[--[65.84.65.76]--]

BANKEX

Bank Index
66931.36 +484.21 (0.73%)
L: 66290.56 H: 67004.25
Max Pain - BANKEX
05 Dec 2025 02:13 PM IST
Live


Strike  57500  has a total call value of 0  versus a total put value of  23,383,800,000 Combined total value = 23,383,800,000

Strike  57600  has a total call value of 0  versus a total put value of  23,095,200,000 Combined total value = 23,095,200,000

Strike  57700  has a total call value of 0  versus a total put value of  22,806,600,000 Combined total value = 22,806,600,000

Strike  57800  has a total call value of 0  versus a total put value of  22,518,000,000 Combined total value = 22,518,000,000

Strike  57900  has a total call value of 0  versus a total put value of  22,229,400,000 Combined total value = 22,229,400,000

Strike  58000  has a total call value of 0  versus a total put value of  21,940,800,000 Combined total value = 21,940,800,000

Strike  58100  has a total call value of 0  versus a total put value of  21,652,200,000 Combined total value = 21,652,200,000

Strike  58200  has a total call value of 0  versus a total put value of  21,363,600,000 Combined total value = 21,363,600,000

Strike  58300  has a total call value of 0  versus a total put value of  21,075,000,000 Combined total value = 21,075,000,000

Strike  58400  has a total call value of 0  versus a total put value of  20,786,400,000 Combined total value = 20,786,400,000

Strike  58500  has a total call value of 0  versus a total put value of  20,497,800,000 Combined total value = 20,497,800,000

Strike  58600  has a total call value of 0  versus a total put value of  20,211,300,000 Combined total value = 20,211,300,000

Strike  58700  has a total call value of 0  versus a total put value of  19,924,800,000 Combined total value = 19,924,800,000

Strike  58800  has a total call value of 0  versus a total put value of  19,638,300,000 Combined total value = 19,638,300,000

Strike  58900  has a total call value of 0  versus a total put value of  19,352,700,000 Combined total value = 19,352,700,000

Strike  59000  has a total call value of 0  versus a total put value of  19,067,100,000 Combined total value = 19,067,100,000

Strike  59100  has a total call value of 0  versus a total put value of  18,781,500,000 Combined total value = 18,781,500,000

Strike  59200  has a total call value of 0  versus a total put value of  18,495,900,000 Combined total value = 18,495,900,000

Strike  59300  has a total call value of 0  versus a total put value of  18,210,300,000 Combined total value = 18,210,300,000

Strike  59400  has a total call value of 0  versus a total put value of  17,924,700,000 Combined total value = 17,924,700,000

Strike  59500  has a total call value of 0  versus a total put value of  17,639,100,000 Combined total value = 17,639,100,000

Strike  59600  has a total call value of 0  versus a total put value of  17,353,500,000 Combined total value = 17,353,500,000

Strike  59700  has a total call value of 0  versus a total put value of  17,068,200,000 Combined total value = 17,068,200,000

Strike  59800  has a total call value of 0  versus a total put value of  16,782,900,000 Combined total value = 16,782,900,000

Strike  59900  has a total call value of 0  versus a total put value of  16,497,600,000 Combined total value = 16,497,600,000

Strike  60000  has a total call value of 0  versus a total put value of  16,212,600,000 Combined total value = 16,212,600,000

Strike  60100  has a total call value of 0  versus a total put value of  15,927,600,000 Combined total value = 15,927,600,000

Strike  60200  has a total call value of 0  versus a total put value of  15,642,600,000 Combined total value = 15,642,600,000

Strike  60300  has a total call value of 0  versus a total put value of  15,357,600,000 Combined total value = 15,357,600,000

Strike  60400  has a total call value of 0  versus a total put value of  15,072,600,000 Combined total value = 15,072,600,000

Strike  60500  has a total call value of 0  versus a total put value of  14,787,600,000 Combined total value = 14,787,600,000

Strike  60600  has a total call value of 0  versus a total put value of  14,502,600,000 Combined total value = 14,502,600,000

Strike  60700  has a total call value of 0  versus a total put value of  14,217,600,000 Combined total value = 14,217,600,000

Strike  60800  has a total call value of 0  versus a total put value of  13,932,600,000 Combined total value = 13,932,600,000

Strike  60900  has a total call value of 0  versus a total put value of  13,647,600,000 Combined total value = 13,647,600,000

Strike  61000  has a total call value of 0  versus a total put value of  13,362,600,000 Combined total value = 13,362,600,000

Strike  61100  has a total call value of 0  versus a total put value of  13,077,600,000 Combined total value = 13,077,600,000

Strike  61200  has a total call value of 0  versus a total put value of  12,792,600,000 Combined total value = 12,792,600,000

Strike  61300  has a total call value of 0  versus a total put value of  12,507,600,000 Combined total value = 12,507,600,000

Strike  61400  has a total call value of 0  versus a total put value of  12,222,600,000 Combined total value = 12,222,600,000

Strike  61500  has a total call value of 0  versus a total put value of  11,937,600,000 Combined total value = 11,937,600,000

Strike  61600  has a total call value of 0  versus a total put value of  11,652,600,000 Combined total value = 11,652,600,000

Strike  61700  has a total call value of 0  versus a total put value of  11,367,600,000 Combined total value = 11,367,600,000

Strike  61800  has a total call value of 0  versus a total put value of  11,082,600,000 Combined total value = 11,082,600,000

Strike  61900  has a total call value of 0  versus a total put value of  10,797,600,000 Combined total value = 10,797,600,000

Strike  62000  has a total call value of 0  versus a total put value of  10,512,600,000 Combined total value = 10,512,600,000

Strike  62100  has a total call value of 0  versus a total put value of  10,227,600,000 Combined total value = 10,227,600,000

Strike  62200  has a total call value of 0  versus a total put value of  9,942,600,000 Combined total value = 9,942,600,000

Strike  62300  has a total call value of 0  versus a total put value of  9,657,600,000 Combined total value = 9,657,600,000

Strike  62400  has a total call value of 0  versus a total put value of  9,372,600,000 Combined total value = 9,372,600,000

Strike  62500  has a total call value of 0  versus a total put value of  9,087,600,000 Combined total value = 9,087,600,000

Strike  62600  has a total call value of 0  versus a total put value of  8,802,600,000 Combined total value = 8,802,600,000

Strike  62700  has a total call value of 0  versus a total put value of  8,517,600,000 Combined total value = 8,517,600,000

Strike  62800  has a total call value of 0  versus a total put value of  8,233,200,000 Combined total value = 8,233,200,000

Strike  62900  has a total call value of 0  versus a total put value of  7,948,800,000 Combined total value = 7,948,800,000

Strike  63000  has a total call value of 0  versus a total put value of  7,664,700,000 Combined total value = 7,664,700,000

Strike  63100  has a total call value of 0  versus a total put value of  7,380,600,000 Combined total value = 7,380,600,000

Strike  63200  has a total call value of 0  versus a total put value of  7,106,700,000 Combined total value = 7,106,700,000

Strike  63300  has a total call value of 0  versus a total put value of  6,832,800,000 Combined total value = 6,832,800,000

Strike  63400  has a total call value of 0  versus a total put value of  6,559,200,000 Combined total value = 6,559,200,000

Strike  63500  has a total call value of 0  versus a total put value of  6,285,600,000 Combined total value = 6,285,600,000

Strike  63600  has a total call value of 0  versus a total put value of  6,012,300,000 Combined total value = 6,012,300,000

Strike  63700  has a total call value of 0  versus a total put value of  5,739,000,000 Combined total value = 5,739,000,000

Strike  63800  has a total call value of 0  versus a total put value of  5,465,700,000 Combined total value = 5,465,700,000

Strike  63900  has a total call value of 0  versus a total put value of  5,192,700,000 Combined total value = 5,192,700,000

Strike  64000  has a total call value of 0  versus a total put value of  4,920,600,000 Combined total value = 4,920,600,000

Strike  64100  has a total call value of 0  versus a total put value of  4,649,100,000 Combined total value = 4,649,100,000

Strike  64200  has a total call value of 300,000  versus a total put value of  4,377,600,000 Combined total value = 4,377,900,000

Strike  64300  has a total call value of 600,000  versus a total put value of  4,116,600,000 Combined total value = 4,117,200,000

Strike  64400  has a total call value of 900,000  versus a total put value of  3,859,800,000 Combined total value = 3,860,700,000

Strike  64500  has a total call value of 1,200,000  versus a total put value of  3,613,800,000 Combined total value = 3,615,000,000

Strike  64600  has a total call value of 1,500,000  versus a total put value of  3,372,600,000 Combined total value = 3,374,100,000

Strike  64700  has a total call value of 1,800,000  versus a total put value of  3,138,600,000 Combined total value = 3,140,400,000

Strike  64800  has a total call value of 2,100,000  versus a total put value of  2,910,600,000 Combined total value = 2,912,700,000

Strike  64900  has a total call value of 2,400,000  versus a total put value of  2,691,900,000 Combined total value = 2,694,300,000

Strike  65000  has a total call value of 2,700,000  versus a total put value of  2,485,200,000 Combined total value = 2,487,900,000

Strike  65100  has a total call value of 3,000,000  versus a total put value of  2,292,300,000 Combined total value = 2,295,300,000

Strike  65200  has a total call value of 3,300,000  versus a total put value of  2,104,200,000 Combined total value = 2,107,500,000

Strike  65300  has a total call value of 3,600,000  versus a total put value of  1,920,300,000 Combined total value = 1,923,900,000

Strike  65400  has a total call value of 3,900,000  versus a total put value of  1,747,800,000 Combined total value = 1,751,700,000

Strike  65500  has a total call value of 4,200,000  versus a total put value of  1,582,500,000 Combined total value = 1,586,700,000

Strike  65600  has a total call value of 4,500,000  versus a total put value of  1,429,500,000 Combined total value = 1,434,000,000

Strike  65700  has a total call value of 4,800,000  versus a total put value of  1,286,100,000 Combined total value = 1,290,900,000

Strike  65800  has a total call value of 5,400,000  versus a total put value of  1,152,900,000 Combined total value = 1,158,300,000

Strike  65900  has a total call value of 6,000,000  versus a total put value of  1,027,500,000 Combined total value = 1,033,500,000

Strike  66000  has a total call value of 6,600,000  versus a total put value of  908,400,000 Combined total value = 915,000,000

Strike  66100  has a total call value of 8,100,000  versus a total put value of  801,000,000 Combined total value = 809,100,000

Strike  66200  has a total call value of 9,600,000  versus a total put value of  700,200,000 Combined total value = 709,800,000

Strike  66300  has a total call value of 11,400,000  versus a total put value of  605,400,000 Combined total value = 616,800,000

Strike  66400  has a total call value of 13,800,000  versus a total put value of  516,900,000 Combined total value = 530,700,000

Strike  66500  has a total call value of 20,100,000  versus a total put value of  432,300,000 Combined total value = 452,400,000

Strike  66600  has a total call value of 32,400,000  versus a total put value of  353,700,000 Combined total value = 386,100,000

Strike  66700  has a total call value of 53,700,000  versus a total put value of  280,500,000 Combined total value = 334,200,000

Strike  66800  has a total call value of 80,400,000  versus a total put value of  212,700,000 Combined total value = 293,100,000

Strike  66900  has a total call value of 111,300,000  versus a total put value of  150,000,000 Combined total value = 261,300,000

Strike  67000  has a total call value of 147,300,000  versus a total put value of  98,100,000 Combined total value = 245,400,000

Strike  67100  has a total call value of 216,600,000  versus a total put value of  75,000,000 Combined total value = 291,600,000

Strike  67200  has a total call value of 295,500,000  versus a total put value of  53,400,000 Combined total value = 348,900,000

Strike  67300  has a total call value of 380,700,000  versus a total put value of  35,700,000 Combined total value = 416,400,000

Strike  67400  has a total call value of 474,000,000  versus a total put value of  22,200,000 Combined total value = 496,200,000

Strike  67500  has a total call value of 572,700,000  versus a total put value of  13,500,000 Combined total value = 586,200,000

Strike  67600  has a total call value of 678,300,000  versus a total put value of  10,800,000 Combined total value = 689,100,000

Strike  67700  has a total call value of 789,000,000  versus a total put value of  8,100,000 Combined total value = 797,100,000

Strike  67800  has a total call value of 906,300,000  versus a total put value of  5,400,000 Combined total value = 911,700,000

Strike  67900  has a total call value of 1,034,400,000  versus a total put value of  2,700,000 Combined total value = 1,037,100,000

Strike  68000  has a total call value of 1,172,700,000  versus a total put value of  0 Combined total value = 1,172,700,000

Strike  68100  has a total call value of 1,328,700,000  versus a total put value of  0 Combined total value = 1,328,700,000

Strike  68200  has a total call value of 1,495,200,000  versus a total put value of  0 Combined total value = 1,495,200,000

Strike  68300  has a total call value of 1,677,900,000  versus a total put value of  0 Combined total value = 1,677,900,000

Strike  68400  has a total call value of 1,874,100,000  versus a total put value of  0 Combined total value = 1,874,100,000

Strike  68500  has a total call value of 2,082,600,000  versus a total put value of  0 Combined total value = 2,082,600,000

Strike  68600  has a total call value of 2,304,300,000  versus a total put value of  0 Combined total value = 2,304,300,000

Strike  68700  has a total call value of 2,534,700,000  versus a total put value of  0 Combined total value = 2,534,700,000

Strike  68800  has a total call value of 2,776,500,000  versus a total put value of  0 Combined total value = 2,776,500,000

Strike  68900  has a total call value of 3,031,800,000  versus a total put value of  0 Combined total value = 3,031,800,000

Strike  69000  has a total call value of 3,300,000,000  versus a total put value of  0 Combined total value = 3,300,000,000

Strike  69100  has a total call value of 3,597,300,000  versus a total put value of  0 Combined total value = 3,597,300,000

Strike  69200  has a total call value of 3,912,300,000  versus a total put value of  0 Combined total value = 3,912,300,000

Strike  69300  has a total call value of 4,249,500,000  versus a total put value of  0 Combined total value = 4,249,500,000

Strike  69400  has a total call value of 4,586,700,000  versus a total put value of  0 Combined total value = 4,586,700,000

Strike  69500  has a total call value of 4,923,900,000  versus a total put value of  0 Combined total value = 4,923,900,000

Strike  69600  has a total call value of 5,268,300,000  versus a total put value of  0 Combined total value = 5,268,300,000

Strike  69700  has a total call value of 5,612,700,000  versus a total put value of  0 Combined total value = 5,612,700,000

Strike  69800  has a total call value of 5,957,100,000  versus a total put value of  0 Combined total value = 5,957,100,000

Strike  69900  has a total call value of 6,301,500,000  versus a total put value of  0 Combined total value = 6,301,500,000

Strike  70000  has a total call value of 6,645,900,000  versus a total put value of  0 Combined total value = 6,645,900,000

Strike  70100  has a total call value of 7,000,800,000  versus a total put value of  0 Combined total value = 7,000,800,000

Strike  70200  has a total call value of 7,356,000,000  versus a total put value of  0 Combined total value = 7,356,000,000

Strike  70300  has a total call value of 7,711,200,000  versus a total put value of  0 Combined total value = 7,711,200,000

Strike  70400  has a total call value of 8,066,400,000  versus a total put value of  0 Combined total value = 8,066,400,000

Strike  70500  has a total call value of 8,421,600,000  versus a total put value of  0 Combined total value = 8,421,600,000

Strike  70600  has a total call value of 8,776,800,000  versus a total put value of  0 Combined total value = 8,776,800,000

Strike  70700  has a total call value of 9,132,000,000  versus a total put value of  0 Combined total value = 9,132,000,000

Strike  70800  has a total call value of 9,487,200,000  versus a total put value of  0 Combined total value = 9,487,200,000

Strike  70900  has a total call value of 9,842,400,000  versus a total put value of  0 Combined total value = 9,842,400,000

Strike  71000  has a total call value of 10,197,600,000  versus a total put value of  0 Combined total value = 10,197,600,000

Strike  71100  has a total call value of 10,552,800,000  versus a total put value of  0 Combined total value = 10,552,800,000

Strike  71200  has a total call value of 10,908,000,000  versus a total put value of  0 Combined total value = 10,908,000,000

Strike  71300  has a total call value of 11,263,200,000  versus a total put value of  0 Combined total value = 11,263,200,000

Strike  71400  has a total call value of 11,618,400,000  versus a total put value of  0 Combined total value = 11,618,400,000

Strike  71500  has a total call value of 11,973,600,000  versus a total put value of  0 Combined total value = 11,973,600,000

Strike  71600  has a total call value of 12,328,800,000  versus a total put value of  0 Combined total value = 12,328,800,000

Strike  71700  has a total call value of 12,684,000,000  versus a total put value of  0 Combined total value = 12,684,000,000

Strike  71800  has a total call value of 13,039,200,000  versus a total put value of  0 Combined total value = 13,039,200,000

Strike  71900  has a total call value of 13,394,400,000  versus a total put value of  0 Combined total value = 13,394,400,000

Strike  72000  has a total call value of 13,749,600,000  versus a total put value of  0 Combined total value = 13,749,600,000

Strike  72100  has a total call value of 14,104,800,000  versus a total put value of  0 Combined total value = 14,104,800,000

Strike  72200  has a total call value of 14,460,000,000  versus a total put value of  0 Combined total value = 14,460,000,000

Strike  72300  has a total call value of 14,815,200,000  versus a total put value of  0 Combined total value = 14,815,200,000

Strike  72400  has a total call value of 15,170,400,000  versus a total put value of  0 Combined total value = 15,170,400,000

Strike  72500  has a total call value of 15,525,600,000  versus a total put value of  0 Combined total value = 15,525,600,000

Strike  72600  has a total call value of 15,880,800,000  versus a total put value of  0 Combined total value = 15,880,800,000

Strike  72700  has a total call value of 16,236,000,000  versus a total put value of  0 Combined total value = 16,236,000,000

Strike  72800  has a total call value of 16,591,200,000  versus a total put value of  0 Combined total value = 16,591,200,000

Strike  72900  has a total call value of 16,946,400,000  versus a total put value of  0 Combined total value = 16,946,400,000

Strike  73000  has a total call value of 17,301,600,000  versus a total put value of  0 Combined total value = 17,301,600,000

Strike  73100  has a total call value of 17,656,800,000  versus a total put value of  0 Combined total value = 17,656,800,000

Strike  73200  has a total call value of 18,012,000,000  versus a total put value of  0 Combined total value = 18,012,000,000

Strike  73300  has a total call value of 18,367,200,000  versus a total put value of  0 Combined total value = 18,367,200,000

Strike  73400  has a total call value of 18,722,400,000  versus a total put value of  0 Combined total value = 18,722,400,000

Strike  73500  has a total call value of 19,077,600,000  versus a total put value of  0 Combined total value = 19,077,600,000

Strike  73600  has a total call value of 19,432,800,000  versus a total put value of  0 Combined total value = 19,432,800,000

Strike  73700  has a total call value of 19,788,000,000  versus a total put value of  0 Combined total value = 19,788,000,000

Strike  73800  has a total call value of 20,143,200,000  versus a total put value of  0 Combined total value = 20,143,200,000

Strike  73900  has a total call value of 20,498,400,000  versus a total put value of  0 Combined total value = 20,498,400,000

Strike  74000  has a total call value of 20,853,600,000  versus a total put value of  0 Combined total value = 20,853,600,000

Strike  74100  has a total call value of 21,209,100,000  versus a total put value of  0 Combined total value = 21,209,100,000

Strike  74200  has a total call value of 21,564,900,000  versus a total put value of  0 Combined total value = 21,564,900,000

Strike  74300  has a total call value of 21,921,000,000  versus a total put value of  0 Combined total value = 21,921,000,000

Strike  74400  has a total call value of 22,277,700,000  versus a total put value of  0 Combined total value = 22,277,700,000

Max-Pain Table for Stocks
  Note:- click on symbol to see more detailed view
Max Pain Table (Stocks)
Symbol Symbol Ltp Max Pain
360ONE 1151 1140
ABB 5165.5 5150
ABCAPITAL 359 350
ADANIENSOL 972.95 980
ADANIENT 2257.4 2300
ADANIGREEN 1018.4 1020
ADANIPORTS 1511.7 1500
ALKEM 5682.5 5700
AMBER 6530.5 6600
AMBUJACEM 533.8 550
ANGELONE 2638.4 2650
APLAPOLLO 1775.2 1760
APOLLOHOSP 7189.5 7350
ASHOKLEY 160.52 157
ASIANPAINT 2965 2920
ASTRAL 1460.1 1460
AUBANK 957.25 940
AUROPHARMA 1216 1220
AXISBANK 1281.7 1280
BAJAJ-AUTO 9098 9100
BAJAJFINSV 2102.7 2080
BAJFINANCE 1054.7 1030
BANDHANBNK 141.16 150
BANKBARODA 292.75 292.5
BANKINDIA 142.78 145
BDL 1515.9 1520
BEL 407.6 410
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Note:
Stock LTP > Max Pain Bearish Trend
Stock LTP < Max Pain Bullish Trend
Frequently Asked Questions

Max Pain, also known as the max pain price, is the strike price at which the maximum number of option contracts (both puts and calls) would expire worthless, causing the largest financial losses for option holders at expiration. This price point represents the level where option writers would experience the least payout obligation.

The max pain theory suggests that as expiration approaches, market makers and option writers may attempt to influence the stock price toward this level to minimize their payout obligations, making it a significant reference point for traders analyzing option expiration dynamics.

Max Pain is calculated by determining the total dollar value of in-the-money options at each strike price. Here's the step-by-step process:

  1. For each strike price: Calculate the difference between the current stock price and the strike price.
  2. Multiply by Open Interest: Multiply this difference by the open interest (number of contracts) at that strike for both call and put options.
  3. Sum the values: Add together the dollar value for put options and call options at each strike price.
  4. Repeat for all strikes: Perform this calculation for every available strike price in the option chain.
  5. Identify the maximum: The strike price with the highest combined dollar value is the Max Pain price.

This calculation helps identify the price level where option writers would face the maximum financial loss if the stock closes at that price on expiration day.

Traders can incorporate Max Pain analysis into their trading strategy in several ways:

  • Expiration Day Trading: As option expiration approaches, traders can use Max Pain as a potential support or resistance level, as market makers may attempt to push the price toward this level.
  • Option Selection: Understanding Max Pain helps traders choose strike prices that are less likely to be manipulated, potentially improving their option trade outcomes.
  • Risk Management: If a stock is trading far from Max Pain before expiration, traders can anticipate potential price movement toward this level and adjust their positions accordingly.
  • Market Sentiment Indicator: Comparing the current stock price to Max Pain can provide insights into market sentiment and potential price direction near expiration.
  • Hedging Strategy: Option writers can use Max Pain to identify strike prices where they might face the least payout risk, helping them structure more efficient hedging strategies.

Max Pain provides insights into potential stock price behavior, especially near option expiration:

  • Price Magnet Effect: If the stock price is significantly above or below Max Pain before expiration, there may be a tendency for the price to move toward Max Pain as expiration approaches, as option writers hedge their positions.
  • Support/Resistance Level: Max Pain can act as a psychological and technical support or resistance level, especially on expiration day, as it represents the price where maximum option value would be lost.
  • Volatility Indicator: A large gap between current price and Max Pain may indicate higher potential volatility or price movement as expiration nears.
  • Market Maker Activity: Significant open interest concentration around Max Pain suggests where market makers might have the most incentive to influence price movement through their hedging activities.

Note: Max Pain is a theoretical concept and should be used in conjunction with other technical and fundamental analysis tools, as it does not guarantee price movement.

Max Pain is a dynamic value that changes continuously based on several factors:

  • Open Interest Changes: As traders open and close option positions, the open interest at different strike prices changes, which directly affects the Max Pain calculation.
  • Stock Price Movement: As the underlying stock price moves, different strike prices become in-the-money or out-of-the-money, altering the dollar value calculations.
  • Time Decay: As expiration approaches, the time value of options decreases, but the intrinsic value calculations for Max Pain continue to evolve with price movements.
  • New Option Contracts: When new strike prices are added or when significant new positions are opened, Max Pain may shift to reflect the new distribution of open interest.

For accurate Max Pain analysis, traders should monitor it regularly, especially in the days leading up to expiration, as it can shift significantly as market conditions and option positions change.

Max Pain and Spot Price are two distinct concepts that serve different purposes in options trading:

  • Spot Price (Current Market Price): This is the current trading price of the underlying stock or index in the market. It represents the real-time value at which the asset can be bought or sold immediately.
  • Max Pain Price: This is a calculated theoretical price level based on option open interest data. It represents the strike price where option writers would face minimum payout obligations, not necessarily where the stock is currently trading.

The relationship between these two prices is crucial: when the spot price is far from Max Pain, traders may anticipate potential price movement toward Max Pain as expiration approaches. However, this is not guaranteed, and many other factors influence stock price movement.

No, Max Pain is not always accurate and should not be used as the sole indicator for predicting stock price movement. Here's why:

  • Market Forces: Strong fundamental news, earnings reports, or significant market events can override the Max Pain effect and drive prices in unexpected directions.
  • Institutional Activity: Large institutional trades, algorithmic trading, and other market participants may have different objectives than minimizing option payouts.
  • Limited Influence: While market makers may attempt to influence price toward Max Pain, their ability to do so is limited, especially in highly liquid stocks with strong directional momentum.
  • Multiple Expirations: Stocks often have options expiring on different dates (weekly, monthly), which means multiple Max Pain levels may exist simultaneously, reducing the predictive power of any single level.
  • Statistical Tool: Max Pain is best viewed as a statistical tool that provides context about option market dynamics rather than a guaranteed price target.

Traders should use Max Pain as one of many tools in their analysis, combining it with technical analysis, fundamental analysis, and market sentiment indicators for more comprehensive decision-making.

Max Pain becomes increasingly relevant as option expiration approaches:

  • Last Trading Week: Max Pain analysis is most useful during the final week before expiration, when option writers are actively hedging and the "pinning effect" (price movement toward Max Pain) is most likely to occur.
  • Expiration Day: On the day of expiration, Max Pain can serve as a key reference level, as market makers may attempt to keep the stock price near this level to minimize their payout obligations.
  • High Open Interest: Max Pain is more reliable when there is significant open interest concentrated around specific strike prices, as this indicates where option writers have the most exposure.
  • Low Volatility Periods: During periods of low market volatility, Max Pain may have a stronger influence, as there are fewer competing forces driving price movement.
  • Monthly Expirations: Monthly option expirations (typically the third Friday) often show stronger Max Pain effects compared to weekly expirations, due to higher open interest and more significant market maker involvement.

While Max Pain can be calculated at any time, its predictive value and practical application increase significantly as expiration approaches, making it particularly useful for short-term trading strategies focused on expiration week dynamics.