLEY | 159.58 | 156 |
| ASIANPAINT | 2796 | 2840 |
| ASTRAL | 1428.4 | 1460 |
| AUBANK | 972.05 | 950 |
| AUROPHARMA | 1163.6 | 1220 |
| AXISBANK | 1275.9 | 1270 |
| BAJAJ-AUTO | 8961 | 9100 |
| BAJAJFINSV | 2069.5 | 2080 |
| BAJFINANCE | 1016.7 | 1020 |
| BANDHANBNK | 141 | 150 |
| BANKBARODA | 289.85 | 290 |
| BANKINDIA | 141.64 | 145 |
| BDL | 1427.4 | 1480 |
| BEL | 389.45 | 405 |
| BHARATFORG | 1383.3 | 1400 |
| BHARTIARTL | 2089.7 | 2100 |
| BHEL | 277 | 280 |
| BIOCON | 383.65 | 395 |
| BLUESTARCO | 1738.6 | 1760 |
| BOSCHLTD | 36780 | 36500 |
| BPCL | 355.05 | 362.5 |
| BRITANNIA | 5884 | 5850 |
| BSE | 2715.8 | 2800 |
| CAMS | 749.5 | 780 |
| CANBK | 146.19 | 147 |
| CDSL | 1517.2 | 1580 |
| CGPOWER | 667.8 | 680 |
| CHOLAFIN | 1731.2 | 1700 |
| CIPLA | 1490.6 | 1520 |
| COALINDIA | 379.35 | 380 |
| COFORGE | 1873.5 | 1860 |
| COLPAL | 2158.9 | 2180 |
| CONCOR | 505.65 | 520 |
| CROMPTON | 253.15 | 265 |
| CUMMINSIND | 4479.1 | 4450 |
| CYIENT | 1131.6 | 1160 |
| DABUR | 503.6 | 510 |
| DALBHARAT | 1968 | 2000 |
| DELHIVERY | 415.3 | 420 |
| DIVISLAB | 6294 | 6400 |
| DIXON | 13517 | 14000 |
| DLF | 690.05 | 720 |
| DMART | 3910 | 4000 |
| DRREDDY | 1246.2 | 1260 |
| EICHERMOT | 7123 | 7100 |
| ETERNAL | 291.7 | 300 |
| EXIDEIND | 373.4 | 380 |
| FEDERALBNK | 260.85 | 255 |
| FORTIS | 863.85 | 900 |
| GAIL | 167.89 | 175 |
| GLENMARK | 1938.5 | 1940 |
| GMRAIRPORT | 100.41 | 102 |
| GODREJCP | 1128.8 | 1140 |
| GODREJPROP | 2043 | 2080 |
| GRASIM | 2746 | 2760 |
| HAL | 4303 | 4500 |
| HAVELLS | 1419.8 | 1440 |
| HCLTECH | 1657.6 | 1660 |
| HDFCAMC | 2558.9 | 2640 |
| HDFCBANK | 997.1 | 1000 |
| HDFCLIFE | 762.9 | 770 |
| HEROMOTOCO | 6001 | 6100 |
| HFCL | 67.21 | 70 |
| HINDALCO | 812.9 | 800 |
| HINDPETRO | 448.75 | 455 |
| HINDUNILVR | 2306.5 | 2340 |
| HINDZINC | 491.45 | 490 |
| HUDCO | 213.48 | 225 |
| ICICIBANK | 1375.2 | 1380 |
| ICICIGI | 1945.3 | 2000 |
| ICICIPRULI | 623.6 | 620 |
| IDEA | 10.74 | 10 |
| IDFCFIRSTB | 80.91 | 80 |
| IEX | 141.19 | 145 |
| IIFL | 567.25 | 560 |
| INDHOTEL | 727.75 | 730 |
| INDIANB | 793.9 | 820 |
| INDIGO | 4967.5 | 5050 |
| INDUSINDBK | 844.35 | 860 |
| INDUSTOWER | 403.05 | 405 |
| INFY | 1599 | 1600 |
| INOXWIND | 124.32 | 135 |
| IOC | 163.01 | 163 |
| IRCTC | 669.95 | 685 |
| IREDA | 134.46 | 140 |
| IRFC | 113.64 | 117 |
| ITC | 401.05 | 405 |
| JINDALSTEL | 1002.8 | 1020 |
| JIOFIN | 293.2 | 305 |
| JSWENERGY | 451.2 | 480 |
| JSWSTEEL | 1107.8 | 1140 |
| JUBLFOOD | 583.5 | 600 |
| KALYANKJIL | 473.35 | 480 |
| KAYNES | 4331 | 5000 |
| KEI | 4073 | 4050 |
| KFINTECH | 1039.6 | 1080 |
| KOTAKBANK | 2127.7 | 2120 |
| KPITTECH | 1206.1 | 1220 |
| LAURUSLABS | 1021.4 | 1000 |
| LICHSGFIN | 533.2 | 550 |
| LICI | 860.95 | 890 |
| LODHA | 1076 | 1140 |
| LT | 3997.5 | 4000 |
| LTF | 307.3 | 302.5 |
| LTIM | 6245.5 | 6200 |
| LUPIN | 2051.8 | 2060 |
| M&M | 3635.9 | 3700 |
| MANAPPURAM | 275.2 | 280 |
| MANKIND | 2180.4 | 2250 |
| MARICO | 730.5 | 730 |
| MARUTI | 16020 | 16100 |
| MAXHEALTH | 1074.7 | 1120 |
| MAZDOCK | 2489.1 | 2600 |
| MCX | 10358 | 10100 |
| MFSL | 1690.9 | 1700 |
| MOTHERSON | 116.75 | 115 |
| MPHASIS | 2878.8 | 2900 |
| MUTHOOTFIN | 3742.1 | 3700 |
| NATIONALUM | 265.65 | 265 |
| NAUKRI | 1376.3 | 1380 |
| NBCC | 108.1 | 112 |
| NCC | 162.68 | 170 |
| NESTLEIND | 1215.8 | 1240 |
| NHPC | 76.47 | 78 |
| NMDC | 74.83 | 76 |
| NTPC | 319.85 | 325 |
| NUVAMA | 7074 | 7200 |
| NYKAA | 252.95 | 257.5 |
| OBEROIRLTY | 1628 | 1640 |
| OFSS | 8062 | 8200 |
| OIL | 401.9 | 415 |
| ONGC | 239.84 | 240 |
| PAGEIND | 37195 | 38000 |
| PATANJALI | 539 | 550 |
| PAYTM | 1316.7 | 1300 |
| PERSISTENT | 6302 | 6300 |
| PETRONET | 269.25 | 280 |
| PFC | 342.5 | 360 |
| PGEL | 556.45 | 560 |
| PHOENIXLTD | 1739.2 | 1720 |
| PIDILITIND | 1459.8 | 1480 |
| PIIND | 3343 | 3400 |
| PNB | 117.83 | 120 |
| PNBHOUSING | 882.6 | 900 |
| POLICYBZR | 1957.3 | 1900 |
| POLYCAB | 7194 | 7300 |
| POWERGRID | 264.55 | 272.5 |
| POWERINDIA | 19500 | 19500 |
| PPLPHARMA | 173.34 | 182.5 |
| PRESTIGE | 1632.9 | 1660 |
| RBLBANK | 304.1 | 310 |
| RECLTD | 342.85 | 360 |
| RELIANCE | 1529.4 | 1540 |
| RVNL | 312.7 | 315 |
| SAIL | 129.15 | 134 |
| SAMMAANCAP | 141.59 | 160 |
| SBICARD | 865.35 | 880 |
| SBILIFE | 2006.2 | 2020 |
| SBIN | 959.35 | 965 |
| SHREECEM | 26100 | 26500 |
| SHRIRAMFIN | 846.7 | 840 |
| SIEMENS | 3142.8 | 3300 |
| SOLARINDS | 12588 | 13000 |
| SONACOMS | 479.15 | 500 |
| SRF | 2894.8 | 2900 |
| SUNPHARMA | 1776 | 1800 |
| SUPREMEIND | 3329.6 | 3400 |
| SUZLON | 52.55 | 54 |
| SYNGENE | 627.15 | 640 |
| TATACONSUM | 1146.7 | 1160 |
| TATAELXSI | 4979.5 | 5200 |
| TATAMOTORS | 0 | 320 |
| TATAPOWER | 376.25 | 390 |
| TATASTEEL | 160.67 | 170 |
| TATATECH | 652.1 | 680 |
| TCS | 3208.3 | 3200 |
| TECHM | 1561.6 | 1540 |
| TIINDIA | 2655.4 | 2750 |
| TITAGARH | 773.85 | 800 |
| TITAN | 3849 | 3840 |
| TMPV | 344.7 | 360 |
| TORNTPHARM | 3763.9 | 3750 |
| TORNTPOWER | 1259 | 1300 |
| TRENT | 4085.4 | 4300 |
| TVSMOTOR | 3614.5 | 3550 |
| ULTRACEMCO | 11414 | 11700 |
| UNIONBANK | 150.43 | 152.5 |
| UNITDSPR | 1435.4 | 1440 |
| UNOMINDA | 1231.7 | 1300 |
| UPL | 739.7 | 750 |
| VBL | 471.55 | 470 |
| VEDL | 516.15 | 520 |
| VOLTAS | 1335.9 | 1360 |
| WIPRO | 257.41 | 255 |
| YESBANK | 22.02 | 23 |
| ZYDUSLIFE | 920.25 | 930 |
Note:
| Stock LTP > Max Pain | Bearish Trend |
| Stock LTP < Max Pain | Bullish Trend |
Frequently Asked Questions
Max Pain, also known as the max pain price, is the strike price at which the maximum number of option contracts (both puts and calls) would expire worthless, causing the largest financial losses for option holders at expiration. This price point represents the level where option writers would experience the least payout obligation.
The max pain theory suggests that as expiration approaches, market makers and option writers may attempt to influence the stock price toward this level to minimize their payout obligations, making it a significant reference point for traders analyzing option expiration dynamics.
Max Pain is calculated by determining the total dollar value of in-the-money options at each strike price. Here's the step-by-step process:
- For each strike price: Calculate the difference between the current stock price and the strike price.
- Multiply by Open Interest: Multiply this difference by the open interest (number of contracts) at that strike for both call and put options.
- Sum the values: Add together the dollar value for put options and call options at each strike price.
- Repeat for all strikes: Perform this calculation for every available strike price in the option chain.
- Identify the maximum: The strike price with the highest combined dollar value is the Max Pain price.
This calculation helps identify the price level where option writers would face the maximum financial loss if the stock closes at that price on expiration day.
Traders can incorporate Max Pain analysis into their trading strategy in several ways:
- Expiration Day Trading: As option expiration approaches, traders can use Max Pain as a potential support or resistance level, as market makers may attempt to push the price toward this level.
- Option Selection: Understanding Max Pain helps traders choose strike prices that are less likely to be manipulated, potentially improving their option trade outcomes.
- Risk Management: If a stock is trading far from Max Pain before expiration, traders can anticipate potential price movement toward this level and adjust their positions accordingly.
- Market Sentiment Indicator: Comparing the current stock price to Max Pain can provide insights into market sentiment and potential price direction near expiration.
- Hedging Strategy: Option writers can use Max Pain to identify strike prices where they might face the least payout risk, helping them structure more efficient hedging strategies.
Max Pain provides insights into potential stock price behavior, especially near option expiration:
- Price Magnet Effect: If the stock price is significantly above or below Max Pain before expiration, there may be a tendency for the price to move toward Max Pain as expiration approaches, as option writers hedge their positions.
- Support/Resistance Level: Max Pain can act as a psychological and technical support or resistance level, especially on expiration day, as it represents the price where maximum option value would be lost.
- Volatility Indicator: A large gap between current price and Max Pain may indicate higher potential volatility or price movement as expiration nears.
- Market Maker Activity: Significant open interest concentration around Max Pain suggests where market makers might have the most incentive to influence price movement through their hedging activities.
Note: Max Pain is a theoretical concept and should be used in conjunction with other technical and fundamental analysis tools, as it does not guarantee price movement.
Max Pain is a dynamic value that changes continuously based on several factors:
- Open Interest Changes: As traders open and close option positions, the open interest at different strike prices changes, which directly affects the Max Pain calculation.
- Stock Price Movement: As the underlying stock price moves, different strike prices become in-the-money or out-of-the-money, altering the dollar value calculations.
- Time Decay: As expiration approaches, the time value of options decreases, but the intrinsic value calculations for Max Pain continue to evolve with price movements.
- New Option Contracts: When new strike prices are added or when significant new positions are opened, Max Pain may shift to reflect the new distribution of open interest.
For accurate Max Pain analysis, traders should monitor it regularly, especially in the days leading up to expiration, as it can shift significantly as market conditions and option positions change.
Max Pain and Spot Price are two distinct concepts that serve different purposes in options trading:
- Spot Price (Current Market Price): This is the current trading price of the underlying stock or index in the market. It represents the real-time value at which the asset can be bought or sold immediately.
- Max Pain Price: This is a calculated theoretical price level based on option open interest data. It represents the strike price where option writers would face minimum payout obligations, not necessarily where the stock is currently trading.
The relationship between these two prices is crucial: when the spot price is far from Max Pain, traders may anticipate potential price movement toward Max Pain as expiration approaches. However, this is not guaranteed, and many other factors influence stock price movement.
No, Max Pain is not always accurate and should not be used as the sole indicator for predicting stock price movement. Here's why:
- Market Forces: Strong fundamental news, earnings reports, or significant market events can override the Max Pain effect and drive prices in unexpected directions.
- Institutional Activity: Large institutional trades, algorithmic trading, and other market participants may have different objectives than minimizing option payouts.
- Limited Influence: While market makers may attempt to influence price toward Max Pain, their ability to do so is limited, especially in highly liquid stocks with strong directional momentum.
- Multiple Expirations: Stocks often have options expiring on different dates (weekly, monthly), which means multiple Max Pain levels may exist simultaneously, reducing the predictive power of any single level.
- Statistical Tool: Max Pain is best viewed as a statistical tool that provides context about option market dynamics rather than a guaranteed price target.
Traders should use Max Pain as one of many tools in their analysis, combining it with technical analysis, fundamental analysis, and market sentiment indicators for more comprehensive decision-making.
Max Pain becomes increasingly relevant as option expiration approaches:
- Last Trading Week: Max Pain analysis is most useful during the final week before expiration, when option writers are actively hedging and the "pinning effect" (price movement toward Max Pain) is most likely to occur.
- Expiration Day: On the day of expiration, Max Pain can serve as a key reference level, as market makers may attempt to keep the stock price near this level to minimize their payout obligations.
- High Open Interest: Max Pain is more reliable when there is significant open interest concentrated around specific strike prices, as this indicates where option writers have the most exposure.
- Low Volatility Periods: During periods of low market volatility, Max Pain may have a stronger influence, as there are fewer competing forces driving price movement.
- Monthly Expirations: Monthly option expirations (typically the third Friday) often show stronger Max Pain effects compared to weekly expirations, due to higher open interest and more significant market maker involvement.
While Max Pain can be calculated at any time, its predictive value and practical application increase significantly as expiration approaches, making it particularly useful for short-term trading strategies focused on expiration week dynamics.































































































































































































































