ADANIENT
Adani Enterprises LimitedMax Pain - ADANIENT
Strike 1938.95 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 148,300,407,855 Combined total value = 148,300,407,855
Strike 1940 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 147,744,981,900 Combined total value = 147,744,981,900
Strike 1960 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 137,195,721,900 Combined total value = 137,195,721,900
Strike 1977.75 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 127,833,253,650 Combined total value = 127,833,253,650
Strike 1980 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 126,653,692,500 Combined total value = 126,653,692,500
Strike 2000 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 116,168,704,500 Combined total value = 116,168,704,500
Strike 2016.55 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 108,122,415,570 Combined total value = 108,122,415,570
Strike 2020 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 106,445,092,500 Combined total value = 106,445,092,500
Strike 2035.9 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 98,749,212,660 Combined total value = 98,749,212,660
Strike 2040 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 96,780,956,820 Combined total value = 96,780,956,820
Strike 2055.3 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 89,436,002,100 Combined total value = 89,436,002,100
Strike 2060 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 87,179,708,820 Combined total value = 87,179,708,820
Strike 2074.7 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 80,122,791,540 Combined total value = 80,122,791,540
Strike 2080 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 77,578,460,820 Combined total value = 77,578,460,820
Strike 2094.1 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 70,901,947,260 Combined total value = 70,901,947,260
Strike 2100 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 68,108,228,820 Combined total value = 68,108,228,820
Strike 2113.5 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 62,091,257,220 Combined total value = 62,091,257,220
Strike 2120 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 59,194,196,820 Combined total value = 59,194,196,820
Strike 2132.85 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 53,743,288,500 Combined total value = 53,743,288,500
Strike 2140 has a total call value of 0 versus a total put value of 50,829,155,850 Combined total value = 50,829,155,850
Strike 2152.25 has a total call value of 19,304,775 versus a total put value of 45,967,759,275 Combined total value = 45,987,064,050
Strike 2160 has a total call value of 31,518,000 versus a total put value of 42,989,648,175 Combined total value = 43,021,166,175
Strike 2171.65 has a total call value of 79,036,020 versus a total put value of 38,615,110,455 Combined total value = 38,694,146,475
Strike 2180 has a total call value of 113,094,000 versus a total put value of 35,479,712,175 Combined total value = 35,592,806,175
Strike 2191.05 has a total call value of 232,258,305 versus a total put value of 31,465,001,865 Combined total value = 31,697,260,170
Strike 2200 has a total call value of 328,776,000 versus a total put value of 28,292,916,015 Combined total value = 28,621,692,015
Strike 2210.45 has a total call value of 984,596,055 versus a total put value of 25,317,992,250 Combined total value = 26,302,588,305
Strike 2220 has a total call value of 1,583,934,000 versus a total put value of 22,668,629,340 Combined total value = 24,252,563,340
Strike 2229.8 has a total call value of 2,399,731,080 versus a total put value of 20,096,476,260 Combined total value = 22,496,207,340
Strike 2240 has a total call value of 3,330,457,620 versus a total put value of 17,647,842,840 Combined total value = 20,978,300,460
Strike 2249.2 has a total call value of 4,486,055,820 versus a total put value of 15,641,963,160 Combined total value = 20,128,018,980
Strike 2260 has a total call value of 5,920,050,660 versus a total put value of 13,287,234,840 Combined total value = 19,207,285,500
Strike 2268.6 has a total call value of 7,762,426,080 versus a total put value of 11,634,066,300 Combined total value = 19,396,492,380
Strike 2280 has a total call value of 10,298,698,080 versus a total put value of 9,442,656,840 Combined total value = 19,741,354,920
Strike 2288 has a total call value of 12,286,433,280 versus a total put value of 8,010,627,240 Combined total value = 20,297,060,520
Strike 2300 has a total call value of 15,268,036,080 versus a total put value of 5,862,582,840 Combined total value = 21,130,618,920
Strike 2307.35 has a total call value of 18,892,791,480 versus a total put value of 5,327,272,785 Combined total value = 24,220,064,265
Strike 2320 has a total call value of 25,131,316,080 versus a total put value of 4,490,388,000 Combined total value = 29,621,704,080
Strike 2326.75 has a total call value of 28,662,490,830 versus a total put value of 4,043,828,925 Combined total value = 32,706,319,755
Strike 2340 has a total call value of 35,883,110,130 versus a total put value of 3,167,250,000 Combined total value = 39,050,360,130
Strike 2346.15 has a total call value of 39,493,395,060 versus a total put value of 2,871,745,575 Combined total value = 42,365,140,635
Strike 2360 has a total call value of 47,623,874,130 versus a total put value of 2,206,260,000 Combined total value = 49,830,134,130
Strike 2365.55 has a total call value of 51,149,639,835 versus a total put value of 1,939,585,275 Combined total value = 53,089,225,110
Strike 2380 has a total call value of 60,329,336,130 versus a total put value of 1,245,270,000 Combined total value = 61,574,606,130
Strike 2384.95 has a total call value of 63,618,327,495 versus a total put value of 1,007,424,975 Combined total value = 64,625,752,470
Strike 2400 has a total call value of 73,729,335,885 versus a total put value of 284,280,000 Combined total value = 74,013,615,885
Strike 2404.3 has a total call value of 77,340,078,135 versus a total put value of 281,223,990 Combined total value = 77,621,302,125
Strike 2420 has a total call value of 90,666,114,105 versus a total put value of 270,066,000 Combined total value = 90,936,180,105
Strike 2423.7 has a total call value of 93,861,523,275 versus a total put value of 267,436,410 Combined total value = 94,128,959,685
Strike 2440 has a total call value of 108,487,092,735 versus a total put value of 255,852,000 Combined total value = 108,742,944,735
Strike 2443.1 has a total call value of 111,358,014,825 versus a total put value of 253,648,830 Combined total value = 111,611,663,655
Strike 2460 has a total call value of 127,148,600,805 versus a total put value of 241,638,000 Combined total value = 127,390,238,805
Strike 2462.5 has a total call value of 129,549,530,805 versus a total put value of 239,861,250 Combined total value = 129,789,392,055
Strike 2480 has a total call value of 146,491,228,305 versus a total put value of 227,424,000 Combined total value = 146,718,652,305
Strike 2481.9 has a total call value of 148,345,348,815 versus a total put value of 226,073,670 Combined total value = 148,571,422,485
Strike 2500 has a total call value of 166,127,415,075 versus a total put value of 213,210,000 Combined total value = 166,340,625,075
Strike 2501.25 has a total call value of 167,527,300,950 versus a total put value of 212,321,625 Combined total value = 167,739,622,575
Strike 2520 has a total call value of 188,525,589,075 versus a total put value of 198,996,000 Combined total value = 188,724,585,075
Strike 2520.65 has a total call value of 189,258,129,195 versus a total put value of 198,534,045 Combined total value = 189,456,663,240
Strike 2540 has a total call value of 211,065,285,075 versus a total put value of 184,782,000 Combined total value = 211,250,067,075
Strike 2540.05 has a total call value of 211,122,023,655 versus a total put value of 184,746,465 Combined total value = 211,306,770,120
Strike 2559.45 has a total call value of 233,136,592,695 versus a total put value of 170,958,885 Combined total value = 233,307,551,580
Strike 2560 has a total call value of 233,760,717,075 versus a total put value of 170,568,000 Combined total value = 233,931,285,075
Strike 2578.85 has a total call value of 255,151,161,735 versus a total put value of 157,171,305 Combined total value = 255,308,333,040
Strike 2580 has a total call value of 256,456,149,075 versus a total put value of 156,354,000 Combined total value = 256,612,503,075
Strike 2598.2 has a total call value of 277,108,992,195 versus a total put value of 143,419,260 Combined total value = 277,252,411,455
Strike 2600 has a total call value of 279,151,581,075 versus a total put value of 142,140,000 Combined total value = 279,293,721,075
Strike 2617.6 has a total call value of 299,794,659,795 versus a total put value of 129,631,680 Combined total value = 299,924,291,475
Strike 2620 has a total call value of 302,648,633,235 versus a total put value of 127,926,000 Combined total value = 302,776,559,235
Strike 2637 has a total call value of 322,864,278,435 versus a total put value of 115,844,100 Combined total value = 322,980,122,535
Strike 2640 has a total call value of 326,431,745,235 versus a total put value of 113,712,000 Combined total value = 326,545,457,235
Strike 2656.4 has a total call value of 345,933,897,075 versus a total put value of 102,056,520 Combined total value = 346,035,953,595
Strike 2660 has a total call value of 350,214,857,235 versus a total put value of 99,498,000 Combined total value = 350,314,355,235
Strike 2675.8 has a total call value of 369,003,515,715 versus a total put value of 88,268,940 Combined total value = 369,091,784,655
Strike 2680 has a total call value of 373,997,969,235 versus a total put value of 85,284,000 Combined total value = 374,083,253,235
Strike 2695.15 has a total call value of 392,013,676,575 versus a total put value of 74,516,895 Combined total value = 392,088,193,470
Strike 2700 has a total call value of 397,781,081,235 versus a total put value of 71,070,000 Combined total value = 397,852,151,235
Strike 2714.55 has a total call value of 415,451,963,115 versus a total put value of 60,729,315 Combined total value = 415,512,692,430
Strike 2720 has a total call value of 422,070,953,235 versus a total put value of 56,856,000 Combined total value = 422,127,809,235
Strike 2733.95 has a total call value of 439,013,138,955 versus a total put value of 46,941,735 Combined total value = 439,060,080,690
Strike 2740 has a total call value of 446,360,825,235 versus a total put value of 42,642,000 Combined total value = 446,403,467,235
Strike 2753.35 has a total call value of 462,574,314,795 versus a total put value of 33,154,155 Combined total value = 462,607,468,950
Strike 2760 has a total call value of 470,650,697,235 versus a total put value of 28,428,000 Combined total value = 470,679,125,235
Strike 2780 has a total call value of 494,940,569,235 versus a total put value of 14,214,000 Combined total value = 494,954,783,235
Strike 2792.1 has a total call value of 509,635,941,795 versus a total put value of 5,614,530 Combined total value = 509,641,556,325
Strike 2800 has a total call value of 519,230,441,235 versus a total put value of 0 Combined total value = 519,230,441,235
Max-Pain Table for Stocks
| Max Pain Table (Stocks) | ||
|---|---|---|
| Symbol | Symbol Ltp | Max Pain |
| 360ONE | 1125.7 | 1140 |
| ABB | 5003.5 | 5100 |
| ABCAPITAL | 356.1 | 350 |
| ADANIENSOL | 956.3 | 960 |
| ADANIENT | 2203.6 | 2260 |
| ADANIGREEN | 990.7 | 1000 |
| ADANIPORTS | 1472.6 | 1500 |
| ALKEM | 5570.5 | 5500 |
| AMBER | 6383 | 6500 |
| AMBUJACEM | 527.3 | 540 |
| ANGELONE | 2500 | 2600 |
| APLAPOLLO | 1732.6 | 1740 |
| APOLLOHOSP | 7080 | 7300 |
| ASHOKLEY | 157.35 | 159 |
| ASIANPAINT | 2840 | 2900 |
| ASTRAL | 1434.8 | 1460 |
| AUBANK | 952 | 950 |
| AUROPHARMA | 1171.8 | 1220 |
| AXISBANK | 1267.9 | 1280 |
| BAJAJ-AUTO | 8976 | 9000 |
| BAJAJFINSV | 2051.1 | 2060 |
| BAJFINANCE | 1022.8 | 1030 |
| BANDHANBNK | 135.25 | 150 |
| BANKBARODA | 282.45 | 290 |
| BANKINDIA | 136.98 | 140 |
| BDL | 1400.1 | 1480 |
| BEL | 383.15 | 405 |
| BHARATFORG | 1360 | 1400 |
| BHARTIARTL | 2092.4 | 2100 |
| BHEL | 272.2 | 280 |
| BIOCON | 381.2 | 395 |
| BLUESTARCO | 1715.5 | 1600 |
| BOSCHLTD | 36515 | 36500 |
| BPCL | 356.45 | 360 |
| BRITANNIA | 5812.5 | 5800 |
| BSE | 2763.7 | 2800 |
| CAMS | 741.6 | 760 |
| CANBK | 141.5 | 147 |
| CDSL | 1487.8 | 1560 |
| CGPOWER | 639.45 | 670 |
| CHOLAFIN | 1709.3 | 1700 |
| CIPLA | 1500.5 | 1520 |
| COALINDIA | 374.5 | 377.5 |
| COFORGE | 1890.2 | 1880 |
| COLPAL | 2147.9 | 2200 |
| CONCOR | 495.6 | 510 |
| CROMPTON | 250.75 | 265 |
| CUMMINSIND | 4417.2 | 4500 |
| CYIENT | 1130.2 | 1140 |
| DABUR | 500.3 | 510 |
| DALBHARAT | 1969.7 | 2000 |
| DELHIVERY | 395.5 | 400 |
| DIVISLAB | 6313 | 6400 |
| DIXON | 13340 | 14000 |
| DLF | 683.1 | 710 |
| DMART | 3870.5 | 3950 |
| DRREDDY | 1256.1 | 1270 |
| EICHERMOT | 7129 | 7100 |
| ETERNAL | 281.9 | 300 |
| EXIDEIND | 369.65 | 375 |
| FEDERALBNK | 256.2 | 257.5 |
| FORTIS | 855.7 | 890 |
| GAIL | 165.34 | 175 |
| GLENMARK | 1903.1 | 1940 |
| GMRAIRPORT | 98.85 | 100 |
| GODREJCP | 1112.5 | 1140 |
| GODREJPROP | 1969 | 2000 |
| GRASIM | 2743.6 | 2760 |
| HAL | 4217.9 | 4500 |
| HAVELLS | 1393.6 | 1440 |
| HCLTECH | 1672.9 | 1660 |
| HDFCAMC | 2531.9 | 2600 |
| HDFCBANK | 1000.9 | 1000 |
| HDFCLIFE | 757.3 | 770 |
| HEROMOTOCO | 6093.5 | 6200 |
| HFCL | 65.88 | 67 |
| HINDALCO | 809 | 800 |
| HINDPETRO | 445.45 | 450 |
| HINDUNILVR | 2325.1 | 2340 |
| HINDZINC | 484.15 | 495 |
| HUDCO | 210.83 | 225 |
| ICICIBANK | 1382.4 | 1380 |
| ICICIGI | 1941.8 | 2000 |
| ICICIPRULI | 618 | 620 |
| IDEA | 10.2 | 10 |
| IDFCFIRSTB | 79.05 | 80 |
| IEX | 141.22 | 142.5 |
| IIFL | 548.5 | 550 |
| INDHOTEL | 716.05 | 730 |
| INDIANB | 771.2 | 810 |
| INDIGO | 4898 | 5200 |
| INDUSINDBK | 836.35 | 860 |
| INDUSTOWER | 400.15 | 410 |
| INFY | 1599.7 | 1600 |
| INOXWIND | 122.48 | 130 |
| IOC | 162.67 | 163 |
| IRCTC | 660.3 | 680 |
| IREDA | 129.79 | 135 |
| IRFC | 111 | 113 |
| ITC | 401.1 | 405 |
| JINDALSTEL | 986.7 | 1000 |
| JIOFIN | 292.65 | 305 |
| JSWENERGY | 449.25 | 470 |
| JSWSTEEL | 1117.6 | 1140 |
| JUBLFOOD | 580.7 | 590 |
| KALYANKJIL | 468 | 490 |
| KAYNES | 3760 | 4800 |
| KEI | 4031.3 | 4100 |
| KFINTECH | 1032.5 | 1060 |
| KOTAKBANK | 2122.7 | 2120 |
| KPITTECH | 1202.8 | 1220 |
| LAURUSLABS | 998.3 | 1000 |
| LICHSGFIN | 520.65 | 550 |
| LICI | 851.8 | 870 |
| LODHA | 1061.3 | 1120 |
| LT | 3974.1 | 4000 |
| LTF | 298.15 | 300 |
| LTIM | 6222 | 6300 |
| LUPIN | 2060.6 | 2080 |
| M&M | 3646.2 | 3700 |
| MANAPPURAM | 270.5 | 275 |
| MANKIND | 2171.3 | 2200 |
| MARICO | 725.55 | 730 |
| MARUTI | 16111 | 16100 |
| MAXHEALTH | 1067.2 | 1080 |
| MAZDOCK | 2415 | 2600 |
| MCX | 10147 | 10100 |
| MFSL | 1689 | 1700 |
| MOTHERSON | 114.03 | 113 |
| MPHASIS | 2886.3 | 2900 |
| MUTHOOTFIN | 3737.4 | 3700 |
| NATIONALUM | 261.5 | 265 |
| NAUKRI | 1352 | 1380 |
| NBCC | 106.75 | 110 |
| NCC | 161.2 | 170 |
| NESTLEIND | 1210 | 1240 |
| NHPC | 75.57 | 78 |
| NMDC | 73.61 | 76 |
| NTPC | 318.4 | 322.5 |
| NUVAMA | 7055.5 | 7000 |
| NYKAA | 248.3 | 250 |
| OBEROIRLTY | 1617.6 | 1600 |
| OFSS | 7946.5 | 8000 |
| OIL | 400.8 | 405 |
| ONGC | 237.5 | 240 |
| PAGEIND | 36825 | 37500 |
| PATANJALI | 544.6 | 550 |
| PAYTM | 1303.5 | 1320 |
| PERSISTENT | 6279.5 | 6400 |
| PETRONET | 267.85 | 275 |
| PFC | 339.35 | 360 |
| PGEL | 531.95 | 540 |
| PHOENIXLTD | 1707.5 | 1700 |
| PIDILITIND | 1444.2 | 1460 |
| PIIND | 3265.1 | 3400 |
| PNB | 115.53 | 120 |
| PNBHOUSING | 865.55 | 900 |
| POLICYBZR | 1904.4 | 1900 |
| POLYCAB | 6987.5 | 7200 |
| POWERGRID | 264.45 | 270 |
| POWERINDIA | 18685 | 19000 |
| PPLPHARMA | 172.52 | 180 |
| PRESTIGE | 1597.9 | 1620 |
| RBLBANK | 297 | 300 |
| RECLTD | 339.2 | 355 |
| RELIANCE | 1525.9 | 1540 |
| RVNL | 302.25 | 310 |
| SAIL | 128.14 | 132 |
| SAMMAANCAP | 140.29 | 155 |
| SBICARD | 862.7 | 860 |
| SBILIFE | 1998.8 | 2020 |
| SBIN | 954.1 | 965 |
| SHREECEM | 25980 | 26500 |
| SHRIRAMFIN | 827.3 | 830 |
| SIEMENS | 3144.8 | 3250 |
| SOLARINDS | 12254 | 13000 |
| SONACOMS | 480.4 | 495 |
| SRF | 2835.3 | 2900 |
| SUNPHARMA | 1792.2 | 1800 |
| SUPREMEIND | 3324.4 | 3300 |
| SUZLON | 51.26 | 54 |
| SYNGENE | 627.4 | 630 |
| TATACONSUM | 1138 | 1150 |
| TATAELXSI | 5005 | 5200 |
| TATAMOTORS | 0 | 320 |
| TATAPOWER | 373.1 | 390 |
| TATASTEEL | 161.99 | 167.5 |
| TATATECH | 645.25 | 660 |
| TCS | 3206.9 | 3200 |
| TECHM | 1577.3 | 1540 |
| TIINDIA | 2552.4 | 2650 |
| TITAGARH | 753.9 | 800 |
| TITAN | 3765.9 | 3840 |
| TMPV | 345.5 | 360 |
| TORNTPHARM | 3750.5 | 3750 |
| TORNTPOWER | 1238.5 | 1300 |
| TRENT | 4005.5 | 4300 |
| TVSMOTOR | 3578.6 | 3600 |
| ULTRACEMCO | 11435 | 11600 |
| UNIONBANK | 146.3 | 150 |
| UNITDSPR | 1419.1 | 1430 |
| UNOMINDA | 1240.7 | 1240 |
| UPL | 734.4 | 750 |
| VBL | 463.8 | 470 |
| VEDL | 505.8 | 520 |
| VOLTAS | 1314.8 | 1340 |
| WIPRO | 259.54 | 257.5 |
| YESBANK | 21.7 | 23 |
| ZYDUSLIFE | 920.35 | 930 |
Note:
| Stock LTP > Max Pain | Bearish Trend |
| Stock LTP < Max Pain | Bullish Trend |
Frequently Asked Questions
Max Pain, also known as the max pain price, is the strike price at which the maximum number of option contracts (both puts and calls) would expire worthless, causing the largest financial losses for option holders at expiration. This price point represents the level where option writers would experience the least payout obligation.
The max pain theory suggests that as expiration approaches, market makers and option writers may attempt to influence the stock price toward this level to minimize their payout obligations, making it a significant reference point for traders analyzing option expiration dynamics.
Max Pain is calculated by determining the total dollar value of in-the-money options at each strike price. Here's the step-by-step process:
- For each strike price: Calculate the difference between the current stock price and the strike price.
- Multiply by Open Interest: Multiply this difference by the open interest (number of contracts) at that strike for both call and put options.
- Sum the values: Add together the dollar value for put options and call options at each strike price.
- Repeat for all strikes: Perform this calculation for every available strike price in the option chain.
- Identify the maximum: The strike price with the highest combined dollar value is the Max Pain price.
This calculation helps identify the price level where option writers would face the maximum financial loss if the stock closes at that price on expiration day.
Traders can incorporate Max Pain analysis into their trading strategy in several ways:
- Expiration Day Trading: As option expiration approaches, traders can use Max Pain as a potential support or resistance level, as market makers may attempt to push the price toward this level.
- Option Selection: Understanding Max Pain helps traders choose strike prices that are less likely to be manipulated, potentially improving their option trade outcomes.
- Risk Management: If a stock is trading far from Max Pain before expiration, traders can anticipate potential price movement toward this level and adjust their positions accordingly.
- Market Sentiment Indicator: Comparing the current stock price to Max Pain can provide insights into market sentiment and potential price direction near expiration.
- Hedging Strategy: Option writers can use Max Pain to identify strike prices where they might face the least payout risk, helping them structure more efficient hedging strategies.
Max Pain provides insights into potential stock price behavior, especially near option expiration:
- Price Magnet Effect: If the stock price is significantly above or below Max Pain before expiration, there may be a tendency for the price to move toward Max Pain as expiration approaches, as option writers hedge their positions.
- Support/Resistance Level: Max Pain can act as a psychological and technical support or resistance level, especially on expiration day, as it represents the price where maximum option value would be lost.
- Volatility Indicator: A large gap between current price and Max Pain may indicate higher potential volatility or price movement as expiration nears.
- Market Maker Activity: Significant open interest concentration around Max Pain suggests where market makers might have the most incentive to influence price movement through their hedging activities.
Note: Max Pain is a theoretical concept and should be used in conjunction with other technical and fundamental analysis tools, as it does not guarantee price movement.
Max Pain is a dynamic value that changes continuously based on several factors:
- Open Interest Changes: As traders open and close option positions, the open interest at different strike prices changes, which directly affects the Max Pain calculation.
- Stock Price Movement: As the underlying stock price moves, different strike prices become in-the-money or out-of-the-money, altering the dollar value calculations.
- Time Decay: As expiration approaches, the time value of options decreases, but the intrinsic value calculations for Max Pain continue to evolve with price movements.
- New Option Contracts: When new strike prices are added or when significant new positions are opened, Max Pain may shift to reflect the new distribution of open interest.
For accurate Max Pain analysis, traders should monitor it regularly, especially in the days leading up to expiration, as it can shift significantly as market conditions and option positions change.
Max Pain and Spot Price are two distinct concepts that serve different purposes in options trading:
- Spot Price (Current Market Price): This is the current trading price of the underlying stock or index in the market. It represents the real-time value at which the asset can be bought or sold immediately.
- Max Pain Price: This is a calculated theoretical price level based on option open interest data. It represents the strike price where option writers would face minimum payout obligations, not necessarily where the stock is currently trading.
The relationship between these two prices is crucial: when the spot price is far from Max Pain, traders may anticipate potential price movement toward Max Pain as expiration approaches. However, this is not guaranteed, and many other factors influence stock price movement.
No, Max Pain is not always accurate and should not be used as the sole indicator for predicting stock price movement. Here's why:
- Market Forces: Strong fundamental news, earnings reports, or significant market events can override the Max Pain effect and drive prices in unexpected directions.
- Institutional Activity: Large institutional trades, algorithmic trading, and other market participants may have different objectives than minimizing option payouts.
- Limited Influence: While market makers may attempt to influence price toward Max Pain, their ability to do so is limited, especially in highly liquid stocks with strong directional momentum.
- Multiple Expirations: Stocks often have options expiring on different dates (weekly, monthly), which means multiple Max Pain levels may exist simultaneously, reducing the predictive power of any single level.
- Statistical Tool: Max Pain is best viewed as a statistical tool that provides context about option market dynamics rather than a guaranteed price target.
Traders should use Max Pain as one of many tools in their analysis, combining it with technical analysis, fundamental analysis, and market sentiment indicators for more comprehensive decision-making.
Max Pain becomes increasingly relevant as option expiration approaches:
- Last Trading Week: Max Pain analysis is most useful during the final week before expiration, when option writers are actively hedging and the "pinning effect" (price movement toward Max Pain) is most likely to occur.
- Expiration Day: On the day of expiration, Max Pain can serve as a key reference level, as market makers may attempt to keep the stock price near this level to minimize their payout obligations.
- High Open Interest: Max Pain is more reliable when there is significant open interest concentrated around specific strike prices, as this indicates where option writers have the most exposure.
- Low Volatility Periods: During periods of low market volatility, Max Pain may have a stronger influence, as there are fewer competing forces driving price movement.
- Monthly Expirations: Monthly option expirations (typically the third Friday) often show stronger Max Pain effects compared to weekly expirations, due to higher open interest and more significant market maker involvement.
While Max Pain can be calculated at any time, its predictive value and practical application increase significantly as expiration approaches, making it particularly useful for short-term trading strategies focused on expiration week dynamics.































































































































































































































