ADANIENT
Adani Enterprises LimitedMax Pain - ADANIENT
Strike 1880 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 323,954,272,845 Combined total value = 323,954,272,845
Strike 1900 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 307,659,466,845 Combined total value = 307,659,466,845
Strike 1900.2 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 307,496,518,785 Combined total value = 307,496,518,785
Strike 1920 has a total call value of 19,578,240 versus a total put value of 291,631,414,365 Combined total value = 291,650,992,605
Strike 1938.95 has a total call value of 38,316,000 versus a total put value of 276,458,513,205 Combined total value = 276,496,829,205
Strike 1940 has a total call value of 39,354,240 versus a total put value of 275,626,071,840 Combined total value = 275,665,426,080
Strike 1960 has a total call value of 59,130,240 versus a total put value of 259,799,709,840 Combined total value = 259,858,840,080
Strike 1977.75 has a total call value of 76,681,440 versus a total put value of 245,809,758,015 Combined total value = 245,886,439,455
Strike 1980 has a total call value of 78,906,240 versus a total put value of 244,043,823,015 Combined total value = 244,122,729,255
Strike 2000 has a total call value of 98,682,240 versus a total put value of 228,346,623,015 Combined total value = 228,445,305,255
Strike 2016.55 has a total call value of 122,206,410 versus a total put value of 215,987,740,050 Combined total value = 216,109,946,460
Strike 2020 has a total call value of 127,110,240 versus a total put value of 213,427,940,790 Combined total value = 213,555,051,030
Strike 2035.9 has a total call value of 149,710,500 versus a total put value of 201,648,783,540 Combined total value = 201,798,494,040
Strike 2040 has a total call value of 155,538,240 versus a total put value of 198,627,480,420 Combined total value = 198,783,018,660
Strike 2055.3 has a total call value of 177,285,660 versus a total put value of 187,352,861,460 Combined total value = 187,530,147,120
Strike 2060 has a total call value of 183,966,240 versus a total put value of 183,935,454,330 Combined total value = 184,119,420,570
Strike 2074.7 has a total call value of 204,860,820 versus a total put value of 173,283,760,830 Combined total value = 173,488,621,650
Strike 2080 has a total call value of 212,394,240 versus a total put value of 169,460,222,640 Combined total value = 169,672,616,880
Strike 2094.1 has a total call value of 234,178,740 versus a total put value of 159,379,663,110 Combined total value = 159,613,841,850
Strike 2100 has a total call value of 243,658,860 versus a total put value of 155,183,616,150 Combined total value = 155,427,275,010
Strike 2113.5 has a total call value of 320,414,460 versus a total put value of 145,961,681,100 Combined total value = 146,282,095,560
Strike 2120 has a total call value of 357,571,710 versus a total put value of 141,551,818,500 Combined total value = 141,909,390,210
Strike 2132.85 has a total call value of 431,822,865 versus a total put value of 133,110,216,600 Combined total value = 133,542,039,465
Strike 2140 has a total call value of 483,300,720 versus a total put value of 128,532,222,465 Combined total value = 129,015,523,185
Strike 2152.25 has a total call value of 590,801,820 versus a total put value of 120,819,775,590 Combined total value = 121,410,577,410
Strike 2160 has a total call value of 658,812,720 versus a total put value of 116,037,938,790 Combined total value = 116,696,751,510
Strike 2171.65 has a total call value of 793,087,125 versus a total put value of 108,941,194,500 Combined total value = 109,734,281,625
Strike 2180 has a total call value of 889,326,720 versus a total put value of 103,874,553,945 Combined total value = 104,763,880,665
Strike 2191.05 has a total call value of 1,090,096,380 versus a total put value of 97,299,347,580 Combined total value = 98,389,443,960
Strike 2200 has a total call value of 1,252,710,720 versus a total put value of 92,052,269,565 Combined total value = 93,304,980,285
Strike 2210.45 has a total call value of 1,954,383,285 versus a total put value of 86,639,735,955 Combined total value = 88,594,119,240
Strike 2220 has a total call value of 2,595,624,720 versus a total put value of 81,762,995,985 Combined total value = 84,358,620,705
Strike 2229.8 has a total call value of 3,418,386,660 versus a total put value of 76,892,741,925 Combined total value = 80,311,128,585
Strike 2240 has a total call value of 4,350,689,100 versus a total put value of 72,052,837,845 Combined total value = 76,403,526,945
Strike 2249.2 has a total call value of 5,498,327,460 versus a total put value of 67,881,597,405 Combined total value = 73,379,924,865
Strike 2260 has a total call value of 6,921,643,260 versus a total put value of 62,984,923,845 Combined total value = 69,906,567,105
Strike 2268.6 has a total call value of 8,775,976,980 versus a total put value of 59,310,802,605 Combined total value = 68,086,779,585
Strike 2280 has a total call value of 11,327,748,420 versus a total put value of 54,440,455,845 Combined total value = 65,768,204,265
Strike 2288 has a total call value of 13,330,068,420 versus a total put value of 51,129,211,845 Combined total value = 64,459,280,265
Strike 2300 has a total call value of 16,432,922,820 versus a total put value of 46,162,345,845 Combined total value = 62,595,268,665
Strike 2307.35 has a total call value of 20,124,450,030 versus a total put value of 43,904,595,630 Combined total value = 64,029,045,660
Strike 2320 has a total call value of 26,660,438,115 versus a total put value of 40,103,239,005 Combined total value = 66,763,677,120
Strike 2326.75 has a total call value of 30,348,461,265 versus a total put value of 38,158,068,555 Combined total value = 68,506,529,820
Strike 2340 has a total call value of 37,876,968,165 versus a total put value of 34,694,742,480 Combined total value = 72,571,710,645
Strike 2346.15 has a total call value of 41,625,598,575 versus a total put value of 33,198,596,925 Combined total value = 74,824,195,500
Strike 2360 has a total call value of 50,295,741,510 versus a total put value of 29,949,914,610 Combined total value = 80,245,656,120
Strike 2365.55 has a total call value of 54,031,931,580 versus a total put value of 28,746,191,205 Combined total value = 82,778,122,785
Strike 2380 has a total call value of 63,976,044,435 versus a total put value of 25,841,229,675 Combined total value = 89,817,274,110
Strike 2384.95 has a total call value of 67,527,506,580 versus a total put value of 24,878,989,770 Combined total value = 92,406,496,350
Strike 2400 has a total call value of 78,436,532,190 versus a total put value of 21,965,947,890 Combined total value = 100,402,480,080
Strike 2404.3 has a total call value of 82,261,593,750 versus a total put value of 21,337,339,920 Combined total value = 103,598,933,670
Strike 2420 has a total call value of 96,371,114,670 versus a total put value of 19,126,117,380 Combined total value = 115,497,232,050
Strike 2423.7 has a total call value of 99,749,794,830 versus a total put value of 18,612,318,360 Combined total value = 118,362,113,190
Strike 2440 has a total call value of 115,182,243,630 versus a total put value of 16,803,135,720 Combined total value = 131,985,379,350
Strike 2443.1 has a total call value of 118,206,333,930 versus a total put value of 16,475,533,920 Combined total value = 134,681,867,850
Strike 2460 has a total call value of 134,827,233,810 versus a total put value of 14,689,575,720 Combined total value = 149,516,809,530
Strike 2462.5 has a total call value of 137,350,836,810 versus a total put value of 14,442,839,220 Combined total value = 151,793,676,030
Strike 2480 has a total call value of 155,151,786,060 versus a total put value of 12,772,462,470 Combined total value = 167,924,248,530
Strike 2481.9 has a total call value of 157,099,138,050 versus a total put value of 12,592,751,160 Combined total value = 169,691,889,210
Strike 2500 has a total call value of 175,768,797,540 versus a total put value of 10,956,827,910 Combined total value = 186,725,625,450
Strike 2501.25 has a total call value of 177,228,822,540 versus a total put value of 10,881,895,410 Combined total value = 188,110,717,950
Strike 2520 has a total call value of 199,273,461,915 versus a total put value of 9,771,233,535 Combined total value = 209,044,695,450
Strike 2520.65 has a total call value of 200,042,596,905 versus a total put value of 9,733,775,010 Combined total value = 209,776,371,915
Strike 2540 has a total call value of 223,259,636,355 versus a total put value of 8,804,017,185 Combined total value = 232,063,653,540
Strike 2540.05 has a total call value of 223,320,021,135 versus a total put value of 8,801,614,710 Combined total value = 232,121,635,845
Strike 2559.45 has a total call value of 246,835,038,555 versus a total put value of 7,870,053,870 Combined total value = 254,705,092,425
Strike 2560 has a total call value of 247,501,701,420 versus a total put value of 7,843,779,600 Combined total value = 255,345,481,020
Strike 2578.85 has a total call value of 270,537,027,240 versus a total put value of 6,943,871,175 Combined total value = 277,480,898,415
Strike 2580 has a total call value of 271,942,365,420 versus a total put value of 6,889,324,950 Combined total value = 278,831,690,370
Strike 2598.2 has a total call value of 294,183,369,660 versus a total put value of 6,026,071,650 Combined total value = 300,209,441,310
Strike 2600 has a total call value of 296,390,315,640 versus a total put value of 5,941,306,770 Combined total value = 302,331,622,410
Strike 2617.6 has a total call value of 318,639,353,880 versus a total put value of 5,240,297,010 Combined total value = 323,879,650,890
Strike 2620 has a total call value of 321,712,395,960 versus a total put value of 5,155,161,330 Combined total value = 326,867,557,290
Strike 2637 has a total call value of 343,479,777,360 versus a total put value of 4,554,218,130 Combined total value = 348,033,995,490
Strike 2640 has a total call value of 347,321,079,960 versus a total put value of 4,448,169,330 Combined total value = 351,769,249,290
Strike 2656.4 has a total call value of 368,403,309,480 versus a total put value of 3,869,449,410 Combined total value = 372,272,758,890
Strike 2660 has a total call value of 373,031,115,960 versus a total put value of 3,742,413,330 Combined total value = 376,773,529,290
Strike 2675.8 has a total call value of 393,342,044,400 versus a total put value of 3,185,354,310 Combined total value = 396,527,398,710
Strike 2680 has a total call value of 398,741,151,960 versus a total put value of 3,037,275,330 Combined total value = 401,778,427,290
Strike 2695.15 has a total call value of 418,216,504,230 versus a total put value of 2,503,133,295 Combined total value = 420,719,637,525
Strike 2700 has a total call value of 424,451,187,960 versus a total put value of 2,332,137,330 Combined total value = 426,783,325,290
Strike 2714.55 has a total call value of 443,524,356,645 versus a total put value of 1,835,784,450 Combined total value = 445,360,141,095
Strike 2720 has a total call value of 450,751,457,220 versus a total put value of 1,752,592,380 Combined total value = 452,504,049,600
Strike 2733.95 has a total call value of 469,250,182,545 versus a total put value of 1,542,668,595 Combined total value = 470,792,851,140
Strike 2740 has a total call value of 477,272,927,220 versus a total put value of 1,452,187,215 Combined total value = 478,725,114,435
Strike 2753.35 has a total call value of 494,976,008,445 versus a total put value of 1,252,529,955 Combined total value = 496,228,538,400
Strike 2760 has a total call value of 503,794,397,220 versus a total put value of 1,153,691,670 Combined total value = 504,948,088,890
Strike 2780 has a total call value of 530,315,867,220 versus a total put value of 857,051,670 Combined total value = 531,172,918,890
Strike 2792.1 has a total call value of 546,361,356,570 versus a total put value of 677,584,470 Combined total value = 547,038,941,040
Strike 2800 has a total call value of 556,937,666,430 versus a total put value of 561,144,000 Combined total value = 557,498,810,430
Strike 2820 has a total call value of 583,816,958,430 versus a total put value of 280,572,000 Combined total value = 584,097,530,430
Strike 2840 has a total call value of 610,696,250,430 versus a total put value of 0 Combined total value = 610,696,250,430
Max-Pain Table for Stocks
| Max Pain Table (Stocks) | ||
|---|---|---|
| Symbol | Symbol Ltp | Max Pain |
| 360ONE | 1128.2 | 1140 |
| ABB | 5057.5 | 5200 |
| ABCAPITAL | 357.1 | 345 |
| ADANIENSOL | 960.5 | 980 |
| ADANIENT | 2216.2 | 2300 |
| ADANIGREEN | 993.8 | 1020 |
| ADANIPORTS | 1480.5 | 1500 |
| ALKEM | 5599 | 5700 |
| AMBER | 6451 | 6500 |
| AMBUJACEM | 528.95 | 550 |
| ANGELONE | 2542.6 | 2600 |
| APLAPOLLO | 1736.1 | 1760 |
| APOLLOHOSP | 7096 | 7300 |
| ASHOKLEY | 159.28 | 157 |
| ASIANPAINT | 2928.3 | 2900 |
| ASTRAL | 1433.3 | 1460 |
| AUBANK | 952.55 | 940 |
| AUROPHARMA | 1177.4 | 1220 |
| AXISBANK | 1273.8 | 1270 |
| BAJAJ-AUTO | 9026 | 9100 |
| BAJAJFINSV | 2059.2 | 2080 |
| BAJFINANCE | 1026.4 | 1030 |
| BANDHANBNK | 135.47 | 150 |
| BANKBARODA | 285.2 | 290 |
| BANKINDIA | 138.15 | 145 |
| BDL | 1423.1 | 1500 |
| BEL | 386.4 | 405 |
| BHARATFORG | 1373.6 | 1400 |
| BHARTIARTL | 2086.2 | 2100 |
| BHEL | 269.7 | 282.5 |
| BIOCON | 383.8 | 395 |
| BLUESTARCO | 1723.2 | 1760 |
| BOSCHLTD | 36595 | 36500 |
| BPCL | 357.55 | 360 |
| BRITANNIA | 5847.5 | 5900 |
| BSE | 2798.8 | 2800 |
| CAMS | 753.4 | 780 |
| CANBK | 142.84 | 149 |
| CDSL | 1520.9 | 1580 |
| CGPOWER | 647.15 | 680 |
| CHOLAFIN | 1724.4 | 1700 |
| CIPLA | 1497.6 | 1520 |
| COALINDIA | 377.35 | 380 |
| COFORGE | 1951.3 | 1860 |
| COLPAL | 2146.4 | 2200 |
| CONCOR | 500.15 | 520 |
| CROMPTON | 252.7 | 270 |
| CUMMINSIND | 4467 | 4450 |
| CYIENT | 1141.9 | 1160 |
| DABUR | 504.45 | 515 |
| DALBHARAT | 1993.8 | 2000 |
| DELHIVERY | 398.05 | 420 |
| DIVISLAB | 6328.5 | 6450 |
| DIXON | 13563 | 14250 |
| DLF | 687.45 | 720 |
| DMART | 3867.6 | 4000 |
| DRREDDY | 1266.5 | 1270 |
| EICHERMOT | 7142 | 7100 |
| ETERNAL | 285.25 | 300 |
| EXIDEIND | 373.25 | 380 |
| FEDERALBNK | 257.45 | 255 |
| FORTIS | 860.8 | 900 |
| GAIL | 166.81 | 175 |
| GLENMARK | 1921.9 | 1940 |
| GMRAIRPORT | 98.71 | 102 |
| GODREJCP | 1121.6 | 1140 |
| GODREJPROP | 1975.1 | 2060 |
| GRASIM | 2744.2 | 2760 |
| HAL | 4287.1 | 4500 |
| HAVELLS | 1407.3 | 1440 |
| HCLTECH | 1688.6 | 1660 |
| HDFCAMC | 2551.5 | 2650 |
| HDFCBANK | 1003.1 | 1000 |
| HDFCLIFE | 764.05 | 770 |
| HEROMOTOCO | 6167 | 6200 |
| HFCL | 66.49 | 70 |
| HINDALCO | 819.45 | 800 |
| HINDPETRO | 445.95 | 455 |
| HINDUNILVR | 2314 | 2340 |
| HINDZINC | 490.45 | 490 |
| HUDCO | 212.79 | 225 |
| ICICIBANK | 1389.6 | 1390 |
| ICICIGI | 1961.1 | 2000 |
| ICICIPRULI | 616.25 | 620 |
| IDEA | 10.29 | 10 |
| IDFCFIRSTB | 79.12 | 80 |
| IEX | 141.91 | 145 |
| IIFL | 554.65 | 560 |
| INDHOTEL | 718.1 | 740 |
| INDIANB | 779.1 | 830 |
| INDIGO | 4923.5 | 5200 |
| INDUSINDBK | 841.4 | 860 |
| INDUSTOWER | 403 | 410 |
| INFY | 1610.8 | 1600 |
| INOXWIND | 124.48 | 135 |
| IOC | 162.1 | 164 |
| IRCTC | 661.3 | 690 |
| IREDA | 131.21 | 140 |
| IRFC | 111.36 | 117 |
| ITC | 402.3 | 405 |
| JINDALSTEL | 997.5 | 1020 |
| JIOFIN | 297.2 | 310 |
| JSWENERGY | 453.85 | 480 |
| JSWSTEEL | 1119.1 | 1150 |
| JUBLFOOD | 584.2 | 600 |
| KALYANKJIL | 475.05 | 490 |
| KAYNES | 3807 | 5000 |
| KEI | 4095.2 | 4050 |
| KFINTECH | 1042 | 1080 |
| KOTAKBANK | 2131.6 | 2120 |
| KPITTECH | 1220.5 | 1240 |
| LAURUSLABS | 1004.1 | 1000 |
| LICHSGFIN | 522.8 | 550 |
| LICI | 857.55 | 890 |
| LODHA | 1072 | 1140 |
| LT | 3996.7 | 4020 |
| LTF | 299.3 | 300 |
| LTIM | 6256 | 6150 |
| LUPIN | 2070.7 | 2060 |
| M&M | 3681.7 | 3700 |
| MANAPPURAM | 271.75 | 280 |
| MANKIND | 2185.5 | 2250 |
| MARICO | 729.3 | 730 |
| MARUTI | 16187 | 16100 |
| MAXHEALTH | 1079.4 | 1120 |
| MAZDOCK | 2483.7 | 2650 |
| MCX | 10183 | 10100 |
| MFSL | 1695.3 | 1700 |
| MOTHERSON | 115.3 | 115 |
| MPHASIS | 2896.8 | 2900 |
| MUTHOOTFIN | 3775.7 | 3700 |
| NATIONALUM | 268.35 | 265 |
| NAUKRI | 1372.1 | 1380 |
| NBCC | 107.98 | 114 |
| NCC | 162.89 | 172.5 |
| NESTLEIND | 1214.8 | 1250 |
| NHPC | 76.43 | 78 |
| NMDC | 74.66 | 76 |
| NTPC | 319.5 | 325 |
| NUVAMA | 7127 | 7200 |
| NYKAA | 252.6 | 260 |
| OBEROIRLTY | 1610 | 1660 |
| OFSS | 8026 | 8200 |
| OIL | 403.95 | 415 |
| ONGC | 238.52 | 244 |
| PAGEIND | 37235 | 38000 |
| PATANJALI | 547.85 | 550 |
| PAYTM | 1321 | 1320 |
| PERSISTENT | 6347 | 6400 |
| PETRONET | 270.8 | 280 |
| PFC | 342.45 | 365 |
| PGEL | 529.6 | 550 |
| PHOENIXLTD | 1721.1 | 1740 |
| PIDILITIND | 1456.1 | 1480 |
| PIIND | 3329.7 | 3450 |
| PNB | 116 | 121 |
| PNBHOUSING | 873.15 | 900 |
| POLICYBZR | 1913.9 | 1880 |
| POLYCAB | 7025 | 7300 |
| POWERGRID | 265.2 | 275 |
| POWERINDIA | 19040 | 20000 |
| PPLPHARMA | 174.65 | 185 |
| PRESTIGE | 1610 | 1660 |
| RBLBANK | 300 | 310 |
| RECLTD | 342.6 | 360 |
| RELIANCE | 1543 | 1540 |
| RVNL | 307.15 | 310 |
| SAIL | 129.75 | 135 |
| SAMMAANCAP | 141.43 | 160 |
| SBICARD | 870.1 | 880 |
| SBILIFE | 2020.7 | 2020 |
| SBIN | 956.4 | 970 |
| SHREECEM | 26135 | 26500 |
| SHRIRAMFIN | 834.25 | 840 |
| SIEMENS | 3204.2 | 3300 |
| SOLARINDS | 12436 | 13250 |
| SONACOMS | 486.35 | 500 |
| SRF | 2831.9 | 2900 |
| SUNPHARMA | 1796.2 | 1800 |
| SUPREMEIND | 3348.4 | 3500 |
| SUZLON | 51.78 | 54 |
| SYNGENE | 632.15 | 640 |
| TATACONSUM | 1145.8 | 1170 |
| TATAELXSI | 5034.5 | 5200 |
| TATAMOTORS | 0 | 320 |
| TATAPOWER | 374.15 | 390 |
| TATASTEEL | 163.47 | 170 |
| TATATECH | 650.85 | 680 |
| TCS | 3236.5 | 3200 |
| TECHM | 1591.8 | 1540 |
| TIINDIA | 2566.8 | 2750 |
| TITAGARH | 763.05 | 820 |
| TITAN | 3767 | 3840 |
| TMPV | 348.3 | 360 |
| TORNTPHARM | 3760 | 3750 |
| TORNTPOWER | 1255.1 | 1300 |
| TRENT | 4090.5 | 4300 |
| TVSMOTOR | 3612.7 | 3550 |
| ULTRACEMCO | 11540 | 11700 |
| UNIONBANK | 148.36 | 152.5 |
| UNITDSPR | 1429.4 | 1440 |
| UNOMINDA | 1258.2 | 1300 |
| UPL | 739.85 | 750 |
| VBL | 469.8 | 470 |
| VEDL | 511.25 | 520 |
| VOLTAS | 1322.5 | 1360 |
| WIPRO | 261.38 | 255 |
| YESBANK | 21.9 | 23 |
| ZYDUSLIFE | 924.6 | 940 |
Note:
| Stock LTP > Max Pain | Bearish Trend |
| Stock LTP < Max Pain | Bullish Trend |
Frequently Asked Questions
Max Pain, also known as the max pain price, is the strike price at which the maximum number of option contracts (both puts and calls) would expire worthless, causing the largest financial losses for option holders at expiration. This price point represents the level where option writers would experience the least payout obligation.
The max pain theory suggests that as expiration approaches, market makers and option writers may attempt to influence the stock price toward this level to minimize their payout obligations, making it a significant reference point for traders analyzing option expiration dynamics.
Max Pain is calculated by determining the total dollar value of in-the-money options at each strike price. Here's the step-by-step process:
- For each strike price: Calculate the difference between the current stock price and the strike price.
- Multiply by Open Interest: Multiply this difference by the open interest (number of contracts) at that strike for both call and put options.
- Sum the values: Add together the dollar value for put options and call options at each strike price.
- Repeat for all strikes: Perform this calculation for every available strike price in the option chain.
- Identify the maximum: The strike price with the highest combined dollar value is the Max Pain price.
This calculation helps identify the price level where option writers would face the maximum financial loss if the stock closes at that price on expiration day.
Traders can incorporate Max Pain analysis into their trading strategy in several ways:
- Expiration Day Trading: As option expiration approaches, traders can use Max Pain as a potential support or resistance level, as market makers may attempt to push the price toward this level.
- Option Selection: Understanding Max Pain helps traders choose strike prices that are less likely to be manipulated, potentially improving their option trade outcomes.
- Risk Management: If a stock is trading far from Max Pain before expiration, traders can anticipate potential price movement toward this level and adjust their positions accordingly.
- Market Sentiment Indicator: Comparing the current stock price to Max Pain can provide insights into market sentiment and potential price direction near expiration.
- Hedging Strategy: Option writers can use Max Pain to identify strike prices where they might face the least payout risk, helping them structure more efficient hedging strategies.
Max Pain provides insights into potential stock price behavior, especially near option expiration:
- Price Magnet Effect: If the stock price is significantly above or below Max Pain before expiration, there may be a tendency for the price to move toward Max Pain as expiration approaches, as option writers hedge their positions.
- Support/Resistance Level: Max Pain can act as a psychological and technical support or resistance level, especially on expiration day, as it represents the price where maximum option value would be lost.
- Volatility Indicator: A large gap between current price and Max Pain may indicate higher potential volatility or price movement as expiration nears.
- Market Maker Activity: Significant open interest concentration around Max Pain suggests where market makers might have the most incentive to influence price movement through their hedging activities.
Note: Max Pain is a theoretical concept and should be used in conjunction with other technical and fundamental analysis tools, as it does not guarantee price movement.
Max Pain is a dynamic value that changes continuously based on several factors:
- Open Interest Changes: As traders open and close option positions, the open interest at different strike prices changes, which directly affects the Max Pain calculation.
- Stock Price Movement: As the underlying stock price moves, different strike prices become in-the-money or out-of-the-money, altering the dollar value calculations.
- Time Decay: As expiration approaches, the time value of options decreases, but the intrinsic value calculations for Max Pain continue to evolve with price movements.
- New Option Contracts: When new strike prices are added or when significant new positions are opened, Max Pain may shift to reflect the new distribution of open interest.
For accurate Max Pain analysis, traders should monitor it regularly, especially in the days leading up to expiration, as it can shift significantly as market conditions and option positions change.
Max Pain and Spot Price are two distinct concepts that serve different purposes in options trading:
- Spot Price (Current Market Price): This is the current trading price of the underlying stock or index in the market. It represents the real-time value at which the asset can be bought or sold immediately.
- Max Pain Price: This is a calculated theoretical price level based on option open interest data. It represents the strike price where option writers would face minimum payout obligations, not necessarily where the stock is currently trading.
The relationship between these two prices is crucial: when the spot price is far from Max Pain, traders may anticipate potential price movement toward Max Pain as expiration approaches. However, this is not guaranteed, and many other factors influence stock price movement.
No, Max Pain is not always accurate and should not be used as the sole indicator for predicting stock price movement. Here's why:
- Market Forces: Strong fundamental news, earnings reports, or significant market events can override the Max Pain effect and drive prices in unexpected directions.
- Institutional Activity: Large institutional trades, algorithmic trading, and other market participants may have different objectives than minimizing option payouts.
- Limited Influence: While market makers may attempt to influence price toward Max Pain, their ability to do so is limited, especially in highly liquid stocks with strong directional momentum.
- Multiple Expirations: Stocks often have options expiring on different dates (weekly, monthly), which means multiple Max Pain levels may exist simultaneously, reducing the predictive power of any single level.
- Statistical Tool: Max Pain is best viewed as a statistical tool that provides context about option market dynamics rather than a guaranteed price target.
Traders should use Max Pain as one of many tools in their analysis, combining it with technical analysis, fundamental analysis, and market sentiment indicators for more comprehensive decision-making.
Max Pain becomes increasingly relevant as option expiration approaches:
- Last Trading Week: Max Pain analysis is most useful during the final week before expiration, when option writers are actively hedging and the "pinning effect" (price movement toward Max Pain) is most likely to occur.
- Expiration Day: On the day of expiration, Max Pain can serve as a key reference level, as market makers may attempt to keep the stock price near this level to minimize their payout obligations.
- High Open Interest: Max Pain is more reliable when there is significant open interest concentrated around specific strike prices, as this indicates where option writers have the most exposure.
- Low Volatility Periods: During periods of low market volatility, Max Pain may have a stronger influence, as there are fewer competing forces driving price movement.
- Monthly Expirations: Monthly option expirations (typically the third Friday) often show stronger Max Pain effects compared to weekly expirations, due to higher open interest and more significant market maker involvement.
While Max Pain can be calculated at any time, its predictive value and practical application increase significantly as expiration approaches, making it particularly useful for short-term trading strategies focused on expiration week dynamics.































































































































































































































