ADANIENT
Adani Enterprises LimitedMax Pain - ADANIENT
Strike 1840 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 368,277,813,765 Combined total value = 368,277,813,765
Strike 1860 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 350,286,597,765 Combined total value = 350,286,597,765
Strike 1880 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 332,295,381,765 Combined total value = 332,295,381,765
Strike 1900 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 314,354,223,765 Combined total value = 314,354,223,765
Strike 1900.2 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 314,174,812,185 Combined total value = 314,174,812,185
Strike 1920 has a total call value of 18,966,420 versus a total put value of 296,704,903,905 Combined total value = 296,723,870,325
Strike 1938.95 has a total call value of 37,118,625 versus a total put value of 280,013,073,075 Combined total value = 280,050,191,700
Strike 1940 has a total call value of 38,124,420 versus a total put value of 279,098,480,970 Combined total value = 279,136,605,390
Strike 1960 has a total call value of 57,282,420 versus a total put value of 261,709,814,970 Combined total value = 261,767,097,390
Strike 1977.75 has a total call value of 74,285,145 versus a total put value of 246,344,836,320 Combined total value = 246,419,121,465
Strike 1980 has a total call value of 76,440,420 versus a total put value of 244,410,928,920 Combined total value = 244,487,369,340
Strike 2000 has a total call value of 95,598,420 versus a total put value of 227,220,640,920 Combined total value = 227,316,239,340
Strike 2016.55 has a total call value of 119,122,590 versus a total put value of 214,393,320,135 Combined total value = 214,512,442,725
Strike 2020 has a total call value of 124,026,420 versus a total put value of 211,740,454,710 Combined total value = 211,864,481,130
Strike 2035.9 has a total call value of 146,626,680 versus a total put value of 199,584,462,690 Combined total value = 199,731,089,370
Strike 2040 has a total call value of 152,454,420 versus a total put value of 196,464,848,130 Combined total value = 196,617,302,550
Strike 2055.3 has a total call value of 174,201,840 versus a total put value of 184,853,144,160 Combined total value = 185,027,346,000
Strike 2060 has a total call value of 180,882,420 versus a total put value of 181,320,279,180 Combined total value = 181,501,161,600
Strike 2074.7 has a total call value of 201,777,000 versus a total put value of 170,326,550,490 Combined total value = 170,528,327,490
Strike 2080 has a total call value of 209,310,420 versus a total put value of 166,381,494,960 Combined total value = 166,590,805,380
Strike 2094.1 has a total call value of 231,094,920 versus a total put value of 156,004,230,540 Combined total value = 156,235,325,460
Strike 2100 has a total call value of 240,210,420 versus a total put value of 151,676,373,450 Combined total value = 151,916,583,870
Strike 2113.5 has a total call value of 337,823,520 versus a total put value of 142,420,649,250 Combined total value = 142,758,472,770
Strike 2120 has a total call value of 385,023,270 versus a total put value of 137,992,911,000 Combined total value = 138,377,934,270
Strike 2132.85 has a total call value of 479,127,675 versus a total put value of 129,593,397,990 Combined total value = 130,072,525,665
Strike 2140 has a total call value of 542,094,150 versus a total put value of 125,075,056,305 Combined total value = 125,617,150,455
Strike 2152.25 has a total call value of 668,521,500 versus a total put value of 117,422,037,855 Combined total value = 118,090,559,355
Strike 2160 has a total call value of 748,506,150 versus a total put value of 112,664,388,030 Combined total value = 113,412,894,180
Strike 2171.65 has a total call value of 895,740,015 versus a total put value of 105,641,440,665 Combined total value = 106,537,180,680
Strike 2180 has a total call value of 1,001,268,150 versus a total put value of 100,620,984,795 Combined total value = 101,622,252,945
Strike 2191.05 has a total call value of 1,197,257,580 versus a total put value of 94,127,383,785 Combined total value = 95,324,641,365
Strike 2200 has a total call value of 1,356,000,150 versus a total put value of 88,923,171,795 Combined total value = 90,279,171,945
Strike 2210.45 has a total call value of 2,144,534,160 versus a total put value of 83,421,839,310 Combined total value = 85,566,373,470
Strike 2220 has a total call value of 2,865,156,150 versus a total put value of 78,477,522,585 Combined total value = 81,342,678,735
Strike 2229.8 has a total call value of 3,805,715,070 versus a total put value of 73,633,916,685 Combined total value = 77,439,631,755
Strike 2240 has a total call value of 4,929,646,950 versus a total put value of 68,817,020,745 Combined total value = 73,746,667,695
Strike 2249.2 has a total call value of 6,259,224,510 versus a total put value of 64,763,472,225 Combined total value = 71,022,696,735
Strike 2260 has a total call value of 7,914,475,710 versus a total put value of 60,004,958,745 Combined total value = 67,919,434,455
Strike 2268.6 has a total call value of 10,363,801,290 versus a total put value of 56,489,750,025 Combined total value = 66,853,551,315
Strike 2280 has a total call value of 13,695,124,110 versus a total put value of 51,830,054,745 Combined total value = 65,525,178,855
Strike 2288 has a total call value of 16,315,938,510 versus a total put value of 48,723,986,745 Combined total value = 65,039,925,255
Strike 2300 has a total call value of 20,343,938,910 versus a total put value of 44,064,884,745 Combined total value = 64,408,823,655
Strike 2307.35 has a total call value of 24,805,158,855 versus a total put value of 41,964,525,225 Combined total value = 66,769,684,080
Strike 2320 has a total call value of 32,627,549,475 versus a total put value of 38,434,833,675 Combined total value = 71,062,383,150
Strike 2326.75 has a total call value of 37,006,164,450 versus a total put value of 36,632,119,950 Combined total value = 73,638,284,400
Strike 2340 has a total call value of 45,887,820,975 versus a total put value of 33,376,372,350 Combined total value = 79,264,193,325
Strike 2346.15 has a total call value of 50,257,485,765 versus a total put value of 31,965,742,545 Combined total value = 82,223,228,310
Strike 2360 has a total call value of 60,339,485,235 versus a total put value of 28,907,076,690 Combined total value = 89,246,561,925
Strike 2365.55 has a total call value of 64,639,036,380 versus a total put value of 27,772,122,780 Combined total value = 92,411,159,160
Strike 2380 has a total call value of 76,071,350,400 versus a total put value of 25,036,833,150 Combined total value = 101,108,183,550
Strike 2384.95 has a total call value of 80,106,303,300 versus a total put value of 24,130,727,730 Combined total value = 104,237,031,030
Strike 2400 has a total call value of 92,452,783,005 versus a total put value of 21,387,427,275 Combined total value = 113,840,210,280
Strike 2404.3 has a total call value of 96,880,941,495 versus a total put value of 20,785,526,175 Combined total value = 117,666,467,670
Strike 2420 has a total call value of 113,179,854,105 versus a total put value of 18,658,231,125 Combined total value = 131,838,085,230
Strike 2423.7 has a total call value of 117,075,648,855 versus a total put value of 18,164,782,845 Combined total value = 135,240,431,700
Strike 2440 has a total call value of 134,640,636,435 versus a total put value of 16,429,136,025 Combined total value = 151,069,772,460
Strike 2443.1 has a total call value of 138,075,474,255 versus a total put value of 16,113,795,345 Combined total value = 154,189,269,600
Strike 2460 has a total call value of 156,914,722,215 versus a total put value of 14,394,680,025 Combined total value = 171,309,402,240
Strike 2462.5 has a total call value of 159,759,762,465 versus a total put value of 14,157,522,525 Combined total value = 173,917,284,990
Strike 2480 has a total call value of 179,863,225,215 versus a total put value of 12,552,576,525 Combined total value = 192,415,801,740
Strike 2481.9 has a total call value of 182,066,611,515 versus a total put value of 12,379,616,865 Combined total value = 194,446,228,380
Strike 2500 has a total call value of 203,222,315,055 versus a total put value of 10,807,452,675 Combined total value = 214,029,767,730
Strike 2501.25 has a total call value of 204,829,462,680 versus a total put value of 10,734,258,300 Combined total value = 215,563,720,980
Strike 2520 has a total call value of 229,047,917,055 versus a total put value of 9,649,668,300 Combined total value = 238,697,585,355
Strike 2520.65 has a total call value of 229,889,538,810 versus a total put value of 9,613,113,600 Combined total value = 239,502,652,410
Strike 2540 has a total call value of 255,236,949,405 versus a total put value of 8,703,684,885 Combined total value = 263,940,634,290
Strike 2540.05 has a total call value of 255,302,825,115 versus a total put value of 8,701,334,940 Combined total value = 264,004,160,055
Strike 2559.45 has a total call value of 280,966,307,175 versus a total put value of 7,790,155,740 Combined total value = 288,756,462,915
Strike 2560 has a total call value of 281,693,880,120 versus a total put value of 7,764,442,305 Combined total value = 289,458,322,425
Strike 2578.85 has a total call value of 306,867,434,955 versus a total put value of 6,883,755,225 Combined total value = 313,751,190,180
Strike 2580 has a total call value of 308,403,222,120 versus a total put value of 6,830,310,585 Combined total value = 315,233,532,705
Strike 2598.2 has a total call value of 332,708,723,340 versus a total put value of 5,984,491,065 Combined total value = 338,693,214,405
Strike 2600 has a total call value of 335,119,572,240 versus a total put value of 5,901,450,405 Combined total value = 341,021,022,645
Strike 2617.6 has a total call value of 359,192,649,840 versus a total put value of 5,208,054,405 Combined total value = 364,400,704,245
Strike 2620 has a total call value of 362,510,123,280 versus a total put value of 5,123,586,165 Combined total value = 367,633,709,445
Strike 2637 has a total call value of 386,008,893,480 versus a total put value of 4,527,370,665 Combined total value = 390,536,264,145
Strike 2640 has a total call value of 390,155,735,280 versus a total put value of 4,422,156,165 Combined total value = 394,577,891,445
Strike 2656.4 has a total call value of 412,890,509,160 versus a total put value of 3,847,997,085 Combined total value = 416,738,506,245
Strike 2660 has a total call value of 417,881,069,280 versus a total put value of 3,721,962,165 Combined total value = 421,603,031,445
Strike 2675.8 has a total call value of 439,784,083,140 versus a total put value of 3,169,297,125 Combined total value = 442,953,380,265
Strike 2680 has a total call value of 445,606,403,280 versus a total put value of 3,022,386,165 Combined total value = 448,628,789,445
Strike 2695.15 has a total call value of 466,653,284,745 versus a total put value of 2,492,457,345 Combined total value = 469,145,742,090
Strike 2700 has a total call value of 473,391,065,280 versus a total put value of 2,322,810,165 Combined total value = 475,713,875,445
Strike 2714.55 has a total call value of 493,824,708,435 versus a total put value of 1,830,503,640 Combined total value = 495,655,212,075
Strike 2720 has a total call value of 501,540,857,130 versus a total put value of 1,747,648,380 Combined total value = 503,288,505,510
Strike 2733.95 has a total call value of 521,291,366,175 versus a total put value of 1,538,586,705 Combined total value = 522,829,952,880
Strike 2740 has a total call value of 529,856,999,130 versus a total put value of 1,448,479,215 Combined total value = 531,305,478,345
Strike 2753.35 has a total call value of 548,758,023,915 versus a total put value of 1,249,646,985 Combined total value = 550,007,670,900
Strike 2760 has a total call value of 558,173,141,130 versus a total put value of 1,151,219,670 Combined total value = 559,324,360,800
Strike 2780 has a total call value of 586,489,283,130 versus a total put value of 855,815,670 Combined total value = 587,345,098,800
Strike 2792.1 has a total call value of 603,620,549,040 versus a total put value of 677,096,250 Combined total value = 604,297,645,290
Strike 2800 has a total call value of 614,885,737,320 versus a total put value of 561,144,000 Combined total value = 615,446,881,320
Strike 2820 has a total call value of 643,499,755,320 versus a total put value of 280,572,000 Combined total value = 643,780,327,320
Strike 2840 has a total call value of 672,113,773,320 versus a total put value of 0 Combined total value = 672,113,773,320
Max-Pain Table for Stocks
| Max Pain Table (Stocks) | ||
|---|---|---|
| Symbol | Symbol Ltp | Max Pain |
| 360ONE | 1131.1 | 1140 |
| ABB | 5148.5 | 5200 |
| ABCAPITAL | 348.15 | 345 |
| ADANIENSOL | 982.65 | 980 |
| ADANIENT | 2228 | 2300 |
| ADANIGREEN | 1018.5 | 1020 |
| ADANIPORTS | 1493.9 | 1500 |
| ALKEM | 5535.5 | 5650 |
| AMBER | 6649 | 6800 |
| AMBUJACEM | 539.25 | 550 |
| ANGELONE | 2506.7 | 2550 |
| APLAPOLLO | 1810.5 | 1760 |
| APOLLOHOSP | 6993.5 | 7100 |
| ASHOKLEY | 173.21 | 164 |
| ASIANPAINT | 2790.1 | 2800 |
| ASTRAL | 1420.5 | 1440 |
| AUBANK | 983 | 960 |
| AUROPHARMA | 1221.1 | 1220 |
| AXISBANK | 1233.3 | 1240 |
| BAJAJ-AUTO | 8980 | 9000 |
| BAJAJFINSV | 2039.9 | 2060 |
| BAJFINANCE | 1006 | 1020 |
| BANDHANBNK | 149.72 | 150 |
| BANKBARODA | 290.95 | 290 |
| BANKINDIA | 142.75 | 143 |
| BDL | 1360.9 | 1400 |
| BEL | 391.7 | 400 |
| BHARATFORG | 1433.2 | 1400 |
| BHARTIARTL | 2093.5 | 2100 |
| BHEL | 274.55 | 280 |
| BIOCON | 396.25 | 395 |
| BLUESTARCO | 1768.2 | 1780 |
| BOSCHLTD | 35685 | 36000 |
| BPCL | 363 | 365 |
| BRITANNIA | 6091 | 6000 |
| BSE | 2693.8 | 2700 |
| CAMS | 754.5 | 770 |
| CANBK | 147.77 | 150 |
| CDSL | 1493 | 1540 |
| CGPOWER | 670.5 | 680 |
| CHOLAFIN | 1639.5 | 1700 |
| CIPLA | 1510.1 | 1520 |
| COALINDIA | 385.1 | 385 |
| COFORGE | 1845.2 | 1840 |
| COLPAL | 2101 | 2160 |
| CONCOR | 499.25 | 520 |
| CROMPTON | 253.1 | 260 |
| CUMMINSIND | 4368.8 | 4400 |
| CYIENT | 1155.5 | 1140 |
| DABUR | 493.3 | 500 |
| DALBHARAT | 2018.9 | 2020 |
| DELHIVERY | 404.8 | 410 |
| DIVISLAB | 6438.5 | 6450 |
| DIXON | 13147 | 13500 |
| DLF | 686.6 | 710 |
| DMART | 3816 | 3900 |
| DRREDDY | 1272.3 | 1270 |
| EICHERMOT | 7213.5 | 7150 |
| ETERNAL | 286.65 | 295 |
| EXIDEIND | 361.3 | 370 |
| FEDERALBNK | 267.15 | 260 |
| FORTIS | 888.7 | 890 |
| GAIL | 169 | 175 |
| GLENMARK | 1981.4 | 1940 |
| GMRAIRPORT | 101.17 | 102 |
| GODREJCP | 1183.7 | 1160 |
| GODREJPROP | 2033.4 | 2060 |
| GRASIM | 2815.1 | 2800 |
| HAL | 4298 | 4500 |
| HAVELLS | 1411.6 | 1440 |
| HCLTECH | 1642.6 | 1660 |
| HDFCAMC | 2668.5 | 2660 |
| HDFCBANK | 987.2 | 990 |
| HDFCLIFE | 763 | 770 |
| HEROMOTOCO | 5740 | 5850 |
| HFCL | 64 | 67 |
| HINDALCO | 851.5 | 820 |
| HINDPETRO | 466.8 | 460 |
| HINDUNILVR | 2282.3 | 2300 |
| HINDZINC | 588 | 560 |
| HUDCO | 209.29 | 217.5 |
| ICICIBANK | 1355.7 | 1370 |
| ICICIGI | 1946.2 | 1960 |
| ICICIPRULI | 648.95 | 630 |
| IDEA | 11.65 | 11 |
| IDFCFIRSTB | 84.59 | 82 |
| IEX | 140.97 | 145 |
| IIFL | 560.55 | 560 |
| INDHOTEL | 729.5 | 730 |
| INDIANB | 777.2 | 810 |
| INDIGO | 5145 | 5100 |
| INDUSINDBK | 843 | 850 |
| INDUSTOWER | 411.2 | 410 |
| INFY | 1633.4 | 1600 |
| INOXWIND | 125.4 | 130 |
| IOC | 161.37 | 161 |
| IRCTC | 671.4 | 690 |
| IREDA | 132.25 | 140 |
| IRFC | 112.46 | 116 |
| ITC | 401.8 | 405 |
| JINDALSTEL | 989 | 1020 |
| JIOFIN | 297.05 | 305 |
| JSWENERGY | 476.6 | 490 |
| JSWSTEEL | 1078.6 | 1120 |
| JUBLFOOD | 563.3 | 580 |
| KALYANKJIL | 477.7 | 480 |
| KAYNES | 4152 | 4300 |
| KEI | 4238.7 | 4100 |
| KFINTECH | 1075.2 | 1080 |
| KOTAKBANK | 2163 | 2160 |
| KPITTECH | 1220.4 | 1200 |
| LAURUSLABS | 1038.7 | 1010 |
| LICHSGFIN | 530.25 | 550 |
| LICI | 848.5 | 870 |
| LODHA | 1081.9 | 1120 |
| LT | 4082.9 | 4040 |
| LTF | 299.1 | 300 |
| LTIM | 6187 | 6100 |
| LUPIN | 2120.1 | 2100 |
| M&M | 3605.5 | 3650 |
| MANAPPURAM | 290.05 | 282.5 |
| MANKIND | 2157.8 | 2200 |
| MARICO | 741.65 | 740 |
| MARUTI | 16448 | 16300 |
| MAXHEALTH | 1079.3 | 1100 |
| MAZDOCK | 2396.4 | 2500 |
| MCX | 10293 | 10100 |
| MFSL | 1679.9 | 1680 |
| MOTHERSON | 119.7 | 116 |
| MPHASIS | 2886.5 | 2900 |
| MUTHOOTFIN | 3765 | 3750 |
| NATIONALUM | 277.65 | 272.5 |
| NAUKRI | 1337.8 | 1360 |
| NBCC | 112.8 | 111 |
| NCC | 154.56 | 165 |
| NESTLEIND | 1240.9 | 1240 |
| NHPC | 76.23 | 78 |
| NMDC | 75.95 | 77 |
| NTPC | 319.1 | 325 |
| NUVAMA | 7100 | 7200 |
| NYKAA | 248.7 | 252.5 |
| OBEROIRLTY | 1666.4 | 1660 |
| OFSS | 7739 | 8000 |
| OIL | 406.15 | 410 |
| ONGC | 232.47 | 237.5 |
| PAGEIND | 35790 | 36500 |
| PATANJALI | 559.45 | 550 |
| PAYTM | 1324.9 | 1300 |
| PERSISTENT | 6352.5 | 6300 |
| PETRONET | 273.1 | 280 |
| PFC | 336.85 | 355 |
| PGEL | 580.35 | 560 |
| PHOENIXLTD | 1827.6 | 1760 |
| PIDILITIND | 1452.3 | 1480 |
| PIIND | 3229.7 | 3350 |
| PNB | 119.28 | 120 |
| PNBHOUSING | 915.05 | 900 |
| POLICYBZR | 1883 | 1860 |
| POLYCAB | 7403 | 7300 |
| POWERGRID | 263 | 270 |
| POWERINDIA | 18345 | 18500 |
| PPLPHARMA | 170.29 | 175 |
| PRESTIGE | 1617.2 | 1640 |
| RBLBANK | 299.6 | 305 |
| RECLTD | 338.35 | 350 |
| RELIANCE | 1567.9 | 1550 |
| RVNL | 315.35 | 315 |
| SAIL | 125.42 | 130 |
| SAMMAANCAP | 144.49 | 155 |
| SBICARD | 863.6 | 870 |
| SBILIFE | 2028.4 | 2020 |
| SBIN | 979.8 | 970 |
| SHREECEM | 25590 | 26000 |
| SHRIRAMFIN | 899.6 | 880 |
| SIEMENS | 3100.5 | 3150 |
| SOLARINDS | 11865 | 12500 |
| SONACOMS | 499 | 500 |
| SRF | 3075 | 3000 |
| SUNPHARMA | 1747.4 | 1760 |
| SUPREMEIND | 3368.2 | 3400 |
| SUZLON | 52.19 | 54 |
| SYNGENE | 650 | 650 |
| TATACONSUM | 1184.2 | 1180 |
| TATAELXSI | 5423 | 5300 |
| TATAMOTORS | 0 | 320 |
| TATAPOWER | 379 | 390 |
| TATASTEEL | 168.63 | 170 |
| TATATECH | 652.1 | 670 |
| TCS | 3296.8 | 3240 |
| TECHM | 1611.8 | 1560 |
| TIINDIA | 2615.8 | 2700 |
| TITAGARH | 778.25 | 800 |
| TITAN | 3939.5 | 3880 |
| TMPV | 351.85 | 360 |
| TORNTPHARM | 3776.7 | 3750 |
| TORNTPOWER | 1277.2 | 1300 |
| TRENT | 4065.2 | 4200 |
| TVSMOTOR | 3663.9 | 3600 |
| ULTRACEMCO | 11508 | 11600 |
| UNIONBANK | 153.46 | 155 |
| UNITDSPR | 1407.6 | 1430 |
| UNOMINDA | 1258.9 | 1280 |
| UPL | 745.7 | 750 |
| VBL | 468.85 | 470 |
| VEDL | 576.7 | 555 |
| VOLTAS | 1371.7 | 1380 |
| WIPRO | 264.68 | 260 |
| YESBANK | 21.59 | 22 |
| ZYDUSLIFE | 914 | 930 |
Note:
| Stock LTP > Max Pain | Bearish Trend |
| Stock LTP < Max Pain | Bullish Trend |
Frequently Asked Questions
Max Pain, also known as the max pain price, is the strike price at which the maximum number of option contracts (both puts and calls) would expire worthless, causing the largest financial losses for option holders at expiration. This price point represents the level where option writers would experience the least payout obligation.
The max pain theory suggests that as expiration approaches, market makers and option writers may attempt to influence the stock price toward this level to minimize their payout obligations, making it a significant reference point for traders analyzing option expiration dynamics.
Max Pain is calculated by determining the total dollar value of in-the-money options at each strike price. Here's the step-by-step process:
- For each strike price: Calculate the difference between the current stock price and the strike price.
- Multiply by Open Interest: Multiply this difference by the open interest (number of contracts) at that strike for both call and put options.
- Sum the values: Add together the dollar value for put options and call options at each strike price.
- Repeat for all strikes: Perform this calculation for every available strike price in the option chain.
- Identify the maximum: The strike price with the highest combined dollar value is the Max Pain price.
This calculation helps identify the price level where option writers would face the maximum financial loss if the stock closes at that price on expiration day.
Traders can incorporate Max Pain analysis into their trading strategy in several ways:
- Expiration Day Trading: As option expiration approaches, traders can use Max Pain as a potential support or resistance level, as market makers may attempt to push the price toward this level.
- Option Selection: Understanding Max Pain helps traders choose strike prices that are less likely to be manipulated, potentially improving their option trade outcomes.
- Risk Management: If a stock is trading far from Max Pain before expiration, traders can anticipate potential price movement toward this level and adjust their positions accordingly.
- Market Sentiment Indicator: Comparing the current stock price to Max Pain can provide insights into market sentiment and potential price direction near expiration.
- Hedging Strategy: Option writers can use Max Pain to identify strike prices where they might face the least payout risk, helping them structure more efficient hedging strategies.
Max Pain provides insights into potential stock price behavior, especially near option expiration:
- Price Magnet Effect: If the stock price is significantly above or below Max Pain before expiration, there may be a tendency for the price to move toward Max Pain as expiration approaches, as option writers hedge their positions.
- Support/Resistance Level: Max Pain can act as a psychological and technical support or resistance level, especially on expiration day, as it represents the price where maximum option value would be lost.
- Volatility Indicator: A large gap between current price and Max Pain may indicate higher potential volatility or price movement as expiration nears.
- Market Maker Activity: Significant open interest concentration around Max Pain suggests where market makers might have the most incentive to influence price movement through their hedging activities.
Note: Max Pain is a theoretical concept and should be used in conjunction with other technical and fundamental analysis tools, as it does not guarantee price movement.
Max Pain is a dynamic value that changes continuously based on several factors:
- Open Interest Changes: As traders open and close option positions, the open interest at different strike prices changes, which directly affects the Max Pain calculation.
- Stock Price Movement: As the underlying stock price moves, different strike prices become in-the-money or out-of-the-money, altering the dollar value calculations.
- Time Decay: As expiration approaches, the time value of options decreases, but the intrinsic value calculations for Max Pain continue to evolve with price movements.
- New Option Contracts: When new strike prices are added or when significant new positions are opened, Max Pain may shift to reflect the new distribution of open interest.
For accurate Max Pain analysis, traders should monitor it regularly, especially in the days leading up to expiration, as it can shift significantly as market conditions and option positions change.
Max Pain and Spot Price are two distinct concepts that serve different purposes in options trading:
- Spot Price (Current Market Price): This is the current trading price of the underlying stock or index in the market. It represents the real-time value at which the asset can be bought or sold immediately.
- Max Pain Price: This is a calculated theoretical price level based on option open interest data. It represents the strike price where option writers would face minimum payout obligations, not necessarily where the stock is currently trading.
The relationship between these two prices is crucial: when the spot price is far from Max Pain, traders may anticipate potential price movement toward Max Pain as expiration approaches. However, this is not guaranteed, and many other factors influence stock price movement.
No, Max Pain is not always accurate and should not be used as the sole indicator for predicting stock price movement. Here's why:
- Market Forces: Strong fundamental news, earnings reports, or significant market events can override the Max Pain effect and drive prices in unexpected directions.
- Institutional Activity: Large institutional trades, algorithmic trading, and other market participants may have different objectives than minimizing option payouts.
- Limited Influence: While market makers may attempt to influence price toward Max Pain, their ability to do so is limited, especially in highly liquid stocks with strong directional momentum.
- Multiple Expirations: Stocks often have options expiring on different dates (weekly, monthly), which means multiple Max Pain levels may exist simultaneously, reducing the predictive power of any single level.
- Statistical Tool: Max Pain is best viewed as a statistical tool that provides context about option market dynamics rather than a guaranteed price target.
Traders should use Max Pain as one of many tools in their analysis, combining it with technical analysis, fundamental analysis, and market sentiment indicators for more comprehensive decision-making.
Max Pain becomes increasingly relevant as option expiration approaches:
- Last Trading Week: Max Pain analysis is most useful during the final week before expiration, when option writers are actively hedging and the "pinning effect" (price movement toward Max Pain) is most likely to occur.
- Expiration Day: On the day of expiration, Max Pain can serve as a key reference level, as market makers may attempt to keep the stock price near this level to minimize their payout obligations.
- High Open Interest: Max Pain is more reliable when there is significant open interest concentrated around specific strike prices, as this indicates where option writers have the most exposure.
- Low Volatility Periods: During periods of low market volatility, Max Pain may have a stronger influence, as there are fewer competing forces driving price movement.
- Monthly Expirations: Monthly option expirations (typically the third Friday) often show stronger Max Pain effects compared to weekly expirations, due to higher open interest and more significant market maker involvement.
While Max Pain can be calculated at any time, its predictive value and practical application increase significantly as expiration approaches, making it particularly useful for short-term trading strategies focused on expiration week dynamics.































































































































































































































