ADANIENT
Adani Enterprises LimitedMax Pain - ADANIENT
Strike 1840 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 354,331,043,145 Combined total value = 354,331,043,145
Strike 1860 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 337,761,845,145 Combined total value = 337,761,845,145
Strike 1880 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 321,192,647,145 Combined total value = 321,192,647,145
Strike 1900 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 304,680,305,145 Combined total value = 304,680,305,145
Strike 1900.2 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 304,515,181,725 Combined total value = 304,515,181,725
Strike 1920 has a total call value of 18,966,420 versus a total put value of 288,439,611,225 Combined total value = 288,458,577,645
Strike 1938.95 has a total call value of 37,118,625 versus a total put value of 273,085,188,015 Combined total value = 273,122,306,640
Strike 1940 has a total call value of 38,124,420 versus a total put value of 272,242,818,480 Combined total value = 272,280,942,900
Strike 1960 has a total call value of 57,282,420 versus a total put value of 256,232,292,480 Combined total value = 256,289,574,900
Strike 1977.75 has a total call value of 74,285,145 versus a total put value of 242,086,573,755 Combined total value = 242,160,858,900
Strike 1980 has a total call value of 76,440,420 versus a total put value of 240,302,701,305 Combined total value = 240,379,141,725
Strike 2000 has a total call value of 95,598,420 versus a total put value of 224,446,057,305 Combined total value = 224,541,655,725
Strike 2016.55 has a total call value of 119,122,590 versus a total put value of 211,940,403,975 Combined total value = 212,059,526,565
Strike 2020 has a total call value of 124,026,420 versus a total put value of 209,360,136,555 Combined total value = 209,484,162,975
Strike 2035.9 has a total call value of 146,626,680 versus a total put value of 197,513,178,525 Combined total value = 197,659,805,205
Strike 2040 has a total call value of 152,454,420 versus a total put value of 194,471,224,935 Combined total value = 194,623,679,355
Strike 2055.3 has a total call value of 174,201,840 versus a total put value of 183,129,945,405 Combined total value = 183,304,147,245
Strike 2060 has a total call value of 180,882,420 versus a total put value of 179,680,151,985 Combined total value = 179,861,034,405
Strike 2074.7 has a total call value of 201,777,000 versus a total put value of 168,936,704,025 Combined total value = 169,138,481,025
Strike 2080 has a total call value of 209,310,420 versus a total put value of 165,080,575,605 Combined total value = 165,289,886,025
Strike 2094.1 has a total call value of 231,094,920 versus a total put value of 154,933,791,195 Combined total value = 155,164,886,115
Strike 2100 has a total call value of 240,210,420 versus a total put value of 150,703,652,265 Combined total value = 150,943,862,685
Strike 2113.5 has a total call value of 337,823,520 versus a total put value of 141,631,474,065 Combined total value = 141,969,297,585
Strike 2120 has a total call value of 385,023,270 versus a total put value of 137,292,109,815 Combined total value = 137,677,133,085
Strike 2132.85 has a total call value of 479,127,675 versus a total put value of 129,040,702,050 Combined total value = 129,519,829,725
Strike 2140 has a total call value of 540,105,735 versus a total put value of 124,604,769,120 Combined total value = 125,144,874,855
Strike 2152.25 has a total call value of 660,098,160 versus a total put value of 117,084,612,945 Combined total value = 117,744,711,105
Strike 2160 has a total call value of 736,011,735 versus a total put value of 112,388,268,720 Combined total value = 113,124,280,455
Strike 2171.65 has a total call value of 877,125,855 versus a total put value of 105,447,397,935 Combined total value = 106,324,523,790
Strike 2180 has a total call value of 978,267,735 versus a total put value of 100,486,543,530 Combined total value = 101,464,811,265
Strike 2191.05 has a total call value of 1,163,330,925 versus a total put value of 94,070,450,535 Combined total value = 95,233,781,460
Strike 2200 has a total call value of 1,313,223,735 versus a total put value of 88,926,527,535 Combined total value = 90,239,751,270
Strike 2210.45 has a total call value of 2,052,353,280 versus a total put value of 83,520,452,025 Combined total value = 85,572,805,305
Strike 2220 has a total call value of 2,727,825,735 versus a total put value of 78,653,450,190 Combined total value = 81,381,275,925
Strike 2229.8 has a total call value of 3,566,031,495 versus a total put value of 73,846,182,690 Combined total value = 77,412,214,185
Strike 2240 has a total call value of 4,543,404,675 versus a total put value of 69,063,326,190 Combined total value = 73,606,730,865
Strike 2249.2 has a total call value of 5,697,865,755 versus a total put value of 64,991,868,030 Combined total value = 70,689,733,785
Strike 2260 has a total call value of 7,137,867,555 versus a total put value of 60,212,330,190 Combined total value = 67,350,197,745
Strike 2268.6 has a total call value of 9,337,131,795 versus a total put value of 56,679,316,890 Combined total value = 66,016,448,685
Strike 2280 has a total call value of 12,325,001,115 versus a total put value of 51,996,020,190 Combined total value = 64,321,021,305
Strike 2288 has a total call value of 14,689,963,515 versus a total put value of 48,875,614,590 Combined total value = 63,565,578,105
Strike 2300 has a total call value of 18,324,545,115 versus a total put value of 44,195,006,190 Combined total value = 62,519,551,305
Strike 2307.35 has a total call value of 22,484,383,455 versus a total put value of 42,084,199,380 Combined total value = 64,568,582,835
Strike 2320 has a total call value of 29,785,333,485 versus a total put value of 38,536,918,005 Combined total value = 68,322,251,490
Strike 2326.75 has a total call value of 33,895,095,285 versus a total put value of 36,725,026,980 Combined total value = 70,620,122,265
Strike 2340 has a total call value of 42,249,412,410 versus a total put value of 33,451,264,680 Combined total value = 75,700,677,090
Strike 2346.15 has a total call value of 46,371,271,560 versus a total put value of 32,032,273,335 Combined total value = 78,403,544,895
Strike 2360 has a total call value of 55,896,060,600 versus a total put value of 28,954,777,020 Combined total value = 84,850,837,620
Strike 2365.55 has a total call value of 59,972,153,760 versus a total put value of 27,816,907,695 Combined total value = 87,789,061,455
Strike 2380 has a total call value of 70,824,011,280 versus a total put value of 25,074,027,480 Combined total value = 95,898,038,760
Strike 2384.95 has a total call value of 74,652,321,975 versus a total put value of 24,165,168,870 Combined total value = 98,817,490,845
Strike 2400 has a total call value of 86,370,525,885 versus a total put value of 21,413,497,605 Combined total value = 107,784,023,490
Strike 2404.3 has a total call value of 90,623,295,975 versus a total put value of 20,810,533,545 Combined total value = 111,433,829,520
Strike 2420 has a total call value of 106,280,866,725 versus a total put value of 18,679,357,455 Combined total value = 124,960,224,180
Strike 2423.7 has a total call value of 110,018,428,755 versus a total put value of 18,184,994,535 Combined total value = 128,203,423,290
Strike 2440 has a total call value of 126,890,366,415 versus a total put value of 16,445,822,025 Combined total value = 143,336,188,440
Strike 2443.1 has a total call value of 130,198,569,855 versus a total put value of 16,129,906,605 Combined total value = 146,328,476,460
Strike 2460 has a total call value of 148,349,022,825 versus a total put value of 14,407,658,025 Combined total value = 162,756,680,850
Strike 2462.5 has a total call value of 151,096,110,075 versus a total put value of 14,170,037,025 Combined total value = 165,266,147,100
Strike 2480 has a total call value of 170,487,405,075 versus a total put value of 12,561,846,525 Combined total value = 183,049,251,600
Strike 2481.9 has a total call value of 172,614,996,765 versus a total put value of 12,388,593,315 Combined total value = 185,003,590,080
Strike 2500 has a total call value of 193,054,249,815 versus a total put value of 10,813,632,675 Combined total value = 203,867,882,490
Strike 2501.25 has a total call value of 194,616,244,815 versus a total put value of 10,740,361,050 Combined total value = 205,356,605,865
Strike 2520 has a total call value of 218,156,251,065 versus a total put value of 9,654,612,300 Combined total value = 227,810,863,365
Strike 2520.65 has a total call value of 218,974,453,710 versus a total put value of 9,618,017,430 Combined total value = 228,592,471,140
Strike 2540 has a total call value of 243,633,664,140 versus a total put value of 8,707,392,885 Combined total value = 252,341,057,025
Strike 2540.05 has a total call value of 243,697,800,180 versus a total put value of 8,705,039,850 Combined total value = 252,402,840,030
Strike 2559.45 has a total call value of 268,692,884,340 versus a total put value of 7,792,661,730 Combined total value = 276,485,546,070
Strike 2560 has a total call value of 269,401,507,860 versus a total put value of 7,766,914,305 Combined total value = 277,168,422,165
Strike 2578.85 has a total call value of 293,916,294,780 versus a total put value of 6,885,062,295 Combined total value = 300,801,357,075
Strike 2580 has a total call value of 295,411,891,860 versus a total put value of 6,831,546,585 Combined total value = 302,243,438,445
Strike 2598.2 has a total call value of 319,081,341,300 versus a total put value of 5,984,602,305 Combined total value = 325,065,943,605
Strike 2600 has a total call value of 321,429,339,600 versus a total put value of 5,901,450,405 Combined total value = 327,330,790,005
Strike 2617.6 has a total call value of 344,945,525,040 versus a total put value of 5,208,054,405 Combined total value = 350,153,579,445
Strike 2620 has a total call value of 348,187,058,640 versus a total put value of 5,123,586,165 Combined total value = 353,310,644,805
Strike 2637 has a total call value of 371,147,921,640 versus a total put value of 4,527,370,665 Combined total value = 375,675,292,305
Strike 2640 has a total call value of 375,199,838,640 versus a total put value of 4,422,156,165 Combined total value = 379,621,994,805
Strike 2656.4 has a total call value of 397,446,602,640 versus a total put value of 3,847,997,085 Combined total value = 401,294,599,725
Strike 2660 has a total call value of 402,330,038,640 versus a total put value of 3,721,962,165 Combined total value = 406,052,000,805
Strike 2675.8 has a total call value of 423,762,896,640 versus a total put value of 3,169,297,125 Combined total value = 426,932,193,765
Strike 2680 has a total call value of 429,460,238,640 versus a total put value of 3,022,386,165 Combined total value = 432,482,624,805
Strike 2695.15 has a total call value of 450,056,306,100 versus a total put value of 2,492,457,345 Combined total value = 452,548,763,445
Strike 2700 has a total call value of 456,649,766,640 versus a total put value of 2,322,810,165 Combined total value = 458,972,576,805
Strike 2714.55 has a total call value of 476,666,635,230 versus a total put value of 1,830,503,640 Combined total value = 478,497,138,870
Strike 2720 has a total call value of 484,226,672,490 versus a total put value of 1,747,648,380 Combined total value = 485,974,320,870
Strike 2733.95 has a total call value of 503,577,593,550 versus a total put value of 1,538,586,705 Combined total value = 505,116,180,255
Strike 2740 has a total call value of 511,969,928,490 versus a total put value of 1,448,479,215 Combined total value = 513,418,407,705
Strike 2753.35 has a total call value of 530,488,551,870 versus a total put value of 1,249,646,985 Combined total value = 531,738,198,855
Strike 2760 has a total call value of 539,713,184,490 versus a total put value of 1,151,219,670 Combined total value = 540,864,404,160
Strike 2780 has a total call value of 567,456,440,490 versus a total put value of 855,815,670 Combined total value = 568,312,256,160
Strike 2792.1 has a total call value of 584,241,110,370 versus a total put value of 677,096,250 Combined total value = 584,918,206,620
Strike 2800 has a total call value of 595,280,252,790 versus a total put value of 561,144,000 Combined total value = 595,841,396,790
Strike 2820 has a total call value of 623,325,092,790 versus a total put value of 280,572,000 Combined total value = 623,605,664,790
Strike 2840 has a total call value of 651,369,932,790 versus a total put value of 0 Combined total value = 651,369,932,790
Max-Pain Table for Stocks
| Max Pain Table (Stocks) | ||
|---|---|---|
| Symbol | Symbol Ltp | Max Pain |
| 360ONE | 1137.5 | 1140 |
| ABB | 5129.5 | 5200 |
| ABCAPITAL | 345.95 | 345 |
| ADANIENSOL | 975.95 | 980 |
| ADANIENT | 2229.3 | 2300 |
| ADANIGREEN | 1011.5 | 1020 |
| ADANIPORTS | 1499.1 | 1500 |
| ALKEM | 5539.5 | 5650 |
| AMBER | 6617 | 6800 |
| AMBUJACEM | 536.9 | 550 |
| ANGELONE | 2464.9 | 2550 |
| APLAPOLLO | 1806 | 1760 |
| APOLLOHOSP | 6964 | 7100 |
| ASHOKLEY | 173.15 | 163 |
| ASIANPAINT | 2784.6 | 2800 |
| ASTRAL | 1407 | 1440 |
| AUBANK | 981.85 | 960 |
| AUROPHARMA | 1227.1 | 1220 |
| AXISBANK | 1236.5 | 1240 |
| BAJAJ-AUTO | 8890 | 9000 |
| BAJAJFINSV | 2049.1 | 2060 |
| BAJFINANCE | 1009.3 | 1020 |
| BANDHANBNK | 149.4 | 152.5 |
| BANKBARODA | 288.75 | 290 |
| BANKINDIA | 142.15 | 143 |
| BDL | 1344 | 1400 |
| BEL | 389.7 | 400 |
| BHARATFORG | 1423 | 1400 |
| BHARTIARTL | 2088.6 | 2100 |
| BHEL | 274.45 | 280 |
| BIOCON | 398.75 | 395 |
| BLUESTARCO | 1830.5 | 1800 |
| BOSCHLTD | 35795 | 36000 |
| BPCL | 365 | 365 |
| BRITANNIA | 6058 | 6000 |
| BSE | 2715.8 | 2700 |
| CAMS | 755 | 770 |
| CANBK | 148.66 | 150 |
| CDSL | 1492.9 | 1540 |
| CGPOWER | 662.8 | 680 |
| CHOLAFIN | 1678.7 | 1700 |
| CIPLA | 1508.5 | 1520 |
| COALINDIA | 383.9 | 385 |
| COFORGE | 1849.8 | 1840 |
| COLPAL | 2084.8 | 2160 |
| CONCOR | 497.65 | 520 |
| CROMPTON | 251.95 | 260 |
| CUMMINSIND | 4397.9 | 4450 |
| CYIENT | 1143.7 | 1140 |
| DABUR | 493.45 | 500 |
| DALBHARAT | 2021.5 | 2040 |
| DELHIVERY | 403.4 | 410 |
| DIVISLAB | 6583.5 | 6500 |
| DIXON | 13245 | 13500 |
| DLF | 683.9 | 710 |
| DMART | 3763.6 | 3900 |
| DRREDDY | 1287.8 | 1270 |
| EICHERMOT | 7195.5 | 7100 |
| ETERNAL | 285.7 | 295 |
| EXIDEIND | 360.35 | 370 |
| FEDERALBNK | 266.65 | 260 |
| FORTIS | 882.2 | 890 |
| GAIL | 168.29 | 175 |
| GLENMARK | 1978.6 | 1940 |
| GMRAIRPORT | 101.19 | 102 |
| GODREJCP | 1185.6 | 1160 |
| GODREJPROP | 2009 | 2060 |
| GRASIM | 2817.7 | 2800 |
| HAL | 4277.1 | 4450 |
| HAVELLS | 1405 | 1440 |
| HCLTECH | 1646.3 | 1660 |
| HDFCAMC | 2677.1 | 2680 |
| HDFCBANK | 986.6 | 990 |
| HDFCLIFE | 756.35 | 770 |
| HEROMOTOCO | 5747 | 5900 |
| HFCL | 64.41 | 67 |
| HINDALCO | 860.25 | 820 |
| HINDPETRO | 464.35 | 460 |
| HINDUNILVR | 2272.3 | 2300 |
| HINDZINC | 584.65 | 560 |
| HUDCO | 207.6 | 217.5 |
| ICICIBANK | 1354.8 | 1370 |
| ICICIGI | 1936.6 | 1960 |
| ICICIPRULI | 649.5 | 630 |
| IDEA | 11.61 | 11 |
| IDFCFIRSTB | 83.73 | 82 |
| IEX | 139.8 | 145 |
| IIFL | 562.4 | 560 |
| INDHOTEL | 726.1 | 730 |
| INDIANB | 775.65 | 820 |
| INDIGO | 5117 | 5100 |
| INDUSINDBK | 832.65 | 850 |
| INDUSTOWER | 410.55 | 410 |
| INFY | 1646.2 | 1600 |
| INOXWIND | 124.22 | 130 |
| IOC | 161.18 | 161 |
| IRCTC | 667.65 | 690 |
| IREDA | 131.32 | 137.5 |
| IRFC | 111.06 | 115 |
| ITC | 401.1 | 405 |
| JINDALSTEL | 991.9 | 1020 |
| JIOFIN | 294.95 | 305 |
| JSWENERGY | 470.35 | 490 |
| JSWSTEEL | 1083.4 | 1120 |
| JUBLFOOD | 559.85 | 580 |
| KALYANKJIL | 473.95 | 480 |
| KAYNES | 4038.5 | 4300 |
| KEI | 4166.1 | 4100 |
| KFINTECH | 1073.4 | 1080 |
| KOTAKBANK | 2166.7 | 2160 |
| KPITTECH | 1165.8 | 1200 |
| LAURUSLABS | 1042.2 | 1010 |
| LICHSGFIN | 529 | 550 |
| LICI | 847 | 870 |
| LODHA | 1077.4 | 1100 |
| LT | 4075.3 | 4040 |
| LTF | 300.2 | 300 |
| LTIM | 6132 | 6100 |
| LUPIN | 2139.9 | 2100 |
| M&M | 3586.6 | 3650 |
| MANAPPURAM | 285.3 | 280 |
| MANKIND | 2154.5 | 2200 |
| MARICO | 736.9 | 730 |
| MARUTI | 16384 | 16300 |
| MAXHEALTH | 1073.3 | 1080 |
| MAZDOCK | 2379.7 | 2500 |
| MCX | 10333 | 10100 |
| MFSL | 1669.6 | 1700 |
| MOTHERSON | 119.55 | 116 |
| MPHASIS | 2882.2 | 2900 |
| MUTHOOTFIN | 3734.8 | 3750 |
| NATIONALUM | 280.1 | 270 |
| NAUKRI | 1329.2 | 1360 |
| NBCC | 109.9 | 111 |
| NCC | 153.29 | 165 |
| NESTLEIND | 1238 | 1240 |
| NHPC | 74.8 | 78 |
| NMDC | 76.22 | 77 |
| NTPC | 318 | 325 |
| NUVAMA | 7131 | 7300 |
| NYKAA | 243.65 | 250 |
| OBEROIRLTY | 1666.7 | 1660 |
| OFSS | 7665 | 7900 |
| OIL | 402.15 | 410 |
| ONGC | 232.52 | 237.5 |
| PAGEIND | 35570 | 37000 |
| PATANJALI | 558.5 | 550 |
| PAYTM | 1305.6 | 1300 |
| PERSISTENT | 6310 | 6300 |
| PETRONET | 270.45 | 278 |
| PFC | 336.95 | 355 |
| PGEL | 571.25 | 560 |
| PHOENIXLTD | 1813.6 | 1760 |
| PIDILITIND | 1451.4 | 1480 |
| PIIND | 3209.1 | 3350 |
| PNB | 119.05 | 120 |
| PNBHOUSING | 898.7 | 900 |
| POLICYBZR | 1836 | 1840 |
| POLYCAB | 7283 | 7300 |
| POWERGRID | 260.15 | 270 |
| POWERINDIA | 18130 | 18750 |
| PPLPHARMA | 169.45 | 175 |
| PRESTIGE | 1613.7 | 1640 |
| RBLBANK | 298.75 | 305 |
| RECLTD | 339.3 | 355 |
| RELIANCE | 1566.6 | 1550 |
| RVNL | 309.7 | 310 |
| SAIL | 125.65 | 130 |
| SAMMAANCAP | 145.53 | 155 |
| SBICARD | 850.05 | 870 |
| SBILIFE | 2024.4 | 2020 |
| SBIN | 980.7 | 970 |
| SHREECEM | 25540 | 26000 |
| SHRIRAMFIN | 860.4 | 850 |
| SIEMENS | 3100 | 3150 |
| SOLARINDS | 11735 | 12500 |
| SONACOMS | 484.85 | 495 |
| SRF | 3061.4 | 3000 |
| SUNPHARMA | 1749.3 | 1760 |
| SUPREMEIND | 3338.7 | 3400 |
| SUZLON | 51.78 | 54 |
| SYNGENE | 659.15 | 650 |
| TATACONSUM | 1172 | 1170 |
| TATAELXSI | 5195 | 5100 |
| TATAMOTORS | 0 | 320 |
| TATAPOWER | 375.3 | 390 |
| TATASTEEL | 168.74 | 170 |
| TATATECH | 645.05 | 670 |
| TCS | 3307.2 | 3240 |
| TECHM | 1600 | 1560 |
| TIINDIA | 2584.8 | 2700 |
| TITAGARH | 770.9 | 800 |
| TITAN | 3935.3 | 3880 |
| TMPV | 350.3 | 360 |
| TORNTPHARM | 3764.3 | 3750 |
| TORNTPOWER | 1256.9 | 1300 |
| TRENT | 4037 | 4200 |
| TVSMOTOR | 3618.5 | 3600 |
| ULTRACEMCO | 11498 | 11600 |
| UNIONBANK | 153.61 | 155 |
| UNITDSPR | 1395.5 | 1430 |
| UNOMINDA | 1237.9 | 1280 |
| UPL | 745.15 | 750 |
| VBL | 471.8 | 470 |
| VEDL | 574.7 | 555 |
| VOLTAS | 1402.7 | 1400 |
| WIPRO | 264.9 | 260 |
| YESBANK | 21.56 | 22 |
| ZYDUSLIFE | 919.5 | 930 |
Note:
| Stock LTP > Max Pain | Bearish Trend |
| Stock LTP < Max Pain | Bullish Trend |
Frequently Asked Questions
Max Pain, also known as the max pain price, is the strike price at which the maximum number of option contracts (both puts and calls) would expire worthless, causing the largest financial losses for option holders at expiration. This price point represents the level where option writers would experience the least payout obligation.
The max pain theory suggests that as expiration approaches, market makers and option writers may attempt to influence the stock price toward this level to minimize their payout obligations, making it a significant reference point for traders analyzing option expiration dynamics.
Max Pain is calculated by determining the total dollar value of in-the-money options at each strike price. Here's the step-by-step process:
- For each strike price: Calculate the difference between the current stock price and the strike price.
- Multiply by Open Interest: Multiply this difference by the open interest (number of contracts) at that strike for both call and put options.
- Sum the values: Add together the dollar value for put options and call options at each strike price.
- Repeat for all strikes: Perform this calculation for every available strike price in the option chain.
- Identify the maximum: The strike price with the highest combined dollar value is the Max Pain price.
This calculation helps identify the price level where option writers would face the maximum financial loss if the stock closes at that price on expiration day.
Traders can incorporate Max Pain analysis into their trading strategy in several ways:
- Expiration Day Trading: As option expiration approaches, traders can use Max Pain as a potential support or resistance level, as market makers may attempt to push the price toward this level.
- Option Selection: Understanding Max Pain helps traders choose strike prices that are less likely to be manipulated, potentially improving their option trade outcomes.
- Risk Management: If a stock is trading far from Max Pain before expiration, traders can anticipate potential price movement toward this level and adjust their positions accordingly.
- Market Sentiment Indicator: Comparing the current stock price to Max Pain can provide insights into market sentiment and potential price direction near expiration.
- Hedging Strategy: Option writers can use Max Pain to identify strike prices where they might face the least payout risk, helping them structure more efficient hedging strategies.
Max Pain provides insights into potential stock price behavior, especially near option expiration:
- Price Magnet Effect: If the stock price is significantly above or below Max Pain before expiration, there may be a tendency for the price to move toward Max Pain as expiration approaches, as option writers hedge their positions.
- Support/Resistance Level: Max Pain can act as a psychological and technical support or resistance level, especially on expiration day, as it represents the price where maximum option value would be lost.
- Volatility Indicator: A large gap between current price and Max Pain may indicate higher potential volatility or price movement as expiration nears.
- Market Maker Activity: Significant open interest concentration around Max Pain suggests where market makers might have the most incentive to influence price movement through their hedging activities.
Note: Max Pain is a theoretical concept and should be used in conjunction with other technical and fundamental analysis tools, as it does not guarantee price movement.
Max Pain is a dynamic value that changes continuously based on several factors:
- Open Interest Changes: As traders open and close option positions, the open interest at different strike prices changes, which directly affects the Max Pain calculation.
- Stock Price Movement: As the underlying stock price moves, different strike prices become in-the-money or out-of-the-money, altering the dollar value calculations.
- Time Decay: As expiration approaches, the time value of options decreases, but the intrinsic value calculations for Max Pain continue to evolve with price movements.
- New Option Contracts: When new strike prices are added or when significant new positions are opened, Max Pain may shift to reflect the new distribution of open interest.
For accurate Max Pain analysis, traders should monitor it regularly, especially in the days leading up to expiration, as it can shift significantly as market conditions and option positions change.
Max Pain and Spot Price are two distinct concepts that serve different purposes in options trading:
- Spot Price (Current Market Price): This is the current trading price of the underlying stock or index in the market. It represents the real-time value at which the asset can be bought or sold immediately.
- Max Pain Price: This is a calculated theoretical price level based on option open interest data. It represents the strike price where option writers would face minimum payout obligations, not necessarily where the stock is currently trading.
The relationship between these two prices is crucial: when the spot price is far from Max Pain, traders may anticipate potential price movement toward Max Pain as expiration approaches. However, this is not guaranteed, and many other factors influence stock price movement.
No, Max Pain is not always accurate and should not be used as the sole indicator for predicting stock price movement. Here's why:
- Market Forces: Strong fundamental news, earnings reports, or significant market events can override the Max Pain effect and drive prices in unexpected directions.
- Institutional Activity: Large institutional trades, algorithmic trading, and other market participants may have different objectives than minimizing option payouts.
- Limited Influence: While market makers may attempt to influence price toward Max Pain, their ability to do so is limited, especially in highly liquid stocks with strong directional momentum.
- Multiple Expirations: Stocks often have options expiring on different dates (weekly, monthly), which means multiple Max Pain levels may exist simultaneously, reducing the predictive power of any single level.
- Statistical Tool: Max Pain is best viewed as a statistical tool that provides context about option market dynamics rather than a guaranteed price target.
Traders should use Max Pain as one of many tools in their analysis, combining it with technical analysis, fundamental analysis, and market sentiment indicators for more comprehensive decision-making.
Max Pain becomes increasingly relevant as option expiration approaches:
- Last Trading Week: Max Pain analysis is most useful during the final week before expiration, when option writers are actively hedging and the "pinning effect" (price movement toward Max Pain) is most likely to occur.
- Expiration Day: On the day of expiration, Max Pain can serve as a key reference level, as market makers may attempt to keep the stock price near this level to minimize their payout obligations.
- High Open Interest: Max Pain is more reliable when there is significant open interest concentrated around specific strike prices, as this indicates where option writers have the most exposure.
- Low Volatility Periods: During periods of low market volatility, Max Pain may have a stronger influence, as there are fewer competing forces driving price movement.
- Monthly Expirations: Monthly option expirations (typically the third Friday) often show stronger Max Pain effects compared to weekly expirations, due to higher open interest and more significant market maker involvement.
While Max Pain can be calculated at any time, its predictive value and practical application increase significantly as expiration approaches, making it particularly useful for short-term trading strategies focused on expiration week dynamics.































































































































































































































