SENSEX50
Sensex 50Max Pain - SENSEX50
Strike 75700 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 447,662,200,000 Combined total value = 447,662,200,000
Strike 75800 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 441,850,400,000 Combined total value = 441,850,400,000
Strike 75900 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 436,038,600,000 Combined total value = 436,038,600,000
Strike 76000 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 430,226,800,000 Combined total value = 430,226,800,000
Strike 76100 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 424,416,800,000 Combined total value = 424,416,800,000
Strike 76200 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 418,606,800,000 Combined total value = 418,606,800,000
Strike 76300 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 412,796,800,000 Combined total value = 412,796,800,000
Strike 76400 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 406,986,800,000 Combined total value = 406,986,800,000
Strike 76500 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 401,176,800,000 Combined total value = 401,176,800,000
Strike 76600 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 395,366,800,000 Combined total value = 395,366,800,000
Strike 76700 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 389,556,800,000 Combined total value = 389,556,800,000
Strike 76800 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 383,746,800,000 Combined total value = 383,746,800,000
Strike 76900 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 377,936,800,000 Combined total value = 377,936,800,000
Strike 77000 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 372,126,800,000 Combined total value = 372,126,800,000
Strike 77100 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 366,369,000,000 Combined total value = 366,369,000,000
Strike 77200 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 360,611,200,000 Combined total value = 360,611,200,000
Strike 77300 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 354,853,400,000 Combined total value = 354,853,400,000
Strike 77400 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 349,095,600,000 Combined total value = 349,095,600,000
Strike 77500 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 343,337,800,000 Combined total value = 343,337,800,000
Strike 77600 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 337,580,000,000 Combined total value = 337,580,000,000
Strike 77700 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 331,822,200,000 Combined total value = 331,822,200,000
Strike 77800 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 326,064,400,000 Combined total value = 326,064,400,000
Strike 77900 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 320,306,600,000 Combined total value = 320,306,600,000
Strike 78000 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 314,548,800,000 Combined total value = 314,548,800,000
Strike 78100 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 308,791,000,000 Combined total value = 308,791,000,000
Strike 78200 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 303,033,200,000 Combined total value = 303,033,200,000
Strike 78300 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 297,275,400,000 Combined total value = 297,275,400,000
Strike 78400 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 291,517,600,000 Combined total value = 291,517,600,000
Strike 78500 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 285,759,800,000 Combined total value = 285,759,800,000
Strike 78600 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 280,002,000,000 Combined total value = 280,002,000,000
Strike 78700 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 274,244,200,000 Combined total value = 274,244,200,000
Strike 78800 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 268,486,400,000 Combined total value = 268,486,400,000
Strike 78900 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 262,728,600,000 Combined total value = 262,728,600,000
Strike 79000 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 256,970,800,000 Combined total value = 256,970,800,000
Strike 79100 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 251,217,600,000 Combined total value = 251,217,600,000
Strike 79200 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 245,464,400,000 Combined total value = 245,464,400,000
Strike 79300 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 239,711,200,000 Combined total value = 239,711,200,000
Strike 79400 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 233,958,000,000 Combined total value = 233,958,000,000
Strike 79500 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 228,205,600,000 Combined total value = 228,205,600,000
Strike 79600 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 222,478,200,000 Combined total value = 222,478,200,000
Strike 79700 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 216,752,400,000 Combined total value = 216,752,400,000
Strike 79800 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 211,026,600,000 Combined total value = 211,026,600,000
Strike 79900 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 205,300,800,000 Combined total value = 205,300,800,000
Strike 80000 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 199,575,000,000 Combined total value = 199,575,000,000
Strike 80100 has a total call value of 400,000 versus a total put value of 194,078,600,000 Combined total value = 194,079,000,000
Strike 80200 has a total call value of 800,000 versus a total put value of 188,582,200,000 Combined total value = 188,583,000,000
Strike 80300 has a total call value of 1,200,000 versus a total put value of 183,085,800,000 Combined total value = 183,087,000,000
Strike 80400 has a total call value of 1,600,000 versus a total put value of 177,589,400,000 Combined total value = 177,591,000,000
Strike 80500 has a total call value of 2,000,000 versus a total put value of 172,104,600,000 Combined total value = 172,106,600,000
Strike 80600 has a total call value of 2,400,000 versus a total put value of 166,624,600,000 Combined total value = 166,627,000,000
Strike 80700 has a total call value of 2,800,000 versus a total put value of 161,144,600,000 Combined total value = 161,147,400,000
Strike 80800 has a total call value of 3,200,000 versus a total put value of 155,664,600,000 Combined total value = 155,667,800,000
Strike 80900 has a total call value of 3,600,000 versus a total put value of 150,184,600,000 Combined total value = 150,188,200,000
Strike 81000 has a total call value of 4,000,000 versus a total put value of 144,704,600,000 Combined total value = 144,708,600,000
Strike 81100 has a total call value of 4,600,000 versus a total put value of 139,346,600,000 Combined total value = 139,351,200,000
Strike 81200 has a total call value of 5,200,000 versus a total put value of 134,010,400,000 Combined total value = 134,015,600,000
Strike 81300 has a total call value of 5,800,000 versus a total put value of 128,686,600,000 Combined total value = 128,692,400,000
Strike 81400 has a total call value of 6,400,000 versus a total put value of 123,376,800,000 Combined total value = 123,383,200,000
Strike 81500 has a total call value of 7,000,000 versus a total put value of 118,091,200,000 Combined total value = 118,098,200,000
Strike 81600 has a total call value of 7,600,000 versus a total put value of 113,030,600,000 Combined total value = 113,038,200,000
Strike 81700 has a total call value of 8,200,000 versus a total put value of 107,994,400,000 Combined total value = 108,002,600,000
Strike 81800 has a total call value of 8,800,000 versus a total put value of 102,975,000,000 Combined total value = 102,983,800,000
Strike 81900 has a total call value of 9,400,000 versus a total put value of 97,968,600,000 Combined total value = 97,978,000,000
Strike 82000 has a total call value of 10,000,000 versus a total put value of 92,976,000,000 Combined total value = 92,986,000,000
Strike 82100 has a total call value of 33,200,000 versus a total put value of 88,473,200,000 Combined total value = 88,506,400,000
Strike 82200 has a total call value of 56,400,000 versus a total put value of 83,993,800,000 Combined total value = 84,050,200,000
Strike 82300 has a total call value of 79,600,000 versus a total put value of 79,550,000,000 Combined total value = 79,629,600,000
Strike 82400 has a total call value of 102,800,000 versus a total put value of 75,141,200,000 Combined total value = 75,244,000,000
Strike 82500 has a total call value of 126,000,000 versus a total put value of 70,798,400,000 Combined total value = 70,924,400,000
Strike 82600 has a total call value of 151,800,000 versus a total put value of 66,662,000,000 Combined total value = 66,813,800,000
Strike 82700 has a total call value of 177,600,000 versus a total put value of 62,567,400,000 Combined total value = 62,745,000,000
Strike 82800 has a total call value of 203,400,000 versus a total put value of 58,555,800,000 Combined total value = 58,759,200,000
Strike 82900 has a total call value of 229,200,000 versus a total put value of 54,595,000,000 Combined total value = 54,824,200,000
Strike 83000 has a total call value of 285,200,000 versus a total put value of 50,685,400,000 Combined total value = 50,970,600,000
Strike 83100 has a total call value of 472,400,000 versus a total put value of 47,133,600,000 Combined total value = 47,606,000,000
Strike 83200 has a total call value of 727,400,000 versus a total put value of 43,621,000,000 Combined total value = 44,348,400,000
Strike 83300 has a total call value of 1,043,200,000 versus a total put value of 40,163,400,000 Combined total value = 41,206,600,000
Strike 83400 has a total call value of 1,414,200,000 versus a total put value of 36,767,400,000 Combined total value = 38,181,600,000
Strike 83500 has a total call value of 1,847,000,000 versus a total put value of 33,433,400,000 Combined total value = 35,280,400,000
Strike 83600 has a total call value of 2,667,600,000 versus a total put value of 30,505,600,000 Combined total value = 33,173,200,000
Strike 83700 has a total call value of 3,584,200,000 versus a total put value of 27,656,200,000 Combined total value = 31,240,400,000
Strike 83800 has a total call value of 4,592,400,000 versus a total put value of 24,867,000,000 Combined total value = 29,459,400,000
Strike 83900 has a total call value of 5,698,000,000 versus a total put value of 22,151,600,000 Combined total value = 27,849,600,000
Strike 84000 has a total call value of 6,876,600,000 versus a total put value of 19,510,200,000 Combined total value = 26,386,800,000
Strike 84100 has a total call value of 9,044,600,000 versus a total put value of 17,809,000,000 Combined total value = 26,853,600,000
Strike 84200 has a total call value of 11,280,600,000 versus a total put value of 16,150,800,000 Combined total value = 27,431,400,000
Strike 84300 has a total call value of 13,591,200,000 versus a total put value of 14,535,600,000 Combined total value = 28,126,800,000
Strike 84400 has a total call value of 15,995,200,000 versus a total put value of 12,972,200,000 Combined total value = 28,967,400,000
Strike 84500 has a total call value of 18,479,000,000 versus a total put value of 11,448,400,000 Combined total value = 29,927,400,000
Strike 84600 has a total call value of 21,350,600,000 versus a total put value of 10,222,000,000 Combined total value = 31,572,600,000
Strike 84700 has a total call value of 24,286,800,000 versus a total put value of 9,032,600,000 Combined total value = 33,319,400,000
Strike 84800 has a total call value of 27,308,800,000 versus a total put value of 7,879,200,000 Combined total value = 35,188,000,000
Strike 84900 has a total call value of 30,457,400,000 versus a total put value of 6,772,800,000 Combined total value = 37,230,200,000
Strike 85000 has a total call value of 33,708,200,000 versus a total put value of 5,705,800,000 Combined total value = 39,414,000,000
Strike 85100 has a total call value of 37,658,200,000 versus a total put value of 4,866,600,000 Combined total value = 42,524,800,000
Strike 85200 has a total call value of 41,681,000,000 versus a total put value of 4,058,600,000 Combined total value = 45,739,600,000
Strike 85300 has a total call value of 45,809,400,000 versus a total put value of 3,279,400,000 Combined total value = 49,088,800,000
Strike 85400 has a total call value of 50,005,400,000 versus a total put value of 2,532,600,000 Combined total value = 52,538,000,000
Strike 85500 has a total call value of 54,267,600,000 versus a total put value of 1,819,600,000 Combined total value = 56,087,200,000
Strike 85600 has a total call value of 59,269,600,000 versus a total put value of 1,532,600,000 Combined total value = 60,802,200,000
Strike 85700 has a total call value of 64,316,400,000 versus a total put value of 1,261,600,000 Combined total value = 65,578,000,000
Strike 85800 has a total call value of 69,464,000,000 versus a total put value of 1,017,000,000 Combined total value = 70,481,000,000
Strike 85900 has a total call value of 74,673,000,000 versus a total put value of 786,800,000 Combined total value = 75,459,800,000
Strike 86000 has a total call value of 79,990,600,000 versus a total put value of 561,600,000 Combined total value = 80,552,200,000
Strike 86100 has a total call value of 86,416,200,000 versus a total put value of 460,200,000 Combined total value = 86,876,400,000
Strike 86200 has a total call value of 92,965,400,000 versus a total put value of 367,800,000 Combined total value = 93,333,200,000
Strike 86300 has a total call value of 99,562,200,000 versus a total put value of 291,600,000 Combined total value = 99,853,800,000
Strike 86400 has a total call value of 106,187,000,000 versus a total put value of 223,600,000 Combined total value = 106,410,600,000
Strike 86500 has a total call value of 112,835,800,000 versus a total put value of 161,600,000 Combined total value = 112,997,400,000
Strike 86600 has a total call value of 119,673,200,000 versus a total put value of 119,400,000 Combined total value = 119,792,600,000
Strike 86700 has a total call value of 126,535,200,000 versus a total put value of 81,600,000 Combined total value = 126,616,800,000
Strike 86800 has a total call value of 133,418,000,000 versus a total put value of 58,000,000 Combined total value = 133,476,000,000
Strike 86900 has a total call value of 140,321,200,000 versus a total put value of 38,000,000 Combined total value = 140,359,200,000
Strike 87000 has a total call value of 147,245,400,000 versus a total put value of 18,000,000 Combined total value = 147,263,400,000
Strike 87100 has a total call value of 154,386,600,000 versus a total put value of 15,400,000 Combined total value = 154,402,000,000
Strike 87200 has a total call value of 161,539,800,000 versus a total put value of 12,800,000 Combined total value = 161,552,600,000
Strike 87300 has a total call value of 168,696,400,000 versus a total put value of 10,200,000 Combined total value = 168,706,600,000
Strike 87400 has a total call value of 175,861,800,000 versus a total put value of 7,600,000 Combined total value = 175,869,400,000
Strike 87500 has a total call value of 183,035,400,000 versus a total put value of 5,000,000 Combined total value = 183,040,400,000
Strike 87600 has a total call value of 190,276,600,000 versus a total put value of 4,800,000 Combined total value = 190,281,400,000
Strike 87700 has a total call value of 197,521,800,000 versus a total put value of 4,600,000 Combined total value = 197,526,400,000
Strike 87800 has a total call value of 204,770,000,000 versus a total put value of 4,400,000 Combined total value = 204,774,400,000
Strike 87900 has a total call value of 212,021,000,000 versus a total put value of 4,200,000 Combined total value = 212,025,200,000
Strike 88000 has a total call value of 219,276,000,000 versus a total put value of 4,000,000 Combined total value = 219,280,000,000
Strike 88100 has a total call value of 226,679,800,000 versus a total put value of 3,800,000 Combined total value = 226,683,600,000
Strike 88200 has a total call value of 234,086,600,000 versus a total put value of 3,600,000 Combined total value = 234,090,200,000
Strike 88300 has a total call value of 241,496,200,000 versus a total put value of 3,400,000 Combined total value = 241,499,600,000
Strike 88400 has a total call value of 248,909,400,000 versus a total put value of 3,200,000 Combined total value = 248,912,600,000
Strike 88500 has a total call value of 256,324,200,000 versus a total put value of 3,000,000 Combined total value = 256,327,200,000
Strike 88600 has a total call value of 263,756,400,000 versus a total put value of 2,800,000 Combined total value = 263,759,200,000
Strike 88700 has a total call value of 271,190,600,000 versus a total put value of 2,600,000 Combined total value = 271,193,200,000
Strike 88800 has a total call value of 278,626,400,000 versus a total put value of 2,400,000 Combined total value = 278,628,800,000
Strike 88900 has a total call value of 286,071,400,000 versus a total put value of 2,200,000 Combined total value = 286,073,600,000
Strike 89000 has a total call value of 293,517,200,000 versus a total put value of 2,000,000 Combined total value = 293,519,200,000
Strike 89100 has a total call value of 301,056,200,000 versus a total put value of 1,800,000 Combined total value = 301,058,000,000
Strike 89200 has a total call value of 308,616,800,000 versus a total put value of 1,600,000 Combined total value = 308,618,400,000
Strike 89300 has a total call value of 316,177,400,000 versus a total put value of 1,400,000 Combined total value = 316,178,800,000
Strike 89400 has a total call value of 323,741,000,000 versus a total put value of 1,200,000 Combined total value = 323,742,200,000
Strike 89500 has a total call value of 331,304,600,000 versus a total put value of 1,000,000 Combined total value = 331,305,600,000
Strike 89600 has a total call value of 338,876,000,000 versus a total put value of 800,000 Combined total value = 338,876,800,000
Strike 89700 has a total call value of 346,447,400,000 versus a total put value of 600,000 Combined total value = 346,448,000,000
Strike 89800 has a total call value of 354,018,800,000 versus a total put value of 400,000 Combined total value = 354,019,200,000
Strike 89900 has a total call value of 361,592,600,000 versus a total put value of 200,000 Combined total value = 361,592,800,000
Strike 90000 has a total call value of 369,166,400,000 versus a total put value of 0 Combined total value = 369,166,400,000
Strike 90100 has a total call value of 376,867,400,000 versus a total put value of 0 Combined total value = 376,867,400,000
Strike 90200 has a total call value of 384,572,200,000 versus a total put value of 0 Combined total value = 384,572,200,000
Strike 90300 has a total call value of 392,277,400,000 versus a total put value of 0 Combined total value = 392,277,400,000
Strike 90400 has a total call value of 399,982,600,000 versus a total put value of 0 Combined total value = 399,982,600,000
Strike 90500 has a total call value of 407,687,800,000 versus a total put value of 0 Combined total value = 407,687,800,000
Strike 90600 has a total call value of 415,396,600,000 versus a total put value of 0 Combined total value = 415,396,600,000
Strike 90700 has a total call value of 423,105,400,000 versus a total put value of 0 Combined total value = 423,105,400,000
Strike 90800 has a total call value of 430,814,200,000 versus a total put value of 0 Combined total value = 430,814,200,000
Strike 90900 has a total call value of 438,523,000,000 versus a total put value of 0 Combined total value = 438,523,000,000
Strike 91000 has a total call value of 446,231,800,000 versus a total put value of 0 Combined total value = 446,231,800,000
Strike 91100 has a total call value of 453,945,200,000 versus a total put value of 0 Combined total value = 453,945,200,000
Strike 91200 has a total call value of 461,658,600,000 versus a total put value of 0 Combined total value = 461,658,600,000
Strike 91300 has a total call value of 469,372,000,000 versus a total put value of 0 Combined total value = 469,372,000,000
Strike 91400 has a total call value of 477,087,400,000 versus a total put value of 0 Combined total value = 477,087,400,000
Strike 91500 has a total call value of 484,805,800,000 versus a total put value of 0 Combined total value = 484,805,800,000
Strike 91600 has a total call value of 492,528,000,000 versus a total put value of 0 Combined total value = 492,528,000,000
Strike 91700 has a total call value of 500,253,200,000 versus a total put value of 0 Combined total value = 500,253,200,000
Strike 91800 has a total call value of 507,980,600,000 versus a total put value of 0 Combined total value = 507,980,600,000
Strike 91900 has a total call value of 515,711,000,000 versus a total put value of 0 Combined total value = 515,711,000,000
Strike 92000 has a total call value of 523,444,800,000 versus a total put value of 0 Combined total value = 523,444,800,000
Strike 92100 has a total call value of 531,180,800,000 versus a total put value of 0 Combined total value = 531,180,800,000
Strike 92200 has a total call value of 538,927,600,000 versus a total put value of 0 Combined total value = 538,927,600,000
Strike 92300 has a total call value of 546,674,400,000 versus a total put value of 0 Combined total value = 546,674,400,000
Strike 92400 has a total call value of 554,421,200,000 versus a total put value of 0 Combined total value = 554,421,200,000
Strike 92500 has a total call value of 562,168,000,000 versus a total put value of 0 Combined total value = 562,168,000,000
Strike 92600 has a total call value of 569,917,800,000 versus a total put value of 0 Combined total value = 569,917,800,000
Strike 92700 has a total call value of 577,667,600,000 versus a total put value of 0 Combined total value = 577,667,600,000
Strike 92800 has a total call value of 585,417,400,000 versus a total put value of 0 Combined total value = 585,417,400,000
Strike 92900 has a total call value of 593,167,200,000 versus a total put value of 0 Combined total value = 593,167,200,000
Strike 93000 has a total call value of 600,917,000,000 versus a total put value of 0 Combined total value = 600,917,000,000
Strike 93100 has a total call value of 608,666,800,000 versus a total put value of 0 Combined total value = 608,666,800,000
Strike 93200 has a total call value of 616,416,600,000 versus a total put value of 0 Combined total value = 616,416,600,000
Strike 93300 has a total call value of 624,166,400,000 versus a total put value of 0 Combined total value = 624,166,400,000
Max-Pain Table for Index
Frequently Asked Questions
Max Pain, also known as the max pain price, is the strike price at which the maximum number of option contracts (both puts and calls) would expire worthless, causing the largest financial losses for option holders at expiration. This price point represents the level where option writers would experience the least payout obligation.
The max pain theory suggests that as expiration approaches, market makers and option writers may attempt to influence the stock price toward this level to minimize their payout obligations, making it a significant reference point for traders analyzing option expiration dynamics.
Max Pain is calculated by determining the total dollar value of in-the-money options at each strike price. Here's the step-by-step process:
- For each strike price: Calculate the difference between the current stock price and the strike price.
- Multiply by Open Interest: Multiply this difference by the open interest (number of contracts) at that strike for both call and put options.
- Sum the values: Add together the dollar value for put options and call options at each strike price.
- Repeat for all strikes: Perform this calculation for every available strike price in the option chain.
- Identify the maximum: The strike price with the highest combined dollar value is the Max Pain price.
This calculation helps identify the price level where option writers would face the maximum financial loss if the stock closes at that price on expiration day.
Traders can incorporate Max Pain analysis into their trading strategy in several ways:
- Expiration Day Trading: As option expiration approaches, traders can use Max Pain as a potential support or resistance level, as market makers may attempt to push the price toward this level.
- Option Selection: Understanding Max Pain helps traders choose strike prices that are less likely to be manipulated, potentially improving their option trade outcomes.
- Risk Management: If a stock is trading far from Max Pain before expiration, traders can anticipate potential price movement toward this level and adjust their positions accordingly.
- Market Sentiment Indicator: Comparing the current stock price to Max Pain can provide insights into market sentiment and potential price direction near expiration.
- Hedging Strategy: Option writers can use Max Pain to identify strike prices where they might face the least payout risk, helping them structure more efficient hedging strategies.
Max Pain provides insights into potential stock price behavior, especially near option expiration:
- Price Magnet Effect: If the stock price is significantly above or below Max Pain before expiration, there may be a tendency for the price to move toward Max Pain as expiration approaches, as option writers hedge their positions.
- Support/Resistance Level: Max Pain can act as a psychological and technical support or resistance level, especially on expiration day, as it represents the price where maximum option value would be lost.
- Volatility Indicator: A large gap between current price and Max Pain may indicate higher potential volatility or price movement as expiration nears.
- Market Maker Activity: Significant open interest concentration around Max Pain suggests where market makers might have the most incentive to influence price movement through their hedging activities.
Note: Max Pain is a theoretical concept and should be used in conjunction with other technical and fundamental analysis tools, as it does not guarantee price movement.
Max Pain is a dynamic value that changes continuously based on several factors:
- Open Interest Changes: As traders open and close option positions, the open interest at different strike prices changes, which directly affects the Max Pain calculation.
- Stock Price Movement: As the underlying stock price moves, different strike prices become in-the-money or out-of-the-money, altering the dollar value calculations.
- Time Decay: As expiration approaches, the time value of options decreases, but the intrinsic value calculations for Max Pain continue to evolve with price movements.
- New Option Contracts: When new strike prices are added or when significant new positions are opened, Max Pain may shift to reflect the new distribution of open interest.
For accurate Max Pain analysis, traders should monitor it regularly, especially in the days leading up to expiration, as it can shift significantly as market conditions and option positions change.
Max Pain and Spot Price are two distinct concepts that serve different purposes in options trading:
- Spot Price (Current Market Price): This is the current trading price of the underlying stock or index in the market. It represents the real-time value at which the asset can be bought or sold immediately.
- Max Pain Price: This is a calculated theoretical price level based on option open interest data. It represents the strike price where option writers would face minimum payout obligations, not necessarily where the stock is currently trading.
The relationship between these two prices is crucial: when the spot price is far from Max Pain, traders may anticipate potential price movement toward Max Pain as expiration approaches. However, this is not guaranteed, and many other factors influence stock price movement.
No, Max Pain is not always accurate and should not be used as the sole indicator for predicting stock price movement. Here's why:
- Market Forces: Strong fundamental news, earnings reports, or significant market events can override the Max Pain effect and drive prices in unexpected directions.
- Institutional Activity: Large institutional trades, algorithmic trading, and other market participants may have different objectives than minimizing option payouts.
- Limited Influence: While market makers may attempt to influence price toward Max Pain, their ability to do so is limited, especially in highly liquid stocks with strong directional momentum.
- Multiple Expirations: Stocks often have options expiring on different dates (weekly, monthly), which means multiple Max Pain levels may exist simultaneously, reducing the predictive power of any single level.
- Statistical Tool: Max Pain is best viewed as a statistical tool that provides context about option market dynamics rather than a guaranteed price target.
Traders should use Max Pain as one of many tools in their analysis, combining it with technical analysis, fundamental analysis, and market sentiment indicators for more comprehensive decision-making.
Max Pain becomes increasingly relevant as option expiration approaches:
- Last Trading Week: Max Pain analysis is most useful during the final week before expiration, when option writers are actively hedging and the "pinning effect" (price movement toward Max Pain) is most likely to occur.
- Expiration Day: On the day of expiration, Max Pain can serve as a key reference level, as market makers may attempt to keep the stock price near this level to minimize their payout obligations.
- High Open Interest: Max Pain is more reliable when there is significant open interest concentrated around specific strike prices, as this indicates where option writers have the most exposure.
- Low Volatility Periods: During periods of low market volatility, Max Pain may have a stronger influence, as there are fewer competing forces driving price movement.
- Monthly Expirations: Monthly option expirations (typically the third Friday) often show stronger Max Pain effects compared to weekly expirations, due to higher open interest and more significant market maker involvement.
While Max Pain can be calculated at any time, its predictive value and practical application increase significantly as expiration approaches, making it particularly useful for short-term trading strategies focused on expiration week dynamics.































































































































































































































